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Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
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This is an automated bot which posts a variety of disaster and emergency information. Created by @ai6yr

[bridged from https://m.ai6yr.org/@disaster_bot on the fediverse by https://fed.brid.gy/ ]
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disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 080600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN
December 8, 2025 at 6:04 AM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 080030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/080030Z-080600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 080030 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/080030Z-080600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 123.5E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).// NNNN
December 8, 2025 at 1:03 AM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 125.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 123.5E, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND RAGGED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH WEAKENED CONVECTION DISPLACED NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC. A 070118Z ASCAT METOP-B 25KM IMAGE DEPICTS THE BROAD NATURE OF THE CIRCULATION AS IT TRANSITS THROUGH THE PHILIPPINES AND INCREASED FRICTIONAL EFFECTS DETERIORATE THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ANALYSIS OF THE ENVIRONMENT INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED INTO AN AREA OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25-30 KTS). SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM (29-30 C) AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT CAN BE ANALYZED TO THE EAST OF 93W. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL CONTINUE TO CROSS OVER THE PHILIPPINES AND INTERACT WITH THE COLD SURGE, BUT WILL STRUGGLE TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVE
December 7, 2025 at 7:03 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 125.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 123.5E, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND RAGGED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH WEAKENED CONVECTION DISPLACED NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC. A 070118Z ASCAT METOP-B 25KM IMAGE DEPICTS THE BROAD NATURE OF THE CIRCULATION AS IT TRANSITS THROUGH THE PHILIPPINES AND INCREASED FRICTIONAL EFFECTS DETERIORATE THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ANALYSIS OF THE ENVIRONMENT INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED INTO AN AREA OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25-30 KTS). SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM (29-30 C) AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT CAN BE ANALYZED TO THE EAST OF 93W. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL CONTINUE TO CROSS OVER THE PHILIPPINES AND INTERACT WITH THE COLD SURGE, BUT WILL STRUGGLE TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVE
December 7, 2025 at 7:03 AM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 061830
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061830Z-070600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 061830 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061830Z-070600ZDEC2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061821ZDEC2025 AMPN/ REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 125.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 125.2E, APPROXIMATELY 97 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND RAGGED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAKENED CONVECTION DISPLACED WEST OF THE LLCC. ANALYSIS OF THE ENVIRONMENT INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED INTO AN AREA OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25-30 KTS). SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM (29-30 C). DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT CAN BE ANALYZED TO THE EAST OF 93W. ADDITIONALLY, THE LLCC IS APPROACHING LAND, RESULTING IN INCREASED FRICTIONAL EFFECTS ON THE CIRCULATION. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL CROSS OVER THE PHILIPPINES, BUT WILL STRUGGLE TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE COLD SURGE ONCE IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WI
December 6, 2025 at 7:50 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
Declaration Number Issued Action FEMA -4867 -DR-MO 4 Oct 24 Appoints Catherine R. Sanders as FCO FEMA -4872 -DR-MO 5 Oct 24 Appoints Catherine R. Sanders as FCO FEMA -4876 -DR-MO 3 Oct 24 Appoints Catherine R. Sanders as FCO FEMA -4877 -DR-MO 2 Oct 24 Appoints Catherine R. Sanders as FCO FEMA -4885 -DR-MO 2 Oct 24 Appoints Catherine R. Sanders as FCO National Watch CenterDeclaration Amendments
December 6, 2025 at 2:25 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
National Watch CenterDeclaration Requests in Process – 14 State / Tribe / Territory – Incident Description Type IA PA HM Requested OK – Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight -line Winds, and Flooding – Appeal DR X X Aug 19 KS – Severe Storms, Straight -line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding DR X X Sep 17 RST* – Severe Storm, Straight -line Winds, and Tornado – Appeal DR X X X Sep 18 CO – Lee and Elk Fires, Flooding, and Mudslides DR X X Sep 26 MT – Water Systems Failure EM X Oct 22 PoA** – Severe Storms and Flooding DR X X X Oct 22 AZ – Severe Storms and Flooding DR X X Oct 24 CO – Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides DR X X Nov 12 AZ – Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides DR X Nov 12 VT – Severe Storm and Flooding – Appeal DR X X Nov 20 IL – Severe Storms and Flooding – Appeal DR X Nov 21 IL – Severe Storms, Straight -line Winds, and Flooding – Appeal DR X Nov 21 KS – Severe Storms, Straight -line Winds, and Flooding DR X X Nov 21 LLBO *** – Building Fire DR X X Nov 30 *Rosebud Sioux Tribe; **Pueblo of Acoma; ***Leech Lake Band of Ojibwe
December 6, 2025 at 2:19 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
IM Cadre Availability 15 (-1) Cadres ≤ 25% Availability IM Workforce Alternative Dispute: 16% (5/31); Civil Rights: 14% (14/101); Disaster Field Training Operations: 24% (16/66); Disability Integration: 17% (3/18); External Affairs: 11% (33/296); Environmental Planning and Historic Preservation: 6% (40/664); Field Leadership: 12% (14/120); Financial Management: 23% (42/183); Hazard Mitigation: 8% (65/778); Human Resources: 17% (27/159); Interagency Recovery Coordination: 19% (37/197); Public Assistance: 15% (308/2,053); Planning: 8% (28/357); Safety: 9% (8/90); Security: 15% (17/112)28 Assigned 0 Unavailable 0 Deployed 28 Available36 Assigned 6 Unavailable 0 Deployed 30 AvailableMERS ≥ 66%US&R ≥ 66% JFO Office: Bothell, WA FEMA -XXXX -DR: Declared 4/28 FEMA Common Operating Picture FEMA HQ NWC NRCC Monitoring Steady State FEMA REGIONS Watch RRCC Monitoring R1 Rostered Monitoring R2 Rostered Monitoring R3 Rostered Monitoring R4 Rostered Monitoring R5 Rostered Monitoring R6 Rostered Monitoring R7 Rostered Monitoring R8 Rostered Monitoring R9 Rostered Monitoring R10 Rostered Notes: NRCC/RWCs/RRCCs: •R5 Watch: Staffing (Dayshift 7:00 a.m. – 7:00 p.m. ET) IMATs: •R10: Demobilizing Dec 5 -12State EOCs : •HI: Wildfires •FL: Previous Incidents •AZ/TX: Flooding •AK: Coastal Storms •MO: Winter Weather16 Joint Field Offices SupportingMajor Disasters48 7 Emergency Declarations+ 8 RSF-Supported Disasters11 Direct Housing Missions Fully Mission Capable (FMC) Partially Mission
December 6, 2025 at 2:17 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
National Watch CenterHazards Outlook – Dec 8 -12
December 6, 2025 at 2:16 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
National Weather Forecast National Watch Center Sat Sun Mon
December 6, 2025 at 2:16 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
Federal Emergency Management Agency National Current Operations / Monitoring National Watch CenterNew Significant Incidents / Ongoing Operations ▪No new significant incidents / operationsHazard Monitoring ▪Winter Weather – Northern Rockies, Northern Plains, Midwest, and Northeast Event Monitoring ▪No new significant eventsDisaster Declaration Activity ▪5 amendments issued
December 6, 2025 at 2:15 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
Daily Operations Briefing Saturday, December 6, 2025 8:30 a.m. ETFEMA National Watch Center
December 6, 2025 at 2:15 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
Scan to subscribe to thisbriefing . Helping people before, during, and after disasters.
December 6, 2025 at 1:24 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
National Watch CenterDeclaration Requests in Process – 14 State / Tribe / Territory – Incident Description Type IA PA HM Requested OK – Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight -line Winds, and Flooding – Appeal DR X X Aug 19 KS – Severe Storms, Straight -line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding DR X X Sep 17 RST* – Severe Storm, Straight -line Winds, and Tornado – Appeal DR X X X Sep 18 CO – Lee and Elk Fires, Flooding, and Mudslides DR X X Sep 26 MT – Water Systems Failure EM X Oct 22 PoA** – Severe Storms and Flooding DR X X X Oct 22 AZ – Severe Storms and Flooding DR X X Oct 24 CO – Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides DR X X Nov 12 AZ – Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides DR X Nov 12 VT – Severe Storm and Flooding – Appeal DR X X Nov 20 IL – Severe Storms and Flooding – Appeal DR X Nov 21 IL – Severe Storms, Straight -line Winds, and Flooding – Appeal DR X Nov 21 KS – Severe Storms, Straight -line Winds, and Flooding DR X X Nov 21 LLBO *** – Building Fire DR X X Nov 30 *Rosebud Sioux Tribe; **Pueblo of Acoma; ***Leech Lake Band of Ojibwe
December 6, 2025 at 1:23 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
IM Cadre Availability 16 Cadres ≤ 25% Availability IM Workforce Alternative Dispute: 16% (5/31); Civil Rights: 14% (14/101); Disaster Field Training Operations: 24% (16/66); Disability Integration: 17% (3/18); External Affairs: 11% (33/296); Environmental Planning and Historic Preservation: 6% (42/664); Field Leadership: 12% (14/120); Financial Management: 23% (42/183); Hazard Mitigation: 8% (65/778); Human Resources: 17% (27/159); Interagency Recovery Coordination: 19% (38/197); Logistics: 25% (372/1,489); Public Assistance: 15% (309/2,054); Planning: 7% (24/357); Safety: 9% (8/90); Security: 18% (20/112)28 Assigned 0 Unavailable 0 Deployed 28 Available36 Assigned 6 Unavailable 0 Deployed 30 AvailableMERS ≥ 66%US&R ≥ 66% JFO Office: Bothell, WA FEMA -XXXX -DR: Declared 4/28 FEMA Common Operating Picture FEMA HQ NWC NRCC Monitoring Steady State FEMA REGIONS Watch RRCC Monitoring R1 Rostered Monitoring R2 Rostered Monitoring R3 Rostered Monitoring R4 Rostered Monitoring R5 Rostered Monitoring R6 Rostered Monitoring R7 Rostered Monitoring R8 Rostered Monitoring R9 Rostered Monitoring R10 Rostered Notes: NRCC/RWCs/RRCCs: •R5 Watch: Staffing (Dayshift 7:00 a.m. – 7:00 p.m. ET) IMATs: •R10: Demobilizing Dec 5 -12State EOCs : •HI: Wildfires •FL: Previous Incidents •AZ/TX: Flooding •AK: Coastal Storms •MO/ VA: Winter Weather16 Joint Field Offices SupportingMajor Disasters48 7 Emergency Declarations+ 8 RSF-Supported Disasters11 Direct Housing Missions Fully Mission Capab
December 6, 2025 at 1:19 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
National Watch CenterHazards Outlook – Dec 7 -11
December 6, 2025 at 1:19 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
National Weather Forecast National Watch Center Fri Sat Sun
December 6, 2025 at 1:17 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
Federal Emergency Management Agency National Current Operations / Monitoring National Watch CenterNew Significant Incidents / Ongoing Operations ▪No new significant incidents / operationsHazard Monitoring ▪Freezing Rain – Mid-Atlantic ▪Heavy Snow –Northern and Central Rockies Event Monitoring ▪No new significant eventsDisaster Declaration Activity ▪No new declaration activity
December 6, 2025 at 1:16 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
Daily Operations Briefing Friday, December 5, 2025 8:30 a.m. ETFEMA National Watch Center
December 6, 2025 at 1:15 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 061230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061230Z-070600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 061230 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061230Z-070600ZDEC2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051851ZDEC2025// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 126.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 125.8E, APPROXIMATELY 139 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING NEAR THE CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 051346Z ASCAT REVEALS 15-20 KNOT WINDS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-30 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29- 30 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL MOVE WEST OVER THE PHILIPPINES. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL MOVE WEST OVER THE PHILIPPINES, WITH ECENS SHOWING A HIGHER INTENSITY BETWEEN THE TWO MODELS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM
December 6, 2025 at 1:03 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZDEC2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051851ZDEC2025// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060151ZDEC2025// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 125.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 126.0E, APPROXIMATELY 151 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING NEAR THE CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 051346Z ASCAT REVEALS 15-20 KNOT WINDS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-30 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL MOVE WEST OVER THE PHILIPPINES. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL MOVE WEST OVER THE PHILIPPINES, WITH ECENS SHOWING A HIGHER INTENSITY
December 6, 2025 at 7:05 AM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 051900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/051900Z-060600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 051900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/051900Z-060600ZDEC2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051351ZDEC2025// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051851ZDEC2025// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 127.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 126.1E, APPROXIMATELY 156 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING NEAR THE CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 051346Z ASCAT REVEALS 15-20 KNOT WINDS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-30 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29- 30 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL MOVE WEST OVER THE PHILIPPINES. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL MOVE WEST OVER THE PHILIPPINES, WITH ECENS SHOWING A HIGHER INTENS
December 5, 2025 at 8:04 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 050600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZDEC2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZDEC2025// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 127.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 127.2E, APPROXIMATELY 226 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 KNOTS OR LESS), GOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93W WILL SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SY
December 5, 2025 at 7:08 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
National Watch CenterDeclaration Requests in Process – 14 State / Tribe / Territory – Incident Description Type IA PA HM Requested OK – Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight -line Winds, and Flooding – Appeal DR X X Aug 19 KS – Severe Storms, Straight -line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding DR X X Sep 17 RST* – Severe Storm, Straight -line Winds, and Tornado – Appeal DR X X X Sep 18 CO – Lee and Elk Fires, Flooding, and Mudslides DR X X Sep 26 MT – Water Systems Failure EM X Oct 22 PoA** – Severe Storms and Flooding DR X X X Oct 22 AZ – Severe Storms and Flooding DR X X Oct 24 CO – Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides DR X X Nov 12 AZ – Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides DR X Nov 12 VT – Severe Storm and Flooding – Appeal DR X X Nov 20 IL – Severe Storms and Flooding – Appeal DR X Nov 21 IL – Severe Storms, Straight -line Winds, and Flooding – Appeal DR X Nov 21 KS – Severe Storms, Straight -line Winds, and Flooding DR X X Nov 21 LLBO *** – Building Fire DR X X Nov 30 *Rosebud Sioux Tribe; **Pueblo of Acoma; ***Leech Lake Band of Ojibwe
December 5, 2025 at 1:24 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
IM Cadre Availability 16 Cadres ≤ 25% Availability IM Workforce Alternative Dispute: 16% (5/31); Civil Rights: 15% (15/100); Disaster Field Training Office: 24% (16/66); Disability Integration: 17% (3/18); External Affairs: 11% (34/296); Environmental Planning and Historic Preservation: 6% (42/664); Field Leadership: 12% (14/120); Financial Management: 23% (43/183); Hazard Mitigation: 8% (64/777); Human Resources: 17% (27/159); Interagency Recovery Coordination: 20% (40/197); Logistics: 25% (372/1,489); Public Assistance: 15% (312/2,056); Planning: 7% (23/356); Safety: 9% (8/90); Security: 18% (20/112)28 Assigned 0 Unavailable 0 Deployed 28 Available36 Assigned 6 Unavailable 0 (-1) Deployed 30 (-1) AvailableMERS ≥ 66%US&R ≥ 66% JFO Office: Bothell, WA FEMA -XXXX -DR: Declared 4/28 FEMA Common Operating Picture FEMA HQ NWC NRCC Monitoring Steady State FEMA REGIONS Watch RRCC Monitoring R1 Rostered Monitoring R2 Rostered Monitoring R3 Rostered Monitoring R4 Rostered Monitoring R5 Rostered Monitoring R6 Rostered Monitoring R7 Rostered Monitoring R8 Rostered Monitoring R9 Rostered Monitoring R10 Rostered Notes: NRCC/RWCs/RRCCs: •R5 Watch: Staffing (Dayshift 7:00 a.m. – 7:00 p.m. ET) IMATs: •NSTRState EOCs : •HI: Wildfires •FL: Previous Incidents •AZ/TX: Flooding •AK: Coastal Storms •MO: Winter Weather16 Joint Field Offices SupportingMajor Disasters48 7 Emergency Declarations+ 8 RSF-Supported Disasters11 Direct Housing Missions Fully Mission Capable (FMC) Partially Mis
December 5, 2025 at 1:24 PM