Eiko Fried
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eikofried.bsky.social
Eiko Fried
@eikofried.bsky.social
Associate Prof Leiden Uni. Studying mental health problems as systems. http://eiko-fried.com. Building an early warning system for depression at http://WARN-D.com.
Nearly as bad as Americans naming their universities, such as Washington University (Missouri, no Washington State or D.C.) and Miami University (Ohio)
November 8, 2025 at 12:46 AM
Agree, this paper has a series of figures that lead to a 3d representation of 3 axes I work out, so this builds up logically and it is not about interpreting the purely example dataset, but getting the idea of clustering in 3dimensional space. So I think the figures should be fine here.
November 6, 2025 at 12:06 AM
Figures go on OSF always anyway to make sure I have them licensed (CCby4) before journals get their dirty hands on licensing them ;). Turns out the earlier license counts ^^
November 6, 2025 at 12:05 AM
hahaha
November 6, 2025 at 12:02 AM
"The implication is that some hypothesized or preregistered effect sizes may be impossible. At the same time, these restrictions offer a way of statistically triangulating the plausible range of unknown effect sizes."

Yes that's pretty much exactly it I think, thanks
November 5, 2025 at 3:29 AM
(or more likely, I'm just missing smth, super jetlagged here haha)
November 5, 2025 at 3:27 AM
In the 2023 Royal Society paper, how do you define 'reproducibility'? eg "The true reproducibility rate of a result is a function of not only the true model generating the data but also the elements of the idealized experiment" make little sense given my definition so we must have different ones
November 5, 2025 at 3:26 AM
I've seen one of these two and not connected this but I think you're right, this is exactly on point! Thanks a lot, Berna
November 5, 2025 at 3:20 AM
I've seen arguments made that e.g. a statistical effect or model has "low replicability", but if you actually sit down and calculate what the replication ceiling is given constraints, the results can be pretty close to the theoretical maximum.

Are you aware of related concepts? Thanks!
November 5, 2025 at 3:09 AM
🔥
November 5, 2025 at 12:47 AM
Thanks Rob, that's helpful!
November 5, 2025 at 12:40 AM
Oh Paul that's just silly
November 5, 2025 at 12:25 AM
This is a projection of 3 principal components (the 3 axes) into a 3dimensional space. I think this will be tricky in 2d given that I have ... 3axes.
November 5, 2025 at 12:25 AM
Publishing a paper there costs 0, of course. The open access fees are steep, but researchers at Dutch unis are protected under the taverne amendment, which is why you can find the full text on my website.
November 3, 2025 at 1:09 AM
Folks have cited the DSM-5 field trials paper by Regier et al 2013 paper quite a bit, but I always felt it isn't quite appreciated how ridiculously low kappa=0.28 actually is, hence the figure.
November 1, 2025 at 10:57 PM
Thanks for the context Casper
October 30, 2025 at 6:13 PM