Colin Case
@colinrcase.bsky.social
Assistant Professor at the University of Iowa | congressional elections and text analysis | UNC & UMich alum | colinrcase.com
Reposted by Colin Case
My response to the NYT’s “moderate to win” argument: The data shows the strategy is tapped out. Being seen as moderate by voters doesn’t boost votes, replacing every progressive with moderates would net 0 seats, and the graveyard of defeated D incumbents if full of moderates, not progressives.
The New York Times Argues “Moving to the Center Is the Way to Win.” But the Data Shows the Strategy Is Tapped Out.
Democrats already run moderates in nearly every swing district. It's not enough. A data-driven response to the case for centrism as a core electoral strategy.
data4democracy.substack.com
October 20, 2025 at 10:17 PM
My response to the NYT’s “moderate to win” argument: The data shows the strategy is tapped out. Being seen as moderate by voters doesn’t boost votes, replacing every progressive with moderates would net 0 seats, and the graveyard of defeated D incumbents if full of moderates, not progressives.
Reposted by Colin Case
Just published at PNAS (@pnas.org): “Electing amateur politicians reduces cross-party collaboration”
We show that districts electing first-time members of the U.S. House experience substantial declines in bipartisan representation in the subsequent Congress.
🧵1/4
We show that districts electing first-time members of the U.S. House experience substantial declines in bipartisan representation in the subsequent Congress.
🧵1/4
October 9, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Just published at PNAS (@pnas.org): “Electing amateur politicians reduces cross-party collaboration”
We show that districts electing first-time members of the U.S. House experience substantial declines in bipartisan representation in the subsequent Congress.
🧵1/4
We show that districts electing first-time members of the U.S. House experience substantial declines in bipartisan representation in the subsequent Congress.
🧵1/4
Excited to announce my paper, Measuring Strategic Positioning in Congressional Elections, is officially accepted and online @thejop.bsky.social here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Quick thread on the paper below:
Quick thread on the paper below:
September 5, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Excited to announce my paper, Measuring Strategic Positioning in Congressional Elections, is officially accepted and online @thejop.bsky.social here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Quick thread on the paper below:
Quick thread on the paper below:
Reposted by Colin Case
Reposted from @alexandersahn.bsky.social:
Data from CampaignView(campaignview.org) show that the only term that Democrats used in more than 1% of statements in campaign platforms (2018-2022) is *privilege*
Data from CampaignView(campaignview.org) show that the only term that Democrats used in more than 1% of statements in campaign platforms (2018-2022) is *privilege*
August 22, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Reposted from @alexandersahn.bsky.social:
Data from CampaignView(campaignview.org) show that the only term that Democrats used in more than 1% of statements in campaign platforms (2018-2022) is *privilege*
Data from CampaignView(campaignview.org) show that the only term that Democrats used in more than 1% of statements in campaign platforms (2018-2022) is *privilege*
Reposted by Colin Case
💰 How should we measure early campaign fundraising?
▶️ @colinrcase.bsky.social & @rachelporter.bsky.social propose two distinct approaches: candidate-centred and election-centred early money. Explore their framework👇 www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
▶️ @colinrcase.bsky.social & @rachelporter.bsky.social propose two distinct approaches: candidate-centred and election-centred early money. Explore their framework👇 www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
July 24, 2025 at 6:57 AM
💰 How should we measure early campaign fundraising?
▶️ @colinrcase.bsky.social & @rachelporter.bsky.social propose two distinct approaches: candidate-centred and election-centred early money. Explore their framework👇 www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
▶️ @colinrcase.bsky.social & @rachelporter.bsky.social propose two distinct approaches: candidate-centred and election-centred early money. Explore their framework👇 www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
Reposted by Colin Case
📢 Thrilled to share our new article introducing CampaignView—a comprehensive open-source dataset of congressional candidate campaign bios and policy platforms (2018–2022). Paper + data here: campaignview.org & doi.org/10.7910/DVN/... 🧵1/4
July 10, 2025 at 5:00 PM
📢 Thrilled to share our new article introducing CampaignView—a comprehensive open-source dataset of congressional candidate campaign bios and policy platforms (2018–2022). Paper + data here: campaignview.org & doi.org/10.7910/DVN/... 🧵1/4