Don Johnson
@donjohnson.bsky.social
@Htmldon on other platforms.
From Memphis, Resident of Nashville. Purveyor of Tennessee exceptionalism. Opinions are my own. Easily distracted by maps.
From Memphis, Resident of Nashville. Purveyor of Tennessee exceptionalism. Opinions are my own. Easily distracted by maps.
Voters in Knoxville rejected a .5% sales tax increase by a 23-point margin yesterday. The measure, which would have earmarked funds for parks and infrastructure, was supported downtown and in a couple of affluent precincts to the west but failed badly elsewhere. Precinct map:
November 5, 2025 at 1:50 PM
Voters in Knoxville rejected a .5% sales tax increase by a 23-point margin yesterday. The measure, which would have earmarked funds for parks and infrastructure, was supported downtown and in a couple of affluent precincts to the west but failed badly elsewhere. Precinct map:
Finally, here is the Republican vs. Democratic primary votes in the district by precinct. Outlier here is the blue (by 5 votes) precinct in southern Cheatham County at Kingston Springs. There are a fair bit of new homes in this area as Nashville sprawls westward down I-40.
October 27, 2025 at 1:48 PM
Finally, here is the Republican vs. Democratic primary votes in the district by precinct. Outlier here is the blue (by 5 votes) precinct in southern Cheatham County at Kingston Springs. There are a fair bit of new homes in this area as Nashville sprawls westward down I-40.
On the Dem side, though a few votes can earn a precinct win in the rural parts of the district, would be interesting to know why Rep. Mitchell did so well along I-40 while Copeland carried the far north and south.
October 27, 2025 at 1:48 PM
On the Dem side, though a few votes can earn a precinct win in the rural parts of the district, would be interesting to know why Rep. Mitchell did so well along I-40 while Copeland carried the far north and south.
With precinct data official for #TN07 10/7 special primaries, here is the whole district. GOP runner-up Rep. Barrett strongest in west Hickman Co. in heart of his state house district. Bulso won 2 boxes around Erin, far from his WillCo base but in hometown of endorser Rep. Reedy.
October 27, 2025 at 1:48 PM
With precinct data official for #TN07 10/7 special primaries, here is the whole district. GOP runner-up Rep. Barrett strongest in west Hickman Co. in heart of his state house district. Bulso won 2 boxes around Erin, far from his WillCo base but in hometown of endorser Rep. Reedy.
And now the more fragmented Dem contest: Rep. Dixie carried majority-African American precincts in Nashville and Clarksville, Rep. Behn drew support from urban white voters, and Reps. Mitchell and Copeland split the limited rural Democratic vote. #TN07
October 20, 2025 at 1:06 AM
And now the more fragmented Dem contest: Rep. Dixie carried majority-African American precincts in Nashville and Clarksville, Rep. Behn drew support from urban white voters, and Reps. Mitchell and Copeland split the limited rural Democratic vote. #TN07
Tomorrow is Election Day in #TN07. Here’s a map of the early & absentee vote share by county, showing how much each county contributed to each primary & party share by county. Dems usually overperform in early/abs votes so expect the GOP share to increase with tomorrow's totals.
October 6, 2025 at 12:20 PM
Tomorrow is Election Day in #TN07. Here’s a map of the early & absentee vote share by county, showing how much each county contributed to each primary & party share by county. Dems usually overperform in early/abs votes so expect the GOP share to increase with tomorrow's totals.
Vote change in Ontario vs. 2021 - both major parties gained votes at the expense of left (NDP/Green) and right (PPC) alternatives. Mostly the same story across Canada tonight.
April 29, 2025 at 2:37 AM
Vote change in Ontario vs. 2021 - both major parties gained votes at the expense of left (NDP/Green) and right (PPC) alternatives. Mostly the same story across Canada tonight.
CBC projects Liberal PM Mark Carney will retain government - whether it is a majority or minority is still a question. Regardless of how one feels about this result, the last couple of months in Canadian politics have made for a wild political story.
April 29, 2025 at 2:17 AM
CBC projects Liberal PM Mark Carney will retain government - whether it is a majority or minority is still a question. Regardless of how one feels about this result, the last couple of months in Canadian politics have made for a wild political story.
The NDP currently leads in only one seat across Canada... in *checks notes* rural Alberta??? (just one poll/precinct reporting, will definitely change blue as more come in)
April 29, 2025 at 1:52 AM
The NDP currently leads in only one seat across Canada... in *checks notes* rural Alberta??? (just one poll/precinct reporting, will definitely change blue as more come in)
If BSW were to cross the 5% threshold, not only would it go from 0 seats to ~35 seats, it would force the CDU into coalition with not just the SPD, but (likely) the Greens - a party which BSW's founder is most culturally opposed to.
February 23, 2025 at 10:12 PM
If BSW were to cross the 5% threshold, not only would it go from 0 seats to ~35 seats, it would force the CDU into coalition with not just the SPD, but (likely) the Greens - a party which BSW's founder is most culturally opposed to.
Belatedly posting estimates of TN’s Presidential results by State House, State Senate, and US House districts. Precinct splits complicate calculations, but Rep. Gillespie (R) won a Harris-voting district, and Rep. Glynn (D)’s district (may have) narrowly supported Trump.
December 15, 2024 at 7:39 PM
Belatedly posting estimates of TN’s Presidential results by State House, State Senate, and US House districts. Precinct splits complicate calculations, but Rep. Gillespie (R) won a Harris-voting district, and Rep. Glynn (D)’s district (may have) narrowly supported Trump.
The Secretary of State's office published Tennessee's 11/5 election results by precinct moments ago. Here is a map of these results:
December 2, 2024 at 9:30 PM
The Secretary of State's office published Tennessee's 11/5 election results by precinct moments ago. Here is a map of these results:
Nashville's partisan split for US Senate mirrored (62D-35R) the Presidential contest with a few less votes cast for Senate. The inset map details the differences between the two contests. There was one Harris-Blackburn precinct (outlined in yellow) at Brentwood Hills Church of Christ on Franklin Pk.
November 17, 2024 at 2:54 AM
Nashville's partisan split for US Senate mirrored (62D-35R) the Presidential contest with a few less votes cast for Senate. The inset map details the differences between the two contests. There was one Harris-Blackburn precinct (outlined in yellow) at Brentwood Hills Church of Christ on Franklin Pk.
Map of Hamilton Co. TN (Chattanooga) Presidential results by precinct. The county had a 3.3pt margin swing towards Trump '24, the smallest of the state's big-4 urban counties.
November 16, 2024 at 9:43 PM
Map of Hamilton Co. TN (Chattanooga) Presidential results by precinct. The county had a 3.3pt margin swing towards Trump '24, the smallest of the state's big-4 urban counties.
By a small margin, Knoxville voters rejected a charter amendment which would have returned city council elections to at-large citywide votes rather than districts. Remarkably little variation between precincts with north Knoxville more opposed and center/west areas supportive.
November 16, 2024 at 4:28 PM
By a small margin, Knoxville voters rejected a charter amendment which would have returned city council elections to at-large citywide votes rather than districts. Remarkably little variation between precincts with north Knoxville more opposed and center/west areas supportive.
Map of the Presidential results by precinct from Knox Co. TN. The margin swing of the county was 4.4pts towards Trump '24 which was pretty evenly distributed. In 2020, all precincts within the I-640/40 loop were blue, this year Westview and the area near Alice Bell Park went red.
November 14, 2024 at 2:03 PM
Map of the Presidential results by precinct from Knox Co. TN. The margin swing of the county was 4.4pts towards Trump '24 which was pretty evenly distributed. In 2020, all precincts within the I-640/40 loop were blue, this year Westview and the area near Alice Bell Park went red.
Map of the Nashville transit referendum vote, which passed by a nearly 2-1 margin. "For" earned a majority in every council district - strongest support was D6 (81%), weakest was D10 (55%).
November 11, 2024 at 9:30 PM
Map of the Nashville transit referendum vote, which passed by a nearly 2-1 margin. "For" earned a majority in every council district - strongest support was D6 (81%), weakest was D10 (55%).
Here’s a map of the 11/5 Presidential results in Nashville by precinct and council district. Harris won every council dist., with closest margins in D11 and D35 where she led by just under 4pts. Compared to '20, Trump gained 1.6K votes while Harris received 18K fewer than Biden.
November 9, 2024 at 8:48 PM
Here’s a map of the 11/5 Presidential results in Nashville by precinct and council district. Harris won every council dist., with closest margins in D11 and D35 where she led by just under 4pts. Compared to '20, Trump gained 1.6K votes while Harris received 18K fewer than Biden.
TN recently lost a great statesman, our 43rd Governor Winfield Dunn, the 1st Republican Gov in the modern era. Here's a visual of his runs for office - his win in 1970 and valiant comeback attempt in 1986.
October 7, 2024 at 2:18 PM
TN recently lost a great statesman, our 43rd Governor Winfield Dunn, the 1st Republican Gov in the modern era. Here's a visual of his runs for office - his win in 1970 and valiant comeback attempt in 1986.
Here's a map of the other TN Senate incumbent to lose their primary - Frank Niceley, who served 6 terms in the House and was seeking his 4th in the Senate, lost to Jesse Seal 12-point margin.
September 3, 2024 at 12:33 PM
Here's a map of the other TN Senate incumbent to lose their primary - Frank Niceley, who served 6 terms in the House and was seeking his 4th in the Senate, lost to Jesse Seal 12-point margin.
Here's a precinct-level map of the 8/1 primary in TN State Sen. Dist. 4, where incumbent Jon Lundberg lost a close race to Trump-endorsed Bobby Harshbarger.
Lundberg won Bristol, downtown Kingsport, and Rogersville, but could not overcome Harshbarger's margins in the rural parts of the district.
Lundberg won Bristol, downtown Kingsport, and Rogersville, but could not overcome Harshbarger's margins in the rural parts of the district.
September 2, 2024 at 10:55 PM
Here's a precinct-level map of the 8/1 primary in TN State Sen. Dist. 4, where incumbent Jon Lundberg lost a close race to Trump-endorsed Bobby Harshbarger.
Lundberg won Bristol, downtown Kingsport, and Rogersville, but could not overcome Harshbarger's margins in the rural parts of the district.
Lundberg won Bristol, downtown Kingsport, and Rogersville, but could not overcome Harshbarger's margins in the rural parts of the district.
On 8/1, TN voters wisely voted to retain Supreme Court Justice Dwight Tarwater by a 73-27 margin, slightly higher than the average retain vote in the last 10 years. Replace votes were more prevalent in Dem-voting areas, and all but 3 of the Replace precincts were in Big-4 cities.
September 2, 2024 at 7:11 PM
On 8/1, TN voters wisely voted to retain Supreme Court Justice Dwight Tarwater by a 73-27 margin, slightly higher than the average retain vote in the last 10 years. Replace votes were more prevalent in Dem-voting areas, and all but 3 of the Replace precincts were in Big-4 cities.
As we await data from all counties to be published, here's a preview of the 8/1 US House Dist. 5 GOP primary results by precinct in 3 co's that have released unofficial tallies thus far - Davidson, Williamson, and Maury.
August 18, 2024 at 11:26 PM
As we await data from all counties to be published, here's a preview of the 8/1 US House Dist. 5 GOP primary results by precinct in 3 co's that have released unofficial tallies thus far - Davidson, Williamson, and Maury.
With TN's primary elections tomorrow, here's a map comparing early/abs turnout with Aug 2020. Most counties saw fewer early votes than 4 yrs ago, but you can spot the hot primaries or competitive county generals where turnout hasn't dropped as much (or in 7 counties increased).
July 31, 2024 at 1:00 PM
With TN's primary elections tomorrow, here's a map comparing early/abs turnout with Aug 2020. Most counties saw fewer early votes than 4 yrs ago, but you can spot the hot primaries or competitive county generals where turnout hasn't dropped as much (or in 7 counties increased).