Doug Clow
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dougclow.bsky.social
Doug Clow
@dougclow.bsky.social
I help people understand things and change them, with data. Views here my own.
"I can't quite work out whether you're a tremendously silly man, a tremendously serious man or, as I suspect, a rather unholy combination of both."

dougclow.org/contact
Pob lwc!
November 10, 2025 at 11:37 AM
If you cram the syllables in, you can almost make it fit to the Clash:
LUCA was a prokaryote-grade anaerobic acetogen
But they never hurt nobody
They just loved to live that way
And they loved to steal your electron-acceptors other than molecular oxygen
November 9, 2025 at 7:20 PM
Increasingly convinced you’ve identified a core reason why AI has not (yet) boosted productivity at a macro level.
November 9, 2025 at 6:59 PM
Yeah I've been wondering similarly. I don't know, and I'm not sure if surveillance is able to tell us yet. The US defunding the CDC, who do a lot of the global coordination, won't be helping. I do know an H3N2 strain was one of the three selected so definitely worth getting it in arms.
November 9, 2025 at 12:44 PM
Reposted by Doug Clow
If you've missed your GP's flu clinic but are eligible for a free flu jab you can get them free at Boots too! (Probably also other pharmacies).
November 9, 2025 at 9:21 AM
And while I was writing a post about Betteridge’s Law (any question in a headline can be answered “no”) being wrong here for once, they’ve changed the headline from “Will a new mutated flu strain cause a harsh winter?” to “Experts say this could be the worst flu season for a decade - here's why”.
November 9, 2025 at 8:58 AM
The NHS has issued a “flu jab SOS”. If you’ve been procrastinating, it’s now urgent. If you get a flu vax some years, make this year one of them. Get it at a pharmacist for <£25 or free from your GP if 65+/carer/health condition.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Will a new mutated flu strain cause a rough winter?
Leading flu experts say they will not be surprised if this year's is the worst flu season for a decade.
www.bbc.co.uk
November 9, 2025 at 8:42 AM
Yes! Stupid autocorrect! Hodgkin. Thanks.
November 8, 2025 at 9:54 PM
State of Welsh rugby at the moment, wouldn’t be completely implausible that international level players would have to turn to sex work.
November 8, 2025 at 2:13 PM
Speedcubing (competitive solving of twisty puzzles like Rubik's cube) is also mostly a self-improvement activity: a huge roomful of (mostly) kids trying to beat their own personal records.
You're unlikely to be the best in the world, but you can get better than you were - if you push the edges. 3/3
November 8, 2025 at 1:31 PM
I first noticed this with skateboarders. They spend hours mucking about, trying things out, and falling off a lot. At least the really good ones do. Archery's similar: you move the target back until you're struggling to hit golds reliably. Almost all athletes don't even get bronze most times.
2/
November 8, 2025 at 1:31 PM
Yes - one of the fun things was discovering - or trying to - what actually went on across the whole university. You can pack a lot of diversity in to even a highly-centralised system. And PSRBs have requirements for degree recognition that must be met, so policy has to be at least that flexible.
November 8, 2025 at 8:18 AM
Yeah writing densely to fit in a single post didn’t help, sorry!
November 8, 2025 at 8:05 AM
I am almost surely familiar with it.
(Sadly, it’s one of those things I encounter less in adult life than I expected. Like quicksand but more interesting and less threat. The opposite of selection effects/biases, confounding, and correlation/causation muddles, which I see the whole damn time.)
November 8, 2025 at 8:03 AM
So my view was that mean of “best x out of y” cannot possibly turn out lower than using all y for any individual, and that this was pretty obvious. It was not obvious to several (non STEM) folk. Asking for a counter example wouldn’t have helped - they worried the idea would sneak in detriment.
November 8, 2025 at 8:00 AM
“How confident are you that the actual outcome will fall within the range of scenarios shown?”
“Pretty confident.”
“Care to put a number on that?”
“1”
November 7, 2025 at 11:03 PM