I'll follow up.

To be fair, Reform's record of picking Welsh and Scottish leaders is questionable.

One resigned after being the admin of a racist facebook page, the other was a bought-and-paid-for Russian asset.

But this just makes all the more important that voters know who they're voting for as First Minisiter.

If any other party decided not to appoint a leader for an election they could win it would be a scandal. And Reform are tied for first in our Welsh projection.

Reform may even boycott Leader's Debates rather make a decision.

devolvedelections.co.uk

I believe they will be up tomorrow.

A case of continuity and change: Lab/Green/LD majority but Reform taking seats directly from the Conservatives.

Bexley & Bromley being Reform's most likely seat.

The Greens best bet is North East (Hackney, Islington & Waltham Forest) but that's a long shot

We polled for both the Mayor and the Assembly

According to my DevolvedElections Model the Assembly could be:

Lab — 11 Seats
Con — 4
Ref — 4
Greens — 4
LD — 2
Ind/Other — 0

devolvedelections.co.uk/london/

@devolvedelections.bsky.social

👀

When simulated 1000x the closest constituencies are:

Dumfriesshire,
Edinburgh Central,
East Lothian Coast and Lammermuirs,
Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire,
Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch, and,
Argyll and Bute

devolvedelections.co.uk/scotland-pro...