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Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
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This is an automated bot which posts a variety of disaster and emergency information. Created by @ai6yr

[bridged from https://m.ai6yr.org/@disaster_bot on the fediverse by https://fed.brid.gy/ ]
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disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 080600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN
December 8, 2025 at 6:04 AM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 080030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/080030Z-080600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 080030 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/080030Z-080600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 123.5E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).// NNNN
December 8, 2025 at 1:03 AM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 125.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 123.5E, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND RAGGED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH WEAKENED CONVECTION DISPLACED NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC. A 070118Z ASCAT METOP-B 25KM IMAGE DEPICTS THE BROAD NATURE OF THE CIRCULATION AS IT TRANSITS THROUGH THE PHILIPPINES AND INCREASED FRICTIONAL EFFECTS DETERIORATE THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ANALYSIS OF THE ENVIRONMENT INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED INTO AN AREA OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25-30 KTS). SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM (29-30 C) AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT CAN BE ANALYZED TO THE EAST OF 93W. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL CONTINUE TO CROSS OVER THE PHILIPPINES AND INTERACT WITH THE COLD SURGE, BUT WILL STRUGGLE TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVE
December 7, 2025 at 7:03 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 125.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 123.5E, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND RAGGED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH WEAKENED CONVECTION DISPLACED NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC. A 070118Z ASCAT METOP-B 25KM IMAGE DEPICTS THE BROAD NATURE OF THE CIRCULATION AS IT TRANSITS THROUGH THE PHILIPPINES AND INCREASED FRICTIONAL EFFECTS DETERIORATE THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ANALYSIS OF THE ENVIRONMENT INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED INTO AN AREA OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25-30 KTS). SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM (29-30 C) AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT CAN BE ANALYZED TO THE EAST OF 93W. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL CONTINUE TO CROSS OVER THE PHILIPPINES AND INTERACT WITH THE COLD SURGE, BUT WILL STRUGGLE TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVE
December 7, 2025 at 7:03 AM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 061830
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061830Z-070600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 061830 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061830Z-070600ZDEC2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061821ZDEC2025 AMPN/ REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 125.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 125.2E, APPROXIMATELY 97 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND RAGGED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAKENED CONVECTION DISPLACED WEST OF THE LLCC. ANALYSIS OF THE ENVIRONMENT INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED INTO AN AREA OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25-30 KTS). SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM (29-30 C). DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT CAN BE ANALYZED TO THE EAST OF 93W. ADDITIONALLY, THE LLCC IS APPROACHING LAND, RESULTING IN INCREASED FRICTIONAL EFFECTS ON THE CIRCULATION. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL CROSS OVER THE PHILIPPINES, BUT WILL STRUGGLE TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE COLD SURGE ONCE IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WI
December 6, 2025 at 7:50 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
Daily Operations Briefing Saturday, December 6, 2025 8:30 a.m. ETFEMA National Watch Center
December 6, 2025 at 2:15 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
Daily Operations Briefing Friday, December 5, 2025 8:30 a.m. ETFEMA National Watch Center
December 6, 2025 at 1:15 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 061230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061230Z-070600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 061230 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061230Z-070600ZDEC2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051851ZDEC2025// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 126.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 125.8E, APPROXIMATELY 139 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING NEAR THE CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 051346Z ASCAT REVEALS 15-20 KNOT WINDS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-30 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29- 30 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL MOVE WEST OVER THE PHILIPPINES. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL MOVE WEST OVER THE PHILIPPINES, WITH ECENS SHOWING A HIGHER INTENSITY BETWEEN THE TWO MODELS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM
December 6, 2025 at 1:03 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZDEC2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051851ZDEC2025// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060151ZDEC2025// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 125.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 126.0E, APPROXIMATELY 151 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING NEAR THE CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 051346Z ASCAT REVEALS 15-20 KNOT WINDS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-30 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL MOVE WEST OVER THE PHILIPPINES. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL MOVE WEST OVER THE PHILIPPINES, WITH ECENS SHOWING A HIGHER INTENSITY
December 6, 2025 at 7:05 AM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 051900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/051900Z-060600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 051900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/051900Z-060600ZDEC2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051351ZDEC2025// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051851ZDEC2025// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 127.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 126.1E, APPROXIMATELY 156 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING NEAR THE CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 051346Z ASCAT REVEALS 15-20 KNOT WINDS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-30 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29- 30 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL MOVE WEST OVER THE PHILIPPINES. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL MOVE WEST OVER THE PHILIPPINES, WITH ECENS SHOWING A HIGHER INTENS
December 5, 2025 at 8:04 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 050600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZDEC2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZDEC2025// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 127.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 127.2E, APPROXIMATELY 226 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 KNOTS OR LESS), GOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93W WILL SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SY
December 5, 2025 at 7:08 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
Daily Operations Briefing Thursday, December 4, 2025 8:30 a.m. ETFEMA National Watch Center
December 5, 2025 at 1:16 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 050600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZDEC2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZDEC2025// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 127.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 127.2E, APPROXIMATELY 226 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 KNOTS OR LESS), GOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93W WILL SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SY
December 5, 2025 at 8:05 AM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 050300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/050300Z-050600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 050300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/050300Z-050600ZDEC2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZDEC2025// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 130.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 129.0E, APPROXIMATELY 323 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 KNOTS OR LESS), GOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93W WILL SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPIC
December 5, 2025 at 3:05 AM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 042100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/042100Z-050600ZDEC2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 042100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/042100Z-050600ZDEC2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/042051ZDEC2025// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 130.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 129.0E, APPROXIMATELY 323 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 KNOTS OR LESS), GOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93W WILL SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. S
December 4, 2025 at 10:04 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 041800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/041800Z-050600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/041800Z-050600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 130.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 129.0E, APPROXIMATELY 323 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 KNOTS OR LESS), GOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93W WILL SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCL
December 4, 2025 at 7:03 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 041430
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/041430Z-050600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 041430 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/041430Z-050600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 130.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 129.0E, APPROXIMATELY 323 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 KNOTS OR LESS), GOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93W WILL SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCL
December 4, 2025 at 3:05 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
Daily Operations Briefing Wednesday, December 3, 2025 8:30 a.m. ETFEMA National Watch Center
December 4, 2025 at 1:16 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 040600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/040600Z-050600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/040600Z-050600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 131.UE IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 130.9E, APPROXIMATELY 417 NM EAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. A 12040130Z ASCAT-C PASS REVEALS AN ASYMMETRICAL WIND FIELD OF 25-30 KNOTS TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF THE LLCC, WITH 15-20 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING NEAR THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 KNOTS OR LESS), GOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93W WILL SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER
December 4, 2025 at 9:04 AM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 040600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/040600Z-050600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/040600Z-050600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 131.UE IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 130.9E, APPROXIMATELY 417 NM EAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. A 12040130Z ASCAT-C PASS REVEALS AN ASYMMETRICAL WIND FIELD OF 25-30 KNOTS TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF THE LLCC, WITH 15-20 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING NEAR THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 KNOTS OR LESS), GOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93W WILL SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER
December 4, 2025 at 7:04 AM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 031400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/031400Z-040600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 031400 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/031400Z-040600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 134.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 133.0E, APPROXIMATELY 416 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION AND STRONG MID-LEVEL TURNING ALONG THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST WITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION AS IT CROSSES OVER THE PHILIPPINES AND INTERACTS WITH A STRONG NORTHEAST COLD SURGE EVENT. GLOBAL ENSEMBLES HAVE 93W MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD, WITH ECENS SHOWING HIGHER CHANCE OF INTENSIFICATION AS IT TRANSITS INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEV
December 3, 2025 at 7:04 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 031400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/031400Z-040600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 031400 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/031400Z-040600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 134.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 133.0E, APPROXIMATELY 416 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION AND STRONG MID-LEVEL TURNING ALONG THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST WITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION AS IT CROSSES OVER THE PHILIPPINES AND INTERACTS WITH A STRONG NORTHEAST COLD SURGE EVENT. GLOBAL ENSEMBLES HAVE 93W MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD, WITH ECENS SHOWING HIGHER CHANCE OF INTENSIFICATION AS IT TRANSITS INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEV
December 3, 2025 at 6:04 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 031400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/031400Z-040600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 031400 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/031400Z-040600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 134.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 133.0E, APPROXIMATELY 416 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION AND STRONG MID-LEVEL TURNING ALONG THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST WITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION AS IT CROSSES OVER THE PHILIPPINES AND INTERACTS WITH A STRONG NORTHEAST COLD SURGE EVENT. GLOBAL ENSEMBLES HAVE 93W MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD, WITH ECENS SHOWING HIGHER CHANCE OF INTENSIFICATION AS IT TRANSITS INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEV
December 3, 2025 at 3:04 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#fema #disasters
Daily Operations Briefing Tuesday, December 2, 2025 8:30 a.m. ETFEMA National Watch Center
December 3, 2025 at 1:15 PM
disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
#cyclones #typhoons #jtwc ABPW10 PGTW 030600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZDEC2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]
ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZDEC2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 134.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 133.0E, APPROXIMATELY 416 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION AND STRONG MID-LEVEL TURNING ALONG THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST WITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION AS IT CROSSES OVER THE PHILIPPINES AND INTERACTS WITH A STRONG NORTHEAST COLD SURGE EVENT. GLOBAL ENSEMBLES HAVE 93W MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD, WITH ECENS SHOWING HIGHER CHANCE OF INTENSIFICATION AS IT TRANSITS INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
December 3, 2025 at 7:03 AM