No one listens to me
@dpiepgrass.bsky.social
The schelling point no one visits. Aspiring rationalist EA LW. Evidence + Logic + Epistemics = Truth, Clearer Thinking, and 80000 Hours of failure
The "necessary" death rate from starvation has been reached to declare famine: "two adults or four children per 10,000 people per day".
For Gaza assuming population 2 million, that can be equivalently stated as 2,800 adults "or" 5,600 children "or" 4ish October7 attacks per week.
For Gaza assuming population 2 million, that can be equivalently stated as 2,800 adults "or" 5,600 children "or" 4ish October7 attacks per week.
August 28, 2025 at 12:25 PM
The "necessary" death rate from starvation has been reached to declare famine: "two adults or four children per 10,000 people per day".
For Gaza assuming population 2 million, that can be equivalently stated as 2,800 adults "or" 5,600 children "or" 4ish October7 attacks per week.
For Gaza assuming population 2 million, that can be equivalently stated as 2,800 adults "or" 5,600 children "or" 4ish October7 attacks per week.
It's not a misinformation or disinformation campaign, but Mercator is a misleading projection, and it's very dumb that Google has done nothing to avoid it (at ultra-high zoom levels) for over 20 years.
August 15, 2025 at 8:30 AM
It's not a misinformation or disinformation campaign, but Mercator is a misleading projection, and it's very dumb that Google has done nothing to avoid it (at ultra-high zoom levels) for over 20 years.
I can't bring myself to put a 👍 on a Professor Dave video, but he invited some scientists on his show to discuss Sabine Hossenfelder's claims, and I think they have at least as much right to be heard as the YouTube superstar herself.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=oipI...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=oipI...
August 12, 2025 at 3:48 AM
I can't bring myself to put a 👍 on a Professor Dave video, but he invited some scientists on his show to discuss Sabine Hossenfelder's claims, and I think they have at least as much right to be heard as the YouTube superstar herself.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=oipI...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=oipI...
OMG look! Somebody posted a chart of the average tariff rates!! #📈
Had no idea they stayed high for so long (on the strength of tariffs on China). No doubt *realized* tariff rates didn't stay high for so long due to market responses.
As featured on Money&Macro: www.youtube.com/watch?v=nBXw...
Had no idea they stayed high for so long (on the strength of tariffs on China). No doubt *realized* tariff rates didn't stay high for so long due to market responses.
As featured on Money&Macro: www.youtube.com/watch?v=nBXw...
July 24, 2025 at 5:53 AM
OMG look! Somebody posted a chart of the average tariff rates!! #📈
Had no idea they stayed high for so long (on the strength of tariffs on China). No doubt *realized* tariff rates didn't stay high for so long due to market responses.
As featured on Money&Macro: www.youtube.com/watch?v=nBXw...
Had no idea they stayed high for so long (on the strength of tariffs on China). No doubt *realized* tariff rates didn't stay high for so long due to market responses.
As featured on Money&Macro: www.youtube.com/watch?v=nBXw...
The concept of "critical thinking" has two problems. First, the idea that it's about being "critical". Second, the idea that it's about "thinking".
Thinking is great, and being critical is fine, but what you really need is good epistemics based on seeking and digesting evidence.
Thinking is great, and being critical is fine, but what you really need is good epistemics based on seeking and digesting evidence.
July 18, 2025 at 7:00 PM
The concept of "critical thinking" has two problems. First, the idea that it's about being "critical". Second, the idea that it's about "thinking".
Thinking is great, and being critical is fine, but what you really need is good epistemics based on seeking and digesting evidence.
Thinking is great, and being critical is fine, but what you really need is good epistemics based on seeking and digesting evidence.
This isn't a high concentration of nanoplastics, but assuming they are normal plastic particles, they should contain energy, and their small size should encourage evolution of microbes that can consume them.
July 11, 2025 at 4:08 PM
This isn't a high concentration of nanoplastics, but assuming they are normal plastic particles, they should contain energy, and their small size should encourage evolution of microbes that can consume them.
Things people usually don't talk about when discussing the path to AGI:
1. learning efficiency (LLMs are sample-inefficient)
2. long-term memory (at best people talk about context windows―seems different)
3. AI epistemology
4. whether LLMs really have any sense of uncertainty for practical purposes
1. learning efficiency (LLMs are sample-inefficient)
2. long-term memory (at best people talk about context windows―seems different)
3. AI epistemology
4. whether LLMs really have any sense of uncertainty for practical purposes
July 5, 2025 at 5:27 AM
Things people usually don't talk about when discussing the path to AGI:
1. learning efficiency (LLMs are sample-inefficient)
2. long-term memory (at best people talk about context windows―seems different)
3. AI epistemology
4. whether LLMs really have any sense of uncertainty for practical purposes
1. learning efficiency (LLMs are sample-inefficient)
2. long-term memory (at best people talk about context windows―seems different)
3. AI epistemology
4. whether LLMs really have any sense of uncertainty for practical purposes
I'm so fucking lonely as I watch the world burn.
In one country, a plurality voted to make the world burn. In another, a majority support their dictator's cruel acts because propaganda told them it was good.
I don't know anyone who cares.
Sure, people who care exist. I just don't *know* them.
In one country, a plurality voted to make the world burn. In another, a majority support their dictator's cruel acts because propaganda told them it was good.
I don't know anyone who cares.
Sure, people who care exist. I just don't *know* them.
July 4, 2025 at 5:06 AM
I'm so fucking lonely as I watch the world burn.
In one country, a plurality voted to make the world burn. In another, a majority support their dictator's cruel acts because propaganda told them it was good.
I don't know anyone who cares.
Sure, people who care exist. I just don't *know* them.
In one country, a plurality voted to make the world burn. In another, a majority support their dictator's cruel acts because propaganda told them it was good.
I don't know anyone who cares.
Sure, people who care exist. I just don't *know* them.
Trump's NOAA proposes eliminating all climate-related research work at NOAA, including the Mauna Loa observatory that has continuously monitored rising CO₂ levels for over 65 years. (as proposed in Project 2025) www.cnn.com/2025/07/01/c...
CO₂ levels continue their gentle exponential trend.
CO₂ levels continue their gentle exponential trend.
July 3, 2025 at 6:23 PM
Trump's NOAA proposes eliminating all climate-related research work at NOAA, including the Mauna Loa observatory that has continuously monitored rising CO₂ levels for over 65 years. (as proposed in Project 2025) www.cnn.com/2025/07/01/c...
CO₂ levels continue their gentle exponential trend.
CO₂ levels continue their gentle exponential trend.
Why do you keep doing this to Constantin, YouTube?
WHY IS YOUR REASON SUCH A BIG SECRET, @googIe.blog?
So EVIL!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=OLXs...
WHY IS YOUR REASON SUCH A BIG SECRET, @googIe.blog?
So EVIL!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=OLXs...
I Was Just Demonetized By Google For The Second Time - Twice Now! | Something Strange Is Happening
YouTube video by INSIDE RUSSIA
www.youtube.com
July 3, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Why do you keep doing this to Constantin, YouTube?
WHY IS YOUR REASON SUCH A BIG SECRET, @googIe.blog?
So EVIL!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=OLXs...
WHY IS YOUR REASON SUCH A BIG SECRET, @googIe.blog?
So EVIL!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=OLXs...
Is anybody *really* surprised that The White House officially gave Trump a Sith Lord lightsaber? Someone should do a poll.
He may lie a lot, but that doesn't extend to the subtext, right? The subtext is always like "I'm bad. No, really. We're proper baddies." People know―right?
He may lie a lot, but that doesn't extend to the subtext, right? The subtext is always like "I'm bad. No, really. We're proper baddies." People know―right?
May 5, 2025 at 7:40 PM
Is anybody *really* surprised that The White House officially gave Trump a Sith Lord lightsaber? Someone should do a poll.
He may lie a lot, but that doesn't extend to the subtext, right? The subtext is always like "I'm bad. No, really. We're proper baddies." People know―right?
He may lie a lot, but that doesn't extend to the subtext, right? The subtext is always like "I'm bad. No, really. We're proper baddies." People know―right?
Tom Friedman on Ezra Klein: "'We don't do EVs here. EVs are for girly men. We only do manly industries […] It doesn't make any sense. You're building a wall against China―great, I'm all for it. But […] you're taking your own companies out and shooting them in the back if they're not right-wing woke"
April 20, 2025 at 5:56 AM
Tom Friedman on Ezra Klein: "'We don't do EVs here. EVs are for girly men. We only do manly industries […] It doesn't make any sense. You're building a wall against China―great, I'm all for it. But […] you're taking your own companies out and shooting them in the back if they're not right-wing woke"
You see this place? You have to live here.
People who unfairly tear down and attack others mysteriously find themselves with legions of followers. Why build taller, they think, when you can make others shorter? I'm always amazed how little people care about making Earth better.
People who unfairly tear down and attack others mysteriously find themselves with legions of followers. Why build taller, they think, when you can make others shorter? I'm always amazed how little people care about making Earth better.
April 6, 2025 at 7:33 PM
You see this place? You have to live here.
People who unfairly tear down and attack others mysteriously find themselves with legions of followers. Why build taller, they think, when you can make others shorter? I'm always amazed how little people care about making Earth better.
People who unfairly tear down and attack others mysteriously find themselves with legions of followers. Why build taller, they think, when you can make others shorter? I'm always amazed how little people care about making Earth better.
The Human Safari's been going on for MONTHS.
"The reason the location where wounded locals are treated cannot be published, is due to the fear from medical staff that the Russians will bomb the location if they find out where community members are getting help."
#🕵️ www.youtube.com/watch?v=xZ60...
"The reason the location where wounded locals are treated cannot be published, is due to the fear from medical staff that the Russians will bomb the location if they find out where community members are getting help."
#🕵️ www.youtube.com/watch?v=xZ60...
Russia's Human Hunting Ground in Kherson
YouTube video by DylanBurnsTV
www.youtube.com
April 5, 2025 at 3:11 AM
The Human Safari's been going on for MONTHS.
"The reason the location where wounded locals are treated cannot be published, is due to the fear from medical staff that the Russians will bomb the location if they find out where community members are getting help."
#🕵️ www.youtube.com/watch?v=xZ60...
"The reason the location where wounded locals are treated cannot be published, is due to the fear from medical staff that the Russians will bomb the location if they find out where community members are getting help."
#🕵️ www.youtube.com/watch?v=xZ60...
...what?!
I would've thought the Claude staff were smarter than that. Seems pretty obvious that Claude would be, to the extent its architecture + gradient descent allows, planning out both lines at once before writing the first word ("He"). Transformers attracted billions of $ for a reason. 🤷♂️
I would've thought the Claude staff were smarter than that. Seems pretty obvious that Claude would be, to the extent its architecture + gradient descent allows, planning out both lines at once before writing the first word ("He"). Transformers attracted billions of $ for a reason. 🤷♂️
March 31, 2025 at 11:57 PM
...what?!
I would've thought the Claude staff were smarter than that. Seems pretty obvious that Claude would be, to the extent its architecture + gradient descent allows, planning out both lines at once before writing the first word ("He"). Transformers attracted billions of $ for a reason. 🤷♂️
I would've thought the Claude staff were smarter than that. Seems pretty obvious that Claude would be, to the extent its architecture + gradient descent allows, planning out both lines at once before writing the first word ("He"). Transformers attracted billions of $ for a reason. 🤷♂️
March 31, 2025 at 4:18 AM
So Trump pardoned Ross Ulbricht (Silk Road guy who tried to hire hitmen to kill several people) as promised, and now the founder of Nikola who was sentenced to 4 years for fraud. It has bad optics so I wondered why Trump'd do it, but he donated $1.8 million to Trump's re-election. I guess that's it.
March 29, 2025 at 2:41 AM
So Trump pardoned Ross Ulbricht (Silk Road guy who tried to hire hitmen to kill several people) as promised, and now the founder of Nikola who was sentenced to 4 years for fraud. It has bad optics so I wondered why Trump'd do it, but he donated $1.8 million to Trump's re-election. I guess that's it.
Is it weird that I've never seen a real boomerang before today? www.youtube.com/shorts/PyKlY...
Does boomerang size matter?
YouTube video by RamRez Boomerangs
www.youtube.com
March 25, 2025 at 5:36 AM
Is it weird that I've never seen a real boomerang before today? www.youtube.com/shorts/PyKlY...
In private, the subtext becomes the text. "Of course" they thought this way, but the leak gives welcome clarity. Also obvious that the USA benefits directly and indirectly from peaceful Suez Canal / Red Sea trade, but I'm not sure how much.
March 25, 2025 at 3:32 AM
In private, the subtext becomes the text. "Of course" they thought this way, but the leak gives welcome clarity. Also obvious that the USA benefits directly and indirectly from peaceful Suez Canal / Red Sea trade, but I'm not sure how much.
US Security Agencies Halt Coordinated Effort to Counter Russian Sabotage and Cyberattacks 😢 🤷♂️
March 24, 2025 at 11:44 PM
US Security Agencies Halt Coordinated Effort to Counter Russian Sabotage and Cyberattacks 😢 🤷♂️
Putin saying he won't invade Crimea:
x.com/adnashmyash/...
Kremlin saying they won't invade Ukraine:
npr.org/2022/01/10/1...
List of broken ceasefires by Russia (spreadsheet): docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
#evidence
x.com/adnashmyash/...
Kremlin saying they won't invade Ukraine:
npr.org/2022/01/10/1...
List of broken ceasefires by Russia (spreadsheet): docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
#evidence
Maksym Borodin on X: "Trump: I think Putin will keep his word. REALITY: 🧵 https://t.co/ewUVg7EgVI" / X
Trump: I think Putin will keep his word. REALITY: 🧵 https://t.co/ewUVg7EgVI
x.com
March 20, 2025 at 6:23 AM
Putin saying he won't invade Crimea:
x.com/adnashmyash/...
Kremlin saying they won't invade Ukraine:
npr.org/2022/01/10/1...
List of broken ceasefires by Russia (spreadsheet): docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
#evidence
x.com/adnashmyash/...
Kremlin saying they won't invade Ukraine:
npr.org/2022/01/10/1...
List of broken ceasefires by Russia (spreadsheet): docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
#evidence
Lots of Sabine Hossenfelder videos can be summed up as
March 18, 2025 at 4:38 AM
Lots of Sabine Hossenfelder videos can be summed up as
"Voice of America and Radio Liberty have lost their funding by the degree of Donald Trump [after] operating for 83 years…I am deeply saddened by this fact...because in the USSR, Radio Liberty and Voice of America were the only radio stations that were giving us truth, that were giving us facts."
March 17, 2025 at 1:22 AM
"Voice of America and Radio Liberty have lost their funding by the degree of Donald Trump [after] operating for 83 years…I am deeply saddened by this fact...because in the USSR, Radio Liberty and Voice of America were the only radio stations that were giving us truth, that were giving us facts."
Edgy names for an evidence repo?
To me, the most distinctive feature of typical partisans and science deniers is that they simply ignore evidence, so:
OLIER = "Only Liars Ignore the Evidence Repository"
OLIEDY = Only Liars Ignore Evidence. Don't You.
To me, the most distinctive feature of typical partisans and science deniers is that they simply ignore evidence, so:
OLIER = "Only Liars Ignore the Evidence Repository"
OLIEDY = Only Liars Ignore Evidence. Don't You.
March 16, 2025 at 4:13 AM
Edgy names for an evidence repo?
To me, the most distinctive feature of typical partisans and science deniers is that they simply ignore evidence, so:
OLIER = "Only Liars Ignore the Evidence Repository"
OLIEDY = Only Liars Ignore Evidence. Don't You.
To me, the most distinctive feature of typical partisans and science deniers is that they simply ignore evidence, so:
OLIER = "Only Liars Ignore the Evidence Repository"
OLIEDY = Only Liars Ignore Evidence. Don't You.
Reposted by No one listens to me
This isn’t abstract.
This is the process we’re seeing unfold in the US and beyond, where distorted narratives aren’t just debated, but govern.
It’s not a culture war. It’s institutional epistemicide.
This is the process we’re seeing unfold in the US and beyond, where distorted narratives aren’t just debated, but govern.
It’s not a culture war. It’s institutional epistemicide.
March 12, 2025 at 7:38 PM
This isn’t abstract.
This is the process we’re seeing unfold in the US and beyond, where distorted narratives aren’t just debated, but govern.
It’s not a culture war. It’s institutional epistemicide.
This is the process we’re seeing unfold in the US and beyond, where distorted narratives aren’t just debated, but govern.
It’s not a culture war. It’s institutional epistemicide.