Prof. Diego Melgar
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diegosismologo.bsky.social
Prof. Diego Melgar
@diegosismologo.bsky.social
Director of the Cascadia Region Earthquake Science Center (@cascadiaeqs.bsky.social) and Associate Professor of geophysics at University of Oregon. I research big earthquakes and tsunamis.
That's a good way to put it, they need a day job. I do think putting things like this into assimilation approaches like 4d-Var used in weather prediction has potential
October 1, 2025 at 8:02 PM
What do you think of this @rocangel.bsky.social? The Boussinessq solver in geoclaw is still depth averaged so, perhaps? My money is on the source we used lacking short-wavelength detail. I've run some tests and with a "rougher" initial condition you quickly get a lot of dispersive ripples
October 1, 2025 at 8:00 PM
The data is not real-time, there is latency, but that aside and assuming we solved it, I could see a few of these being useful for real-time data assimilation. The issue is that I'm not sure you could justify the cost of those missions on tsunami hazards alone since big events are so infrequent!
October 1, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Always great tot work with @rocangel.bsky.social who led the study. Read the pre-print here: eartharxiv.org/repository/v...
SWOT Satellite Altimetry Observations and Source Model for the Tsunami from the 2025 M8.8 Kamchatka Earthquake
eartharxiv.org
October 1, 2025 at 2:08 PM
Some more:
• There is clear evidence that dispersion matters behind the main front, shallow water equations alone don't cut it. This is very visible in the SWOT pass
•.While we were able to model dispersive waves, we're still missing some energy. Updated source models need to account for this!
October 1, 2025 at 2:08 PM
Some highlights:
• First high-resolution spaceborne track of a great subduction-zone tsunami
• DART-driven inversion points to ~400 km rupture with peak uplift ~4 m (longer and farther downdip than early slip models)
• A blended source best matches both DART and SWOT observations
October 1, 2025 at 2:08 PM
I hate we can't trust anything anymore more
August 7, 2025 at 2:15 PM
Lol, as the parent of two dogs, this was of big concern for me too!
August 5, 2025 at 10:01 PM
Right, to be clear––the screen grab comes from an email sent to the ITIC tsunami mailing list which is the "official" mailing list for tsunamis scientists. 99.99% odds the vid is legit
August 5, 2025 at 9:31 PM
It's real. See my recent post.
August 5, 2025 at 1:50 PM
FWIW most (all?) my "tsunami friends" think it's real. Not proof by any means, but no one sees physical incongruities
August 5, 2025 at 3:33 AM
The ambiance looks really similar to the other video does it not? +1 for the dog video being real.
August 4, 2025 at 9:37 PM
Having lived in Oregon for long enough now this also doesn't look quite like your regular sneaker wave. It could be something more niche like a meteotsunami but...
August 4, 2025 at 6:50 PM
Does it? It's hard to tell where z=0 is pre- and post-, but I agree this is the dumbest timeline where we can't trust anything...
August 4, 2025 at 6:31 PM
The period looks hella short yes but (i) tide gauges sample at 1-6 min so you wouldn't see shorter periods and the vid is not long enough to see if the intial surge goes on for longer. I'm on the fence but calling this one 50-50 still
August 4, 2025 at 6:22 PM
Could be! Fun game of geo-guesser
August 4, 2025 at 5:46 PM
A report was shared on the IOC UNESCO mailing list showing ~17 m at Paramushir island in the Sea of Okhotsk, so this doesn't seem too far off
August 4, 2025 at 4:28 PM