Cheryl Josie
@cheryljosie.bsky.social
Engineer who plots inconvenient data
I installed some panels for the first grid-connected solar photovoltaic neighborhood in the world
cheryl_josie is my X̄ profile that I call Mean because Twitter is mean now that Elon owns it
I installed some panels for the first grid-connected solar photovoltaic neighborhood in the world
cheryl_josie is my X̄ profile that I call Mean because Twitter is mean now that Elon owns it
archive.ph
November 7, 2025 at 8:10 AM
archive.ph
November 7, 2025 at 8:10 AM
Reposted by Cheryl Josie
This is what you get when a narcissistic POTUS appoints narcissistic justices to the Supreme Court and narcissistic senators approve those appointments so that narcissistic CEOs reap every proposed tax cut, deregulation, subsidy, and bailout for narcissistic billionaires.
November 7, 2025 at 7:38 AM
This is what you get when a narcissistic POTUS appoints narcissistic justices to the Supreme Court and narcissistic senators approve those appointments so that narcissistic CEOs reap every proposed tax cut, deregulation, subsidy, and bailout for narcissistic billionaires.
It's nice that I have a model to play with. I still wish I had better skills to determine if it is showing me something real.
Here's the track back to the prior post on this topic. These posts are daisy-chained all the way to the beginning.
bsky.app/profile/cher...
Here's the track back to the prior post on this topic. These posts are daisy-chained all the way to the beginning.
bsky.app/profile/cher...
Short term compensated sea surface temperature continues modeling well as an exponentially decaying pulsed warming from Hunga Tonga that is superpositioned with anthropogenic global warming, forming a 9 year 'paused' warming trend.
November 3, 2025 at 7:28 AM
It's nice that I have a model to play with. I still wish I had better skills to determine if it is showing me something real.
Here's the track back to the prior post on this topic. These posts are daisy-chained all the way to the beginning.
bsky.app/profile/cher...
Here's the track back to the prior post on this topic. These posts are daisy-chained all the way to the beginning.
bsky.app/profile/cher...
Here's the entire compensated data series zoomed normal. You can see how the second plot (Multivariate ENSO Index v.2) has a more 'peaky' look to the Pinatubo and Hunga Tonga eruptions, which looks more authentic (is it?) than the (first) plot compensated with the Niño 3.4 index.
November 3, 2025 at 7:28 AM
Here's the entire compensated data series zoomed normal. You can see how the second plot (Multivariate ENSO Index v.2) has a more 'peaky' look to the Pinatubo and Hunga Tonga eruptions, which looks more authentic (is it?) than the (first) plot compensated with the Niño 3.4 index.
The most recent Sea Surface Temperature is also degraded. Climate Reanalyzer is releasing a 'preliminary' version now that is revised as the reanalysis settles.
It's better now but for a while the preliminary data was wildly waggling. The preliminary result settles eventually.
It's better now but for a while the preliminary data was wildly waggling. The preliminary result settles eventually.
November 3, 2025 at 7:28 AM
The most recent Sea Surface Temperature is also degraded. Climate Reanalyzer is releasing a 'preliminary' version now that is revised as the reanalysis settles.
It's better now but for a while the preliminary data was wildly waggling. The preliminary result settles eventually.
It's better now but for a while the preliminary data was wildly waggling. The preliminary result settles eventually.
The detected IPCC thresholds are also slightly different. The extrapolations of this model have a lot of error. They are normalized to the 2023-2024 region and the error grows far from that time.
I'm glad I can keep my model running, but disappointed that it seems degraded.
I'm glad I can keep my model running, but disappointed that it seems degraded.
November 3, 2025 at 7:28 AM
The detected IPCC thresholds are also slightly different. The extrapolations of this model have a lot of error. They are normalized to the 2023-2024 region and the error grows far from that time.
I'm glad I can keep my model running, but disappointed that it seems degraded.
I'm glad I can keep my model running, but disappointed that it seems degraded.
There seems to be less detected delay in the post-Pinatubo exponential attack and more detected delay in the post-Hunga Tonga exponential attack. The decays also seem to be rougher. I can't tell if either index gives a higher fidelity representation without statistical analysis.
November 3, 2025 at 7:28 AM
There seems to be less detected delay in the post-Pinatubo exponential attack and more detected delay in the post-Hunga Tonga exponential attack. The decays also seem to be rougher. I can't tell if either index gives a higher fidelity representation without statistical analysis.
Even though the Niño 3.4 Index seems to model the SST peaks better (first plot), the detected eruptions look less like the expected exponential attack and decay.
North Pacific Gyre data comes from Georgia Institute of Technology now that NOAA stopped.
www.o3d.org/npgo/
North Pacific Gyre data comes from Georgia Institute of Technology now that NOAA stopped.
www.o3d.org/npgo/
November 3, 2025 at 7:28 AM
Even though the Niño 3.4 Index seems to model the SST peaks better (first plot), the detected eruptions look less like the expected exponential attack and decay.
North Pacific Gyre data comes from Georgia Institute of Technology now that NOAA stopped.
www.o3d.org/npgo/
North Pacific Gyre data comes from Georgia Institute of Technology now that NOAA stopped.
www.o3d.org/npgo/
October 15, 2025 at 7:34 PM