Elliott Collins
elliottcollins.bsky.social
Elliott Collins
@elliottcollins.bsky.social
Development economics, statistics and philosophy of poverty measurement. Recently returned to Berkeley and Social Media.

elliottcollins.com/

P.S. - All my re-posts are, without exception, endorsements.
This did not have to happen.
In the last decades, the world has made fantastic progress against extreme poverty. In 1990, 2.3 billion people lived in extreme poverty. Since then, the number of extremely poor people has declined by 1.5 *billion* people. 🧵
November 17, 2025 at 7:56 PM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
In the last decades, the world has made fantastic progress against extreme poverty. In 1990, 2.3 billion people lived in extreme poverty. Since then, the number of extremely poor people has declined by 1.5 *billion* people. 🧵
November 17, 2025 at 11:24 AM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
Summers called this female Chinese economist “peril.”

“Yellow peril” was partially built on the claim that Chinese women were sexually immoral threats.

That logic fueled the Page Act of 1875, which barred Chinese women by presuming they were prostitutes, even before the 1882 Chinese Exclusion Act.
Summers conferred with Epstein frequently about how to extract sexual favors from a Harvard econ grad (AB '04, PhD '09)

The grad is from China

Epstein and Summers referred to her by the codename "Peril"

Racism and sexual exploitation in one efficient package

bit.ly/3LHpin8
As Summers Sought Clandestine Relationship With Woman He Called a Mentee, Epstein Was His ‘Wing Man’ | News | The Harvard Crimson
When former Harvard President Lawrence H. Summers was pursuing a romantic relationship with a woman he described as a mentee, he turned to a longtime associate for guidance: convicted sex offender Jef...
bit.ly
November 17, 2025 at 5:01 AM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
It rules that $200-$400 of our taxes annually is enough to support SNAP and help our friends and neighbors eat. I don’t want people to starve! We have the resources to prevent that! Every dollar spent on SNAP saves more money elsewhere! It’s obviously good!
November 16, 2025 at 2:02 PM
I still can't imagine what sequence of events lead to people like this being on a first-name basis with this guy.

Are there other multimillionaires who moderately famous econometrics guys just casually email with about policy blogs?
In between things I've been checking in on the emails that mention "university" and uhh did we all know about this connection?
November 15, 2025 at 2:49 AM
Researchers give barely graphs a hard time and then the real dataviz pros show us what the alternatives look like.
Wild graphic on front page of WSJ.
November 14, 2025 at 9:29 PM
💯💯 Conspiracy theories so often serve the powerful because they tell you that you can't see it when powerful people do bad things, so that we miss it when those things are done in public.
I think an underrated function of conspiracy theories is that they prevent us from noticing the actual collusion of forces that harms and collectively assails us; noticing this would be more painful than believing in even the most evil and outlandish conspiracy, because it is actually true
It is hard to get over that the Q-Anon folks spent years feverishly looking in pizza parlors for the cabal of rich, elite pedophiles and it turns out THERE WAS ONE, right in front of their noses, which they failed to identify and instead voted for three times in a row.
November 13, 2025 at 2:59 AM
Bluesky is still like Twitter in that it frequently feels like you've walked into a room where people are dealing with an active crisis that they're too focused to explain and you have to scroll the news to figure out which story they're talking about.
It infuriates me that Republicans are going to respond to this by trying to take away rights from LGBTQ people.
November 13, 2025 at 1:12 AM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
Subjective Bayesians assigning priors:
November 12, 2025 at 9:55 PM
Sad to see academia abandoning its proud traditions like this.
I await everyone’s praise for not suggesting measure theory is a prerequisite for making a plot in R.
November 12, 2025 at 4:34 AM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
I would consider myself a centrist Democrat and I am so tired of these feckless, stand-for-nothing centrists.
November 10, 2025 at 2:17 AM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
It is genuinely hard for most people to grasp how poor the past was.
November 9, 2025 at 6:23 PM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
So pleased to see the mRNA platform being used to develop new vaccines against tuberculosis!!!

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Immunopeptidomics can inform the design of mRNA vaccines for the delivery of Mycobacterium tuberculosis MHC class II antigens
MHC class II immunopeptidomics in human phagocytes infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis enables vaccine immunogen design and optimization.
www.science.org
November 5, 2025 at 10:08 PM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
NOVA is Spanberger +45.
November 5, 2025 at 3:40 PM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
Oakland built 10,000 units, rents dropped 25%, the value of the new apartment buildings dropped 50%, and some projects went bankrupt (were handed over to the lender, foreclosed, etc).

good for tenants!
here’s an update on Oakland by the way.

Developers overbuilt so much that they’re handing the keys back to the lenders and wiping out all profit. www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco...
September 9, 2025 at 10:29 PM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
We just spent 6 months to add 1 figure to this paper. Some people said, "Couples aren't prioritizing men's careers. Men just have better earnings opportunities when moving."

Earnings effects of moves for couples on the left, singles on the right. Negligible gap between single men and women.
October 7, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
October 3, 2025 at 2:55 AM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
this is one of the things where they’re clearly doing it to trigger the libs, but the triggering thing is “the government should be allowed to kill people for no reason”, and if you’re not gonna ‘take the bait’ on that, why even have a politics?
Yale Law School never beating the “they don’t teach law at Yale” allegations
September 7, 2025 at 1:22 AM
Only the truly wise will understand which minor, passing political news story this is referencing.
The Key Flaw of Liberalism is Its Reluctance to Agree That I Must Use the Dark Artifacts to Purge the World of the Unclean and Achieve Ultimate Power
September 6, 2025 at 12:37 AM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
I also wrote a book on targeted killings carried out by the US and wow, as Nicholas points out, this is so far outside of any previously settled practice or norm. Absolutely, unambiguously abnormal and well into 'murder' territory by any established convention.
I’ve studied US drone strikes, I wrote a book called “Drones and Terrorism,” and this Caribbean strike is different.

Lethal fire at a non-threatening target in a non-hostile environment on purpose when other means, such as capture, were easily doable, and without even attempting a legal rationale.
September 5, 2025 at 3:28 AM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
To track progress towards ending extreme poverty by 2030, the United Nations relies on the World Bank to estimate the share of people living below a certain threshold, called the International Poverty Line (IPL).
August 28, 2025 at 1:56 PM
Reposted by Elliott Collins
Over the last six decades, China has rapidly increased and diversified its meat consumption
August 25, 2025 at 12:51 PM