Dr. Matt Herbert
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drherbert.bsky.social
Dr. Matt Herbert
@drherbert.bsky.social
Head of Research for North Africa and the Sahel at the Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime. Mainly working on transnational organized crime, state fragility, and targeted sanctions against criminal actors.
Reposted by Dr. Matt Herbert
Overnight, a Zawiyan coalition incl Mohamed Bahroun al-Far, Mohamed Sifaw, Othman Lhab, Busriba units, & Mahmoud Ben Rjab advanced toward Siyahiya, & may clash w/ Zintani forces.

Driven by fears of marginalization, the move aims to ease pressure on SDF & divide GNU's forces.
May 14, 2025 at 6:31 AM
Reposted by Dr. Matt Herbert
Later today, the 111 Brigade, Joint Force, & 444 Brigade are expected to regroup & launch a coordinated push to confine the SDF to its stronghold in Sug al-Jumaa.

A decision to militarily overtake Sug al-Jumaa - densely populated & symbolically significant - would be perilous.
May 14, 2025 at 6:31 AM
Reposted by Dr. Matt Herbert
Early this morning, the Special Deterrence Force (SDF) and Judicial Security launched a successful counteroffensive against disorganized GNU-aligned forces in southern Tripoli, deploying retrofitted commercial drones & drone-assisted targeting to hit key 444 Brigade positions
May 14, 2025 at 6:31 AM
A bit bizarre. Starlink has been in heavy use by smugglers in northern Niger for a while now.
March 14, 2025 at 11:55 AM