Ernesto Castañeda
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drernestocast.bsky.social
Ernesto Castañeda
@drernestocast.bsky.social
8.8K followers 1.9K following 2K posts
Director, The Immigration Lab; & The Center for Latin American & Latino Studies; Full Professor, Sociology, American University, DC. Immigration and the politics of the possible. Author of multiple books & articles. Public scholar.
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drernestocast.bsky.social
Para escuchar el episodio complete, visita el podcast "Ciudad Sin Limites" https://citylimits.org/podcast-que-cambios-podrian-venir-en-inmigracion-con-el-nuevo-ano-fiscal/
November 10, 2025 at 8:04 PM
drernestocast.bsky.social
An Afghan man is facing deportation even if “That is absolutely not evidence that he would be safe... people who are formerly affiliated with NGOs face a lot of threats and suspicion." They’re pressured, threatened, beaten, or worse
November 9, 2025 at 7:59 PM
drernestocast.bsky.social
We had a great turn out of around 100 people on a Friday evening.
People are eager to learn more about "Immigration Realities," to be engaged in public affairs, and to participate in direct actions to help their neighbors and community members.
Monica Palacio and Ernesto Castañeda speaking about immigration at Seekers Church in Takoma Park, November 7, 2025.
November 9, 2025 at 7:08 PM
drernestocast.bsky.social
Signs of recession are present.
-Tariffs are another important contributor to uncertainty and inflation.
-Much of the growth has gone to the 1%
-The stock market has been artificially inflated by over-investment in A.I.
-This admin has also been too lenient on data centers and the crypto bubble.
November 9, 2025 at 6:18 PM
drernestocast.bsky.social
The U.S. economy is in a weak state. The federal government could do a few things to improve the economic state of the nation relatively quickly:
-Extend subsidies for Affordable Care Act insurance premiums. THREAD
November 9, 2025 at 6:11 PM
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The federal government is still shut down, but ICE actions and hirings continue, while Trump refuses to pay SNAP benefits despite the contingency fund and court orders to do so.
November 8, 2025 at 10:42 PM
drernestocast.bsky.social
"Reunited: Family Separation and Central American Youth Migration" is available in English from the Russell Sage Foundation, available in Spanish on Amazon, and also available as an audiobook in Spanish wherever you get your audiobooks.
November 8, 2025 at 9:31 PM
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Happening tonight in Tacoma Park, DC.
All welcome.
Ticket proceeds go to a local non-profit helping immigrants.
November 7, 2025 at 12:09 PM
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“La audiencia fue combativa frente a los argumentos del gobierno. Hay mucho escepticismo. No les pareció que haya una emergencia que justifique aranceles tan altos, y muchos consideran que no ayudan ni a la economía ni a los consumidores", dijo Castañeda.
November 6, 2025 at 9:54 PM
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Políticos y comentaristas jugaban con deportaciones masivas desde el 2001. Esta administración ha hecho de esos sueños una realidad, o más bien una pesadilla, para casi todos. Hablé sobre eso aqui:
https://f.mtr.cool/mzkomdiswm
November 6, 2025 at 9:53 PM
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November 5, 2025 at 4:46 AM
drernestocast.bsky.social
Nov. 5, 2025. Local election day. Eve of longest shutdown in U.S. history affecting services, tourism+. Around 1 yr from Trump election. Elections will be barometer of gov support. How will young Latino males vote in NJ? Will the WaPo de facto endorsement & other disqualifications of Mamdani work?
Castaneda at Noticias Univision Al Minuto con Andrea Linares y Elyangélica González
November 4, 2025 at 9:31 PM
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Following up on theNoKings protest & polls on election day. More people say that they suport the #NoKings movement than support the MAGA movement.
No surprise since the president's approval is under 50% & only 33% believe he is making the country stronger. Protests reflected popular sentiment.
November 4, 2025 at 8:12 PM
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Read more about the Safe Third Country Agreement (Tercer País Seguro) at https://www.dw.com/es/acuerdo-migratorio-con-ee-uu-podría-ser-positivo-para-belice/a-74478665
November 4, 2025 at 6:03 PM
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The November 4 elections will be a direct, concrete evaluation of the popularity of the Republicans & the Trmp admin.
The electoral losses will be harder to dismiss than polls or protests.
Do vote in your local elections.
CA, NJ, NYC, VA, etc.
Spoke with Noticias Univision Vix.
November 4, 2025 at 2:57 AM
drernestocast.bsky.social
Pro-immigrant Latina Adeliata Grijalva, daughter of progressive Congressman Raul Grijalva, was elected overwhelmingly on Sept. 23 special election. Yet still not sworn in. She won in border counties, in an area that used to be notorious for its R anti-immigrant rhetoric & 'show me your papers' laws.
November 3, 2025 at 11:15 PM
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Many differences, but GDP per capita is very similar in Mexico and China.
georank.org/economy/chin...
November 3, 2025 at 9:03 PM
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Join us Monday Nov 10 "In times of conflict, forced migration, and political instability, education can act as a powerful form of diplomacy and transformation, innovation, and insight — a bridge that sustains hope, opportunity, and human connection.
November 3, 2025 at 3:03 PM
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Revive la Cátedra Norbert Lechner “Realidades de la inmigración: ¿Cómo entender y desafiar los mitos sobre los migrantes?”
Video aqui: https://socialesehistoria.udp.cl/revive-la-catedra-norbert-lechner-realidades-de-la-inmigracion-como-entender-y-desafiar-los-mitos-sobre-los-migrantes/
November 3, 2025 at 2:56 PM
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ECONOMY DOES NOT WORK LIKE THIS: “Mass deportation will be a labor-market disruption celebrated by American workers, who will now be offered higher wages with better benefits to fill these jobs.”
This is what inspired the agriculture secretary to propose that farmers who lost their workforce to an Ice raid should have their crops picked by Medicaid recipients who need a job to keep their benefits. It explains JD Vance’s smug mood in August when a government report suggested, implausibly, that there had been a momentous decline in the immigrant workforce and a corresponding increase in the number of Americans with a job, a pattern that turned out to be a statistical mirage. As economists repeatedly try to explain to the likes of Vance and Miller, the economy doesn’t work like that. A newly deported migrant does not yield an employed native. Indeed, the deportation is likely to cause employers to let go of American workers too. What deportations do achieve is to reduce the labor force. The native-born workforce shrank last year. Hiring is slow largely because kicking migrants out means there are fewer workers to hire. At the end of the day, the White House’s attempts to rid the labor market of immigrant workers will cripple American prosperity – damaging industries that rely on immigrant labor, from agriculture to hospitality and eldercare to healthcare. Businesses will shrink and even go under, punishing the American workers who toil alongside the foreign-born. American history keeps teaching us the same lesson: the prosperity of this land relies on immigrant work. Somebody let Trump know. Consider the previous attempt at mass deportation. About 424,000 undocumented immigrants were “removed” from 2010 to 2015 under the “Secure Communities” program during the administration of Barack Obama. Studying the impact on the workplace as the program was implemented county by county over four years, economists from the University of Colorado estimated that the 3.5% fall in the employment of immigrants as Secure Communities rolled out was associated with a 0.5% decline in the employment of citizens. A few decades prior, the end of the “Bracero” program in December o… Nor did the mass “repatriations” of hundreds of Mexican immigrants and their US-born children during the Great Depression improve the lot of American workers. Rather, economists found that the employment and wages of native workers declined in the most affected counties. On the flipside of this dynamic, economists studying immigration over the first two decades of this century found that the inflow raised the wages of less educated native workers, those with at most a high school diploma. Their conclusions resemble those of studies of the immigration wave of the early 20th century that found it spurred industrial production and increased native employment. Native workers left immigrant-heavy jobs – manual laborers, waiters, blacksmiths and the like – and took higher-wage positions as foremen, electricians or engineers. After Congress passed the nation’s first-ever national immigration quotas in the 1920s, driving immigration down over the coming four decades, businesses in affected areas responded in a variety of ways – drawing workers from other states and other countries, introducing labor-saving technology or reducing production. The impact on native workers was, at best, ambiguous. These outcomes are not hard to comprehend. Whatever Trump, Miller and co are trying to spin, understanding the impact of immigration requires looking at its impact on businesses, which will invest to profit from the additional labor, as well as on the occupational decisions of native workers, who will move to better jobs out of immigrants’ reach. Barring immigrants from the economy will reverberate beyond the labor market. Just like during the second world war, when the exclusion of Japanese farm workers slashed agricultural productivity and output by pushing the most productive farmers off the fields, kicking out foreign graduates will strain America’s pool of skilled workers and limit the number of startups. Limiting H-1B visas won’t create more jobs for citizens but trim employ…
November 1, 2025 at 10:20 PM
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Encounters of Mexican migrants trying to enter without papers at the border has declined since 2022. Their share has increased because other nationalities are not making it to the border, but that doesn't mean there is more overall Mexican irregular migration.
November 1, 2025 at 10:01 PM
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NEW Working Paper:  Plane, Marshall and Castañeda, Ernesto and Jenks, Daniel, A Life Infusion: Migrants, Cities, and Economic Activity (October 23, 2025). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5654051 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5654051
November 1, 2025 at 8:55 PM
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"Majorities across partisan lines say they are concerned about the shutdown: Nearly 9 in 10 Democrats along with over 7 in 10 independents & over 6 in 10 Republicans are concerned about the shutdown, but more Democrats say they are “very” concerned (62%) than independents (43%) or Republicans (26%)
Majorities across partisan lines say they are concerned about the shutdown: Nearly nine in 10 Democrats along with over seven in 10 independents and over six in 10 Republicans are concerned about the shutdown, but more Democrats say they are “very” concerned (62%) than independents (43%) or Republicans (26%). Majorities across party lines are concerned about government shutdown Q: How concerned, if at all, are you about the shutdown of the federal government that began earlier this month? Very concerned Somewhat concerned Skipped Not too concerned Not at all concerned U.S. adults 43% 32% 16% 9% Democrats 62% 27% 8% Republicans 26% 38% 24% 12% Independents/Other 43% 30% 16% 10% Source: Oct. 24-28, 2025, ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll of 2,725 U.S. adults with an error margin of +/- 1.9 percentage points. Error margins are larger among subgroups. Concern over the shutdown is higher among women, with 81% voicing concern, compared with 68% of men. And a growing share of Americans disapprove of how Trump is managing the federal government. In all, 63% disapprove today, up from 57% in April and 54% in February. Just over a third (36%) approve in the most recent poll.
November 1, 2025 at 8:41 PM
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Most Latinos keep self-identifying as Democratic voters. Most blame Republicans for the shutdown, feel the negative effects of economic & immigration policies on their families. Over 11% of bilingual Latinos who voted for Trump already regret it after less than 10 months back in government.
November 1, 2025 at 5:57 PM
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The U.S. gov. has been now closed for a month. R congresspeople & senators not in DC. The White House starting to show some urgency just now by asking for ending the filibuster & reopening the gov as most citizens blame Rs. Paychecks have now stopped for many, SNAP in question, healthcare primes up.
October 31, 2025 at 11:31 PM