dolphin_dane
dolphindane.bsky.social
dolphin_dane
@dolphindane.bsky.social
Bookmaker percentages via @eurovisionworld.com
May 13, 2025 at 10:17 PM
And that is all! Don't hesitate to ask if you have any questions about the results. And if you enjoyed reading, please consider giving me a follow for more data-driven analysis of the Eurovision Song Contest and the world surrounding it. Happy Eurovision week!
Take care!
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Georgia 🇬🇪
Mariam Shengelia - Freedom
Tele-power: 7.148% (-0.433%)
Jury-power: 20.273% (+0.233%)

Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 5 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 10 chance: 0% (-0.001%)
Qualification chance: 0.667% (-0.917%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Croatia 🇭🇷
Marko Bošnjak - Poison Cake
Tele-power: 22.226% (+3.504%)
Jury-power: 17.153% (+2.116%)

Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 5 chance: 0.002% (+0.002%)
Top 10 chance: 0.024% (+0.022%)
Qualification chance: 21.98% (+3.806%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Azerbaijan 🇦🇿
Mamagama - Run with U
Tele-power: 16.585% (-4.197%)
Jury-power: 23.943% (-4.144%)

Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (-0.001%)
Top 5 chance: 0% (-0.005%)
Top 10 chance: 0.018% (-0.072%)
Qualification chance: 5.475% (-6.82%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Ireland 🇮🇪
Emmy - Laika Party
Tele-power: 33.759% (+2.652%)
Jury-power: 20.73% (+3.368%)

Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.005% (+0.004%)
Top 5 chance: 0.023% (-0.003%)
Top 10 chance: 0.378% (+0.099%)
Qualification chance: 35.101% (-1.573%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Spain 🇪🇸
Melody - Esa diva
Tele-power: 27.518% (+1.74%)
Jury-power: 28.467% (+3.56%)

Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.002% (+0.001%)
Top 5 chance: 0.014% (-0.009%)
Top 10 chance: 0.341% (-0.013%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Iceland 🇮🇸
Væb - Róa
Tele-power: 38.942% (+4.311%)
Jury-power: 18.358% (+2.915%)

Winner chance: 0.001% (+0.001%)
Top 3 chance: 0.024% (+0.012%)
Top 5 chance: 0.128% (+0.085%)
Top 10 chance: 1.263% (+0.679%)
Qualification chance: 44.998% (+3.072%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Serbia 🇷🇸
Princ - Mila
Tele-power: 25.221% (+8.44%)
Jury-power: 35.368% (+8.72%)

Winner chance: 0.001% (+0.001%)
Top 3 chance: 0.015% (+0.013%)
Top 5 chance: 0.087% (+0.075%)
Top 10 chance: 0.848% (+0.556%)
Qualification chance: 46.732% (+11.362%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
San Marino 🇸🇲
Gabry Ponte - Tutta l'Italia
Tele-power: 37.336% (-10.875%)
Jury-power: 23.686% (-3.288%)

Winner chance: 0.002% (-0.016%)
Top 3 chance: 0.01% (-0.204%)
Top 5 chance: 0.041% (-0.755%)
Top 10 chance: 0.627% (-4.757%)
Qualification chance: 49.784% (-26.268%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Armenia 🇦🇲
Parg - Survivor
Tele-power: 36.241% (+6.204%)
Jury-power: 26.715% (+2.767%)

Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.005% (+0.004%)
Top 5 chance: 0.04% (+0.024%)
Top 10 chance: 0.745% (+0.381%)
Qualification chance: 54.001% (+5.227%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Montenegro 🇲🇪
Nina Žižić - Dobrodošli
Tele-power: 19.307% (-4.125%)
Jury-power: 45.876% (-1.449%)

Winner chance: 0% (-0.002%)
Top 3 chance: 0.011% (-0.034%)
Top 5 chance: 0.036% (-0.153%)
Top 10 chance: 0.321% (-1.035%)
Qualification chance: 4.549% (-6.819%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Slovenia 🇸🇮
Klemen - How Much Time Do We Have Left
Tele-power: 27.19% (+10.986%)
Jury-power: 40.657% (+9.379%)

Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.024% (+0.024%)
Top 5 chance: 0.12% (+0.111%)
Top 10 chance: 0.86% (+0.767%)
Qualification chance: 18.383% (+11.594%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Portugal 🇵🇹
Napa - Deslocado
Tele-power: 24.781% (-5.793%)
Jury-power: 43.467% (-4.625%)

Winner chance: 0.005% (-0.004%)
Top 3 chance: 0.044% (-0.051%)
Top 5 chance: 0.169% (-0.257%)
Top 10 chance: 1.005% (-1.802%)
Qualification chance: 16.013% (-16.716%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Denmark 🇩🇰
Sissal - Hallucination
Tele-power: 36.569% (-2.727%)
Jury-power: 46.825% (-1.434%)

Winner chance: 0.017% (-0.014%)
Top 3 chance: 0.122% (-0.09%)
Top 5 chance: 0.427% (-0.373%)
Top 10 chance: 3.009% (-2.505%)
Qualification chance: 36.33% (-13.269%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
United Kingdom 🇬🇧
Remember Monday - What the Hell Just Happened?
Tele-power: 26.825% (+1.751%)
Jury-power: 52.299% (+5.122%)

Winner chance: 0.064% (+0.038%)
Top 3 chance: 0.736% (+0.349%)
Top 5 chance: 2.395% (+1.013%)
Top 10 chance: 10.805% (+3.101%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Luxembourg 🇱🇺
Laura Thorn - La poupée monte le son
Tele-power: 43.869% (+2.356%)
Jury-power: 48.796% (+1.028%)

Winner chance: 0.009% (-0.003%)
Top 3 chance: 0.149% (-0.025%)
Top 5 chance: 0.764% (+0.08%)
Top 10 chance: 7.426% (+2.169%)
Qualification chance: 66.69% (-1.027%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM