dolphin_dane
@dolphindane.bsky.social
Introducing THE BIG EUROVISION PREDICTION SURVEY 2026 - PARTICIPANTS
With the 2025 season wrapped up it's time to look to 2026. Which countries will be taking part? With which artists? Send in your predictions now and prove your Eurovision wisdom for good! forms.gle/w9U9UDVZjXNb...
With the 2025 season wrapped up it's time to look to 2026. Which countries will be taking part? With which artists? Send in your predictions now and prove your Eurovision wisdom for good! forms.gle/w9U9UDVZjXNb...
June 7, 2025 at 9:03 AM
Introducing THE BIG EUROVISION PREDICTION SURVEY 2026 - PARTICIPANTS
With the 2025 season wrapped up it's time to look to 2026. Which countries will be taking part? With which artists? Send in your predictions now and prove your Eurovision wisdom for good! forms.gle/w9U9UDVZjXNb...
With the 2025 season wrapped up it's time to look to 2026. Which countries will be taking part? With which artists? Send in your predictions now and prove your Eurovision wisdom for good! forms.gle/w9U9UDVZjXNb...
Just compared the Qual. chances forecast by my April and May models with their contemporary odds, as well as the final odds. Turns out, while the May model outperformed the bookmakers the April model was even more accurate providing more accurate chances for EVERY SINGLE ENTRY than contemporary odds
May 13, 2025 at 10:17 PM
Just compared the Qual. chances forecast by my April and May models with their contemporary odds, as well as the final odds. Turns out, while the May model outperformed the bookmakers the April model was even more accurate providing more accurate chances for EVERY SINGLE ENTRY than contemporary odds
How is running order impacting your #Eurovision favourite's chances? Due to recency bias televoters are more prone to vote for songs they saw the latest. In fact the difference between the songs performing 2nd and last is a full 15% of the rating scale. See my full estimates here
May 13, 2025 at 12:34 PM
How is running order impacting your #Eurovision favourite's chances? Due to recency bias televoters are more prone to vote for songs they saw the latest. In fact the difference between the songs performing 2nd and last is a full 15% of the rating scale. See my full estimates here
Georgia 🇬🇪
Mariam Shengelia - Freedom
Tele-power: 7.148% (-0.433%)
Jury-power: 20.273% (+0.233%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 5 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 10 chance: 0% (-0.001%)
Qualification chance: 0.667% (-0.917%)
Mariam Shengelia - Freedom
Tele-power: 7.148% (-0.433%)
Jury-power: 20.273% (+0.233%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 5 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 10 chance: 0% (-0.001%)
Qualification chance: 0.667% (-0.917%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Georgia 🇬🇪
Mariam Shengelia - Freedom
Tele-power: 7.148% (-0.433%)
Jury-power: 20.273% (+0.233%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 5 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 10 chance: 0% (-0.001%)
Qualification chance: 0.667% (-0.917%)
Mariam Shengelia - Freedom
Tele-power: 7.148% (-0.433%)
Jury-power: 20.273% (+0.233%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 5 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 10 chance: 0% (-0.001%)
Qualification chance: 0.667% (-0.917%)
Croatia 🇭🇷
Marko Bošnjak - Poison Cake
Tele-power: 22.226% (+3.504%)
Jury-power: 17.153% (+2.116%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 5 chance: 0.002% (+0.002%)
Top 10 chance: 0.024% (+0.022%)
Qualification chance: 21.98% (+3.806%)
Marko Bošnjak - Poison Cake
Tele-power: 22.226% (+3.504%)
Jury-power: 17.153% (+2.116%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 5 chance: 0.002% (+0.002%)
Top 10 chance: 0.024% (+0.022%)
Qualification chance: 21.98% (+3.806%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Croatia 🇭🇷
Marko Bošnjak - Poison Cake
Tele-power: 22.226% (+3.504%)
Jury-power: 17.153% (+2.116%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 5 chance: 0.002% (+0.002%)
Top 10 chance: 0.024% (+0.022%)
Qualification chance: 21.98% (+3.806%)
Marko Bošnjak - Poison Cake
Tele-power: 22.226% (+3.504%)
Jury-power: 17.153% (+2.116%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (0%)
Top 5 chance: 0.002% (+0.002%)
Top 10 chance: 0.024% (+0.022%)
Qualification chance: 21.98% (+3.806%)
Azerbaijan 🇦🇿
Mamagama - Run with U
Tele-power: 16.585% (-4.197%)
Jury-power: 23.943% (-4.144%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (-0.001%)
Top 5 chance: 0% (-0.005%)
Top 10 chance: 0.018% (-0.072%)
Qualification chance: 5.475% (-6.82%)
Mamagama - Run with U
Tele-power: 16.585% (-4.197%)
Jury-power: 23.943% (-4.144%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (-0.001%)
Top 5 chance: 0% (-0.005%)
Top 10 chance: 0.018% (-0.072%)
Qualification chance: 5.475% (-6.82%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Azerbaijan 🇦🇿
Mamagama - Run with U
Tele-power: 16.585% (-4.197%)
Jury-power: 23.943% (-4.144%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (-0.001%)
Top 5 chance: 0% (-0.005%)
Top 10 chance: 0.018% (-0.072%)
Qualification chance: 5.475% (-6.82%)
Mamagama - Run with U
Tele-power: 16.585% (-4.197%)
Jury-power: 23.943% (-4.144%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0% (-0.001%)
Top 5 chance: 0% (-0.005%)
Top 10 chance: 0.018% (-0.072%)
Qualification chance: 5.475% (-6.82%)
Ireland 🇮🇪
Emmy - Laika Party
Tele-power: 33.759% (+2.652%)
Jury-power: 20.73% (+3.368%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.005% (+0.004%)
Top 5 chance: 0.023% (-0.003%)
Top 10 chance: 0.378% (+0.099%)
Qualification chance: 35.101% (-1.573%)
Emmy - Laika Party
Tele-power: 33.759% (+2.652%)
Jury-power: 20.73% (+3.368%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.005% (+0.004%)
Top 5 chance: 0.023% (-0.003%)
Top 10 chance: 0.378% (+0.099%)
Qualification chance: 35.101% (-1.573%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Ireland 🇮🇪
Emmy - Laika Party
Tele-power: 33.759% (+2.652%)
Jury-power: 20.73% (+3.368%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.005% (+0.004%)
Top 5 chance: 0.023% (-0.003%)
Top 10 chance: 0.378% (+0.099%)
Qualification chance: 35.101% (-1.573%)
Emmy - Laika Party
Tele-power: 33.759% (+2.652%)
Jury-power: 20.73% (+3.368%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.005% (+0.004%)
Top 5 chance: 0.023% (-0.003%)
Top 10 chance: 0.378% (+0.099%)
Qualification chance: 35.101% (-1.573%)
Spain 🇪🇸
Melody - Esa diva
Tele-power: 27.518% (+1.74%)
Jury-power: 28.467% (+3.56%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.002% (+0.001%)
Top 5 chance: 0.014% (-0.009%)
Top 10 chance: 0.341% (-0.013%)
Melody - Esa diva
Tele-power: 27.518% (+1.74%)
Jury-power: 28.467% (+3.56%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.002% (+0.001%)
Top 5 chance: 0.014% (-0.009%)
Top 10 chance: 0.341% (-0.013%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Spain 🇪🇸
Melody - Esa diva
Tele-power: 27.518% (+1.74%)
Jury-power: 28.467% (+3.56%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.002% (+0.001%)
Top 5 chance: 0.014% (-0.009%)
Top 10 chance: 0.341% (-0.013%)
Melody - Esa diva
Tele-power: 27.518% (+1.74%)
Jury-power: 28.467% (+3.56%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.002% (+0.001%)
Top 5 chance: 0.014% (-0.009%)
Top 10 chance: 0.341% (-0.013%)
Iceland 🇮🇸
Væb - Róa
Tele-power: 38.942% (+4.311%)
Jury-power: 18.358% (+2.915%)
Winner chance: 0.001% (+0.001%)
Top 3 chance: 0.024% (+0.012%)
Top 5 chance: 0.128% (+0.085%)
Top 10 chance: 1.263% (+0.679%)
Qualification chance: 44.998% (+3.072%)
Væb - Róa
Tele-power: 38.942% (+4.311%)
Jury-power: 18.358% (+2.915%)
Winner chance: 0.001% (+0.001%)
Top 3 chance: 0.024% (+0.012%)
Top 5 chance: 0.128% (+0.085%)
Top 10 chance: 1.263% (+0.679%)
Qualification chance: 44.998% (+3.072%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Iceland 🇮🇸
Væb - Róa
Tele-power: 38.942% (+4.311%)
Jury-power: 18.358% (+2.915%)
Winner chance: 0.001% (+0.001%)
Top 3 chance: 0.024% (+0.012%)
Top 5 chance: 0.128% (+0.085%)
Top 10 chance: 1.263% (+0.679%)
Qualification chance: 44.998% (+3.072%)
Væb - Róa
Tele-power: 38.942% (+4.311%)
Jury-power: 18.358% (+2.915%)
Winner chance: 0.001% (+0.001%)
Top 3 chance: 0.024% (+0.012%)
Top 5 chance: 0.128% (+0.085%)
Top 10 chance: 1.263% (+0.679%)
Qualification chance: 44.998% (+3.072%)
Serbia 🇷🇸
Princ - Mila
Tele-power: 25.221% (+8.44%)
Jury-power: 35.368% (+8.72%)
Winner chance: 0.001% (+0.001%)
Top 3 chance: 0.015% (+0.013%)
Top 5 chance: 0.087% (+0.075%)
Top 10 chance: 0.848% (+0.556%)
Qualification chance: 46.732% (+11.362%)
Princ - Mila
Tele-power: 25.221% (+8.44%)
Jury-power: 35.368% (+8.72%)
Winner chance: 0.001% (+0.001%)
Top 3 chance: 0.015% (+0.013%)
Top 5 chance: 0.087% (+0.075%)
Top 10 chance: 0.848% (+0.556%)
Qualification chance: 46.732% (+11.362%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Serbia 🇷🇸
Princ - Mila
Tele-power: 25.221% (+8.44%)
Jury-power: 35.368% (+8.72%)
Winner chance: 0.001% (+0.001%)
Top 3 chance: 0.015% (+0.013%)
Top 5 chance: 0.087% (+0.075%)
Top 10 chance: 0.848% (+0.556%)
Qualification chance: 46.732% (+11.362%)
Princ - Mila
Tele-power: 25.221% (+8.44%)
Jury-power: 35.368% (+8.72%)
Winner chance: 0.001% (+0.001%)
Top 3 chance: 0.015% (+0.013%)
Top 5 chance: 0.087% (+0.075%)
Top 10 chance: 0.848% (+0.556%)
Qualification chance: 46.732% (+11.362%)
San Marino 🇸🇲
Gabry Ponte - Tutta l'Italia
Tele-power: 37.336% (-10.875%)
Jury-power: 23.686% (-3.288%)
Winner chance: 0.002% (-0.016%)
Top 3 chance: 0.01% (-0.204%)
Top 5 chance: 0.041% (-0.755%)
Top 10 chance: 0.627% (-4.757%)
Qualification chance: 49.784% (-26.268%)
Gabry Ponte - Tutta l'Italia
Tele-power: 37.336% (-10.875%)
Jury-power: 23.686% (-3.288%)
Winner chance: 0.002% (-0.016%)
Top 3 chance: 0.01% (-0.204%)
Top 5 chance: 0.041% (-0.755%)
Top 10 chance: 0.627% (-4.757%)
Qualification chance: 49.784% (-26.268%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
San Marino 🇸🇲
Gabry Ponte - Tutta l'Italia
Tele-power: 37.336% (-10.875%)
Jury-power: 23.686% (-3.288%)
Winner chance: 0.002% (-0.016%)
Top 3 chance: 0.01% (-0.204%)
Top 5 chance: 0.041% (-0.755%)
Top 10 chance: 0.627% (-4.757%)
Qualification chance: 49.784% (-26.268%)
Gabry Ponte - Tutta l'Italia
Tele-power: 37.336% (-10.875%)
Jury-power: 23.686% (-3.288%)
Winner chance: 0.002% (-0.016%)
Top 3 chance: 0.01% (-0.204%)
Top 5 chance: 0.041% (-0.755%)
Top 10 chance: 0.627% (-4.757%)
Qualification chance: 49.784% (-26.268%)
Armenia 🇦🇲
Parg - Survivor
Tele-power: 36.241% (+6.204%)
Jury-power: 26.715% (+2.767%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.005% (+0.004%)
Top 5 chance: 0.04% (+0.024%)
Top 10 chance: 0.745% (+0.381%)
Qualification chance: 54.001% (+5.227%)
Parg - Survivor
Tele-power: 36.241% (+6.204%)
Jury-power: 26.715% (+2.767%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.005% (+0.004%)
Top 5 chance: 0.04% (+0.024%)
Top 10 chance: 0.745% (+0.381%)
Qualification chance: 54.001% (+5.227%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Armenia 🇦🇲
Parg - Survivor
Tele-power: 36.241% (+6.204%)
Jury-power: 26.715% (+2.767%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.005% (+0.004%)
Top 5 chance: 0.04% (+0.024%)
Top 10 chance: 0.745% (+0.381%)
Qualification chance: 54.001% (+5.227%)
Parg - Survivor
Tele-power: 36.241% (+6.204%)
Jury-power: 26.715% (+2.767%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.005% (+0.004%)
Top 5 chance: 0.04% (+0.024%)
Top 10 chance: 0.745% (+0.381%)
Qualification chance: 54.001% (+5.227%)
Montenegro 🇲🇪
Nina Žižić - Dobrodošli
Tele-power: 19.307% (-4.125%)
Jury-power: 45.876% (-1.449%)
Winner chance: 0% (-0.002%)
Top 3 chance: 0.011% (-0.034%)
Top 5 chance: 0.036% (-0.153%)
Top 10 chance: 0.321% (-1.035%)
Qualification chance: 4.549% (-6.819%)
Nina Žižić - Dobrodošli
Tele-power: 19.307% (-4.125%)
Jury-power: 45.876% (-1.449%)
Winner chance: 0% (-0.002%)
Top 3 chance: 0.011% (-0.034%)
Top 5 chance: 0.036% (-0.153%)
Top 10 chance: 0.321% (-1.035%)
Qualification chance: 4.549% (-6.819%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Montenegro 🇲🇪
Nina Žižić - Dobrodošli
Tele-power: 19.307% (-4.125%)
Jury-power: 45.876% (-1.449%)
Winner chance: 0% (-0.002%)
Top 3 chance: 0.011% (-0.034%)
Top 5 chance: 0.036% (-0.153%)
Top 10 chance: 0.321% (-1.035%)
Qualification chance: 4.549% (-6.819%)
Nina Žižić - Dobrodošli
Tele-power: 19.307% (-4.125%)
Jury-power: 45.876% (-1.449%)
Winner chance: 0% (-0.002%)
Top 3 chance: 0.011% (-0.034%)
Top 5 chance: 0.036% (-0.153%)
Top 10 chance: 0.321% (-1.035%)
Qualification chance: 4.549% (-6.819%)
Slovenia 🇸🇮
Klemen - How Much Time Do We Have Left
Tele-power: 27.19% (+10.986%)
Jury-power: 40.657% (+9.379%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.024% (+0.024%)
Top 5 chance: 0.12% (+0.111%)
Top 10 chance: 0.86% (+0.767%)
Qualification chance: 18.383% (+11.594%)
Klemen - How Much Time Do We Have Left
Tele-power: 27.19% (+10.986%)
Jury-power: 40.657% (+9.379%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.024% (+0.024%)
Top 5 chance: 0.12% (+0.111%)
Top 10 chance: 0.86% (+0.767%)
Qualification chance: 18.383% (+11.594%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Slovenia 🇸🇮
Klemen - How Much Time Do We Have Left
Tele-power: 27.19% (+10.986%)
Jury-power: 40.657% (+9.379%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.024% (+0.024%)
Top 5 chance: 0.12% (+0.111%)
Top 10 chance: 0.86% (+0.767%)
Qualification chance: 18.383% (+11.594%)
Klemen - How Much Time Do We Have Left
Tele-power: 27.19% (+10.986%)
Jury-power: 40.657% (+9.379%)
Winner chance: 0% (0%)
Top 3 chance: 0.024% (+0.024%)
Top 5 chance: 0.12% (+0.111%)
Top 10 chance: 0.86% (+0.767%)
Qualification chance: 18.383% (+11.594%)
Portugal 🇵🇹
Napa - Deslocado
Tele-power: 24.781% (-5.793%)
Jury-power: 43.467% (-4.625%)
Winner chance: 0.005% (-0.004%)
Top 3 chance: 0.044% (-0.051%)
Top 5 chance: 0.169% (-0.257%)
Top 10 chance: 1.005% (-1.802%)
Qualification chance: 16.013% (-16.716%)
Napa - Deslocado
Tele-power: 24.781% (-5.793%)
Jury-power: 43.467% (-4.625%)
Winner chance: 0.005% (-0.004%)
Top 3 chance: 0.044% (-0.051%)
Top 5 chance: 0.169% (-0.257%)
Top 10 chance: 1.005% (-1.802%)
Qualification chance: 16.013% (-16.716%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Portugal 🇵🇹
Napa - Deslocado
Tele-power: 24.781% (-5.793%)
Jury-power: 43.467% (-4.625%)
Winner chance: 0.005% (-0.004%)
Top 3 chance: 0.044% (-0.051%)
Top 5 chance: 0.169% (-0.257%)
Top 10 chance: 1.005% (-1.802%)
Qualification chance: 16.013% (-16.716%)
Napa - Deslocado
Tele-power: 24.781% (-5.793%)
Jury-power: 43.467% (-4.625%)
Winner chance: 0.005% (-0.004%)
Top 3 chance: 0.044% (-0.051%)
Top 5 chance: 0.169% (-0.257%)
Top 10 chance: 1.005% (-1.802%)
Qualification chance: 16.013% (-16.716%)
Denmark 🇩🇰
Sissal - Hallucination
Tele-power: 36.569% (-2.727%)
Jury-power: 46.825% (-1.434%)
Winner chance: 0.017% (-0.014%)
Top 3 chance: 0.122% (-0.09%)
Top 5 chance: 0.427% (-0.373%)
Top 10 chance: 3.009% (-2.505%)
Qualification chance: 36.33% (-13.269%)
Sissal - Hallucination
Tele-power: 36.569% (-2.727%)
Jury-power: 46.825% (-1.434%)
Winner chance: 0.017% (-0.014%)
Top 3 chance: 0.122% (-0.09%)
Top 5 chance: 0.427% (-0.373%)
Top 10 chance: 3.009% (-2.505%)
Qualification chance: 36.33% (-13.269%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Denmark 🇩🇰
Sissal - Hallucination
Tele-power: 36.569% (-2.727%)
Jury-power: 46.825% (-1.434%)
Winner chance: 0.017% (-0.014%)
Top 3 chance: 0.122% (-0.09%)
Top 5 chance: 0.427% (-0.373%)
Top 10 chance: 3.009% (-2.505%)
Qualification chance: 36.33% (-13.269%)
Sissal - Hallucination
Tele-power: 36.569% (-2.727%)
Jury-power: 46.825% (-1.434%)
Winner chance: 0.017% (-0.014%)
Top 3 chance: 0.122% (-0.09%)
Top 5 chance: 0.427% (-0.373%)
Top 10 chance: 3.009% (-2.505%)
Qualification chance: 36.33% (-13.269%)
United Kingdom 🇬🇧
Remember Monday - What the Hell Just Happened?
Tele-power: 26.825% (+1.751%)
Jury-power: 52.299% (+5.122%)
Winner chance: 0.064% (+0.038%)
Top 3 chance: 0.736% (+0.349%)
Top 5 chance: 2.395% (+1.013%)
Top 10 chance: 10.805% (+3.101%)
Remember Monday - What the Hell Just Happened?
Tele-power: 26.825% (+1.751%)
Jury-power: 52.299% (+5.122%)
Winner chance: 0.064% (+0.038%)
Top 3 chance: 0.736% (+0.349%)
Top 5 chance: 2.395% (+1.013%)
Top 10 chance: 10.805% (+3.101%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
United Kingdom 🇬🇧
Remember Monday - What the Hell Just Happened?
Tele-power: 26.825% (+1.751%)
Jury-power: 52.299% (+5.122%)
Winner chance: 0.064% (+0.038%)
Top 3 chance: 0.736% (+0.349%)
Top 5 chance: 2.395% (+1.013%)
Top 10 chance: 10.805% (+3.101%)
Remember Monday - What the Hell Just Happened?
Tele-power: 26.825% (+1.751%)
Jury-power: 52.299% (+5.122%)
Winner chance: 0.064% (+0.038%)
Top 3 chance: 0.736% (+0.349%)
Top 5 chance: 2.395% (+1.013%)
Top 10 chance: 10.805% (+3.101%)
Luxembourg 🇱🇺
Laura Thorn - La poupée monte le son
Tele-power: 43.869% (+2.356%)
Jury-power: 48.796% (+1.028%)
Winner chance: 0.009% (-0.003%)
Top 3 chance: 0.149% (-0.025%)
Top 5 chance: 0.764% (+0.08%)
Top 10 chance: 7.426% (+2.169%)
Qualification chance: 66.69% (-1.027%)
Laura Thorn - La poupée monte le son
Tele-power: 43.869% (+2.356%)
Jury-power: 48.796% (+1.028%)
Winner chance: 0.009% (-0.003%)
Top 3 chance: 0.149% (-0.025%)
Top 5 chance: 0.764% (+0.08%)
Top 10 chance: 7.426% (+2.169%)
Qualification chance: 66.69% (-1.027%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Luxembourg 🇱🇺
Laura Thorn - La poupée monte le son
Tele-power: 43.869% (+2.356%)
Jury-power: 48.796% (+1.028%)
Winner chance: 0.009% (-0.003%)
Top 3 chance: 0.149% (-0.025%)
Top 5 chance: 0.764% (+0.08%)
Top 10 chance: 7.426% (+2.169%)
Qualification chance: 66.69% (-1.027%)
Laura Thorn - La poupée monte le son
Tele-power: 43.869% (+2.356%)
Jury-power: 48.796% (+1.028%)
Winner chance: 0.009% (-0.003%)
Top 3 chance: 0.149% (-0.025%)
Top 5 chance: 0.764% (+0.08%)
Top 10 chance: 7.426% (+2.169%)
Qualification chance: 66.69% (-1.027%)
Germany 🇩🇪
Abor & Tynna - Baller
Tele-power: 53.613% (-0.424%)
Jury-power: 39.526% (-0.03%)
Winner chance: 0.102% (-0.163%)
Top 3 chance: 0.657% (-0.917%)
Top 5 chance: 2.087% (-2.014%)
Top 10 chance: 10.327% (-5.484%)
Abor & Tynna - Baller
Tele-power: 53.613% (-0.424%)
Jury-power: 39.526% (-0.03%)
Winner chance: 0.102% (-0.163%)
Top 3 chance: 0.657% (-0.917%)
Top 5 chance: 2.087% (-2.014%)
Top 10 chance: 10.327% (-5.484%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Germany 🇩🇪
Abor & Tynna - Baller
Tele-power: 53.613% (-0.424%)
Jury-power: 39.526% (-0.03%)
Winner chance: 0.102% (-0.163%)
Top 3 chance: 0.657% (-0.917%)
Top 5 chance: 2.087% (-2.014%)
Top 10 chance: 10.327% (-5.484%)
Abor & Tynna - Baller
Tele-power: 53.613% (-0.424%)
Jury-power: 39.526% (-0.03%)
Winner chance: 0.102% (-0.163%)
Top 3 chance: 0.657% (-0.917%)
Top 5 chance: 2.087% (-2.014%)
Top 10 chance: 10.327% (-5.484%)
Latvia 🇱🇻
Tautumeitas - Bur man laimi
Tele-power: 43.723% (+7.579%)
Jury-power: 51.788% (+4.906%)
Winner chance: 0.102% (+0.069%)
Top 3 chance: 0.678% (+0.388%)
Top 5 chance: 2.034% (+1.016%)
Top 10 chance: 9.8% (+3.829%)
Qualification chance: 61.799% (+9.719%)
Tautumeitas - Bur man laimi
Tele-power: 43.723% (+7.579%)
Jury-power: 51.788% (+4.906%)
Winner chance: 0.102% (+0.069%)
Top 3 chance: 0.678% (+0.388%)
Top 5 chance: 2.034% (+1.016%)
Top 10 chance: 9.8% (+3.829%)
Qualification chance: 61.799% (+9.719%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Latvia 🇱🇻
Tautumeitas - Bur man laimi
Tele-power: 43.723% (+7.579%)
Jury-power: 51.788% (+4.906%)
Winner chance: 0.102% (+0.069%)
Top 3 chance: 0.678% (+0.388%)
Top 5 chance: 2.034% (+1.016%)
Top 10 chance: 9.8% (+3.829%)
Qualification chance: 61.799% (+9.719%)
Tautumeitas - Bur man laimi
Tele-power: 43.723% (+7.579%)
Jury-power: 51.788% (+4.906%)
Winner chance: 0.102% (+0.069%)
Top 3 chance: 0.678% (+0.388%)
Top 5 chance: 2.034% (+1.016%)
Top 10 chance: 9.8% (+3.829%)
Qualification chance: 61.799% (+9.719%)
Lithuania 🇱🇹
Katarsis - Tavo akys
Tele-power: 51.825% (+5.769%)
Jury-power: 48.358% (+2.228%)
Winner chance: 0.15% (+0.036%)
Top 3 chance: 0.933% (+0.145%)
Top 5 chance: 2.899% (+0.516%)
Top 10 chance: 14.098% (+1.901%)
Qualification chance: 77.299% (+6.982%)
Katarsis - Tavo akys
Tele-power: 51.825% (+5.769%)
Jury-power: 48.358% (+2.228%)
Winner chance: 0.15% (+0.036%)
Top 3 chance: 0.933% (+0.145%)
Top 5 chance: 2.899% (+0.516%)
Top 10 chance: 14.098% (+1.901%)
Qualification chance: 77.299% (+6.982%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Lithuania 🇱🇹
Katarsis - Tavo akys
Tele-power: 51.825% (+5.769%)
Jury-power: 48.358% (+2.228%)
Winner chance: 0.15% (+0.036%)
Top 3 chance: 0.933% (+0.145%)
Top 5 chance: 2.899% (+0.516%)
Top 10 chance: 14.098% (+1.901%)
Qualification chance: 77.299% (+6.982%)
Katarsis - Tavo akys
Tele-power: 51.825% (+5.769%)
Jury-power: 48.358% (+2.228%)
Winner chance: 0.15% (+0.036%)
Top 3 chance: 0.933% (+0.145%)
Top 5 chance: 2.899% (+0.516%)
Top 10 chance: 14.098% (+1.901%)
Qualification chance: 77.299% (+6.982%)
Cyprus 🇨🇾
Theo Evan - Shh
Tele-power: 51.022% (+17.018%)
Jury-power: 48.869% (+17.079%)
Winner chance: 0.236% (+0.235%)
Top 3 chance: 1.372% (+1.354%)
Top 5 chance: 3.695% (+3.62%)
Top 10 chance: 15.291% (+14.223%)
Qualification chance: 88.434% (+22.468%)
Theo Evan - Shh
Tele-power: 51.022% (+17.018%)
Jury-power: 48.869% (+17.079%)
Winner chance: 0.236% (+0.235%)
Top 3 chance: 1.372% (+1.354%)
Top 5 chance: 3.695% (+3.62%)
Top 10 chance: 15.291% (+14.223%)
Qualification chance: 88.434% (+22.468%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Cyprus 🇨🇾
Theo Evan - Shh
Tele-power: 51.022% (+17.018%)
Jury-power: 48.869% (+17.079%)
Winner chance: 0.236% (+0.235%)
Top 3 chance: 1.372% (+1.354%)
Top 5 chance: 3.695% (+3.62%)
Top 10 chance: 15.291% (+14.223%)
Qualification chance: 88.434% (+22.468%)
Theo Evan - Shh
Tele-power: 51.022% (+17.018%)
Jury-power: 48.869% (+17.079%)
Winner chance: 0.236% (+0.235%)
Top 3 chance: 1.372% (+1.354%)
Top 5 chance: 3.695% (+3.62%)
Top 10 chance: 15.291% (+14.223%)
Qualification chance: 88.434% (+22.468%)
Greece 🇬🇷
Klavdia - Asteromata
Tele-power: 44.343% (-2.101%)
Jury-power: 57.81% (-3.023%)
Winner chance: 0.095% (-0.136%)
Top 3 chance: 0.677% (-0.894%)
Top 5 chance: 2.359% (-2.611%)
Top 10 chance: 13.34% (-9.87%)
Qualification chance: 56.881% (-11.236%)
Klavdia - Asteromata
Tele-power: 44.343% (-2.101%)
Jury-power: 57.81% (-3.023%)
Winner chance: 0.095% (-0.136%)
Top 3 chance: 0.677% (-0.894%)
Top 5 chance: 2.359% (-2.611%)
Top 10 chance: 13.34% (-9.87%)
Qualification chance: 56.881% (-11.236%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Greece 🇬🇷
Klavdia - Asteromata
Tele-power: 44.343% (-2.101%)
Jury-power: 57.81% (-3.023%)
Winner chance: 0.095% (-0.136%)
Top 3 chance: 0.677% (-0.894%)
Top 5 chance: 2.359% (-2.611%)
Top 10 chance: 13.34% (-9.87%)
Qualification chance: 56.881% (-11.236%)
Klavdia - Asteromata
Tele-power: 44.343% (-2.101%)
Jury-power: 57.81% (-3.023%)
Winner chance: 0.095% (-0.136%)
Top 3 chance: 0.677% (-0.894%)
Top 5 chance: 2.359% (-2.611%)
Top 10 chance: 13.34% (-9.87%)
Qualification chance: 56.881% (-11.236%)
Australia 🇦🇺
Go-Jo - Milkshake Man
Tele-power: 60.803% (+5.139%)
Jury-power: 42.664% (+6.17%)
Winner chance: 0.202% (+0.096%)
Top 3 chance: 1.143% (+0.32%)
Top 5 chance: 3.434% (+1.051%)
Top 10 chance: 16.215% (+3.957%)
Qualification chance: 92.894% (+4.589%)
Go-Jo - Milkshake Man
Tele-power: 60.803% (+5.139%)
Jury-power: 42.664% (+6.17%)
Winner chance: 0.202% (+0.096%)
Top 3 chance: 1.143% (+0.32%)
Top 5 chance: 3.434% (+1.051%)
Top 10 chance: 16.215% (+3.957%)
Qualification chance: 92.894% (+4.589%)
May 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Australia 🇦🇺
Go-Jo - Milkshake Man
Tele-power: 60.803% (+5.139%)
Jury-power: 42.664% (+6.17%)
Winner chance: 0.202% (+0.096%)
Top 3 chance: 1.143% (+0.32%)
Top 5 chance: 3.434% (+1.051%)
Top 10 chance: 16.215% (+3.957%)
Qualification chance: 92.894% (+4.589%)
Go-Jo - Milkshake Man
Tele-power: 60.803% (+5.139%)
Jury-power: 42.664% (+6.17%)
Winner chance: 0.202% (+0.096%)
Top 3 chance: 1.143% (+0.32%)
Top 5 chance: 3.434% (+1.051%)
Top 10 chance: 16.215% (+3.957%)
Qualification chance: 92.894% (+4.589%)