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eliontheweb.bsky.social
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@eliontheweb.bsky.social
92 followers 170 following 110 posts
forgive me lord for I have posted
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eliontheweb.bsky.social
Previously married to William MacAskill of effective altruism ‘fame’ so that’s probably a bad thing

Also why the last name change?
Personal life Askell was married to philosopher William Crouch. 201[21] The two adopted a shared married name of MacAskill, which she reworked to Askell after their divorce in 2015.6 She is a member of Giving What We Can. 22]
February 9, 2026 at 7:36 PM
eliontheweb.bsky.social
This part is really good.
CW: So your act wasn't premeditated? GG: No, I didn't know about the exhibit before that day. And then I saw the Al piece and it was just-as an artist myself, it was insulting to see something of such little effort alongside all these beautiful pieces in the gallery. It shouldn't be acceptable for this "art," if you will, to be put alongside these real great pieces. It's art that has zero substance. Not zero substence; I mean it's a very personal work, right? It's art that takes away from its own substance by not being made by the artist himself.
January 22, 2026 at 9:55 PM
eliontheweb.bsky.social
Panoramic auroras in alaska!!
Bright pink aurora borealis The entire sky filled with pink aurora
November 12, 2025 at 3:56 AM
eliontheweb.bsky.social
I urge you to dig deeper into how WelcomePAC’s polling was conducted. They are expressly against issue polling and create their own style of question that connects each issue with the Democrats or Republican, while adopting republican framing in the “arguments”
Our Approach to Measurin... For this report, we performed a large-scale issue polling experiment using the above approach. What does this approach look like in practice? To illustrate it, we can use the example of increasing the refugee cap from 15,000 a year, to 125,000 a year, a real-world policy enacted by the Biden administration in October of 2021. Respondents were shown the following description: • Policy description: Some Democrats in Congress have proposed a bill that would increase the number of refugees allowed to come to America. Under this bill, the number of refugees allowed to come to America each year would be increased from 15,000 a year to 125,000 a year. Respondents were then randomly selected to be shown one of two Democratic arguments as well as one of two Republican arguments. The Democratic argument options were: • Democratic Argument 1: Democrats support this policy because they say that turning away people fleeing violence and persecution in their home countries is wrong. • Democratic Argument 2: Democrats support this policy because they say refugees are hardworking and admitting more will make our country stronger by creating jobs and growing our economy. While the Republican argument options were: • Republican Argument 1: Republicans oppose this policy because they say we can't properly vet so many refugees and we should focus on helping American citizens first. • Republican Argument 2: Republicans oppose this policy because they say that refugees are more likely to commit crimes than Americans are and this will make our communities more safe. Respondents were then asked "Which party do you agree with more?" Results are aggregated across all argument matchups to create an overall support number. This support number is the "two-way" support for the policy, meaning it strips out undecided voters and looks only at the proportion of support among voters who expressed an opinion. In the case of increasing the refugee cap, the two-way support number was 34%, meaning that 34% of respondents who expressed a view on the issue said they agreed more with the randomly-selected Democratic argument they saw, while 66% of respondents of those who expressed a position said they agreed more with the randomly-selected Republican argument they saw. In the tables that follow in Part 5, we express support as "net support," which is the difference between the two-way support for the position of the party proposing the policy and the two-way support for the position of the party opposing the policy. For this refugee policy, the net support is -32% (34% minus 66% is equal to -32%). For many of the policies we polled, the findings more closely matched ballot initiative results. For example, rather than the 85% support for universal background checks discussed in the previous section, we found that 55% of voters agree more with Democrats about the policy - far closer to the Maine and Nevada results. And in contrast to the polling mentioned previously finding majorities of Americans supporting affirmative action in college admissions, we found restoring colleges' ability to use affirmative action to be supported by 37% of voters - much more consistent with its loss in a California referendum. Overall, our polling found that, for a substantial number of progressive policies, less than half of voters agree with Democrats about the policy - and that relatively few Democratic policies reach heights of 60+% support. Overall, in our sample of 105 Democratic policies we polled, 57 were supported by a majority of voters, while 48 were oppo…
November 4, 2025 at 9:08 PM
eliontheweb.bsky.social
This is their polling methodology btw

I wonder why when they explicitly tied the issues to the incredibly unpopular Democratic Party, the democratic issues were unpopular
For this report, we performed a large-scale issue polling experiment using the above approach. What does this approach look like in practice? To illustrate it, we can use the example of increasing the refugee cap from 15,000 a year, to 125,000 a year, a real-world policy enacted by the Biden administration in October of 2021. Respondents were shown the following description: • Policy description: Some Democrats in Congress have proposed a bill that would increase the number of refugees allowed to come to America. Under this bill, the number of refugees allowed to come to America each year would be increased from 15,000 a year to 125,000 a year. Respondents were then randomly selected to be shown one of two Democratic arguments as well as one of two Republican arguments. The Democratic argument options were: • Democratic Argument 1: Democrats support this policy because they say that turning away people fleeing violence and persecution in their home countries is wrong. • Democratic Argument 2: Democrats support this policy because they say refugees are hardworking and admitting more will make our country stronger by creating jobs and growing our economy. While the Republican argument options were: • Republican Argument 1: Republicans oppose this policy because they say we can't properly vet so many refugees and we should focus on helping American citizens first. • Republican Argument 2: Republicans oppose this policy because they say that refugees are more likely to commit crimes than Americans are and this will make our communities less safe. Respondents were then asked "Which party do you amnas rrith mars)" Daculte ana aemnaratad sansco oll * Our Approach to Measurin... Respondents were then asked "Which party do you agree with more?" Results are aggregated across all argument matchups to create an overall support number. This support number is the "two-way" support for the policy, meaning it strips out undecided voters and looks only at the proportion of support among voters who expressed an opinion. In the case of increasing the refugee cap, the two-way support number was 34%, meaning that 34% of respondents who expressed a view on the issue said they agreed more with the randomly-selected Democratic argument they saw, while 66% of respondents of those who expressed a position said they agreed more with the randomly-selected Republican argument they saw. In the tables that follow in Part 5, we express support as "net support," which is the difference between the two-way support for the position of the party proposing the policy and the two-way support for the position of the party opposing the policy. For this refugee policy, the net support is -32% (34% minus 66% is equal to -32%). For many of the policies we polled, the findings more closely matched ballot initiative results. For example, rather than the 85% support for universal background checks discussed in the previous section, we found that 55% of voters agree more with Democrats about the policy - far closer to the Maine and Nevada results. And in contrast to the polling mentioned previously finding majorities of Americans supporting affirmative action in college admissions, we found restoring colleges' ability to use affirmative action to be supported by 37% of voters - much more consistent with its loss in a California referendum. Overall, our polling found that, for a substantial number of progressive policies, less than half of voters agree with Democrats about the policy - and that relatively few Democratic policies reach heights of 60+% support. Overall, in our sample of 105 Democratic policies we polled, 57 were supported by a majority…
October 28, 2025 at 2:26 AM
eliontheweb.bsky.social
Get ready for the corporate dem Heterodox moment - this is going to be unimaginably annoying
Part 8: What It Does and Does Not Mean to Be Moderate I Democrats should moderate. In this section, we take a closer look at exactly what it means to be a "moderate," including how being a moderate interacts with being an outsider and/or a critic of the establishment. Being moderate means taking popular, heterodox positions-not defending the establishment
October 28, 2025 at 2:00 AM
eliontheweb.bsky.social
Spending my entire day trying to befriend the stellars jay in my backyard. It’s going rather well :)
Feeding a stellars jay a peanut from my hand Feeding a stellars jay a peanut from my hand Feeding a stellars jay a peanut from my hand
August 10, 2025 at 1:28 AM
eliontheweb.bsky.social
Some mushroom/lichen I found in my backyard. They look like golf tees. Can anyone ID this?
Cluster of light green small mushroom looking plants with golf tee shaped caps
August 9, 2025 at 4:45 AM
eliontheweb.bsky.social
Working on my 2 value descriptions. Super helpful exercise
Three images of 2 value drawings of basic shapes
August 5, 2025 at 12:05 AM