charleslister1.bsky.social
@charleslister1.bsky.social
#Aleppo is a completely different experience to #Damascus -- much, much quieter & almost no air pollution.

Locals were universally thrilled at #Assad's departure and hopeful that despite the SYP's challenges, the local economy was recovering its confidence.
February 7, 2025 at 5:14 PM
The clear success resulting from his pragmatic posture has won him significant popular support -- I saw repeatedly people trying to sell revolutionary flags with his face on them, even though they've been made illegal.

He's become a celebrity, as has his wife.
February 7, 2025 at 5:14 PM
A visit to #Suwayda served as a reminder of the governorate's unique status -- no checkpoints, almost no destruction, a thriving civil society & a clear desire to maintain its special status in the new #Syria.

Trust in #HTS was low, but there was respect.
February 7, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Despite #HTS effectively running the show in #Damascus, almost everyone I spoke to was supportive of the caretaker government -- and *especially* of Ahmed al-Sharaa. His "soft" & "patriotic" rhetoric has clearly won him a huge expansion of respect & support.
February 7, 2025 at 5:14 PM
The caretaker gov't - with #Turkey's backing - is determined to take the fight to #ISIS, takeover management of the prisons & camps and to rehabilitate & resettle 1,000s of Syrians in al-Hol.

"At least 8" #ISIS plots have been foiled since Jan 1, I was told.
February 7, 2025 at 5:14 PM
The US military also green-lighted the Syrian Free Army's (based in al-Tanf) attendance at Ahmed al-Sharaa's Jan 29 "victory" speech to military factions.

"Frequent" CENTCOM-#Damascus contact is now the norm & intelligence contacts continue, also.
February 7, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Once in #Damascus, you're hit by a wall of smog & smoke -- from ancient cars, generators, street fires etc. It's heavy & constant, and must surely be causing long-term health issues en masse.

Everything is old, dilapidated -- but still, the charm remains.
February 7, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Once out of #Tartus, the 150km drive on the M5 highway from #Homs to #Damascus contained just 2 checkpoints -- a huge expanse of virtually unmanned roadway. Some praised this, others blamed it for growing insecurity in the surrounding rural areas.
February 7, 2025 at 5:14 PM
In #SNA-held areas of northern #Aleppo, towns had emptied, as IDPs have steadily returned home since #Assad's fall on Dec 8.

Checkpoints remained, but #Damascus forces (formerly #HTS) had begun to arrive. Authorities were transitioning to central control.
February 7, 2025 at 5:14 PM
I just left #Syria after an extraordinary trip — one that until recently I never thought I’d make again. From #Aleppo, to #Idlib, #Latakia, #Tartus, #Salamiya, #Suwayda & #Damascus.

So many takeaways, but most of all: it's free & everyone is overjoyed. A 🧵:
February 7, 2025 at 5:14 PM
#NewYear celebrations ongoing in #Damascus, #Syria!

2025 will be the first year free of #Assad tyranny since 1971 — more than half a century.
December 31, 2024 at 9:55 PM
#HTS's tip-of-the-spear advance across #Syria has presented international actors with a huge legal/policy dilemma -- a 🧵

After 2 days of #Syria diplomatic talks, it's clear most are considering the likelihood that designations may need re-considering.
December 8, 2024 at 9:11 PM
In many ways & with a heavy dose of irony, #HTS today is the realization of a vision first put forward by Ahrar al-Sham, whose 1st-generation leaders sought to pursue an evolution from Salafi-jihad to 'revolutionary nationalism."

Ahrar's decline was #HTS's doing.
December 5, 2024 at 4:02 PM
The relatively sophisticated PR effort & swift pivot from military-to-governing is already having some effect. #Aleppo's hospitals remain fully staffed, the city police & defected soldiers are already signing up to join the SSG's Interior Ministry payroll.
December 5, 2024 at 4:02 PM
But beyond military coordination, the [so far] smooth transition from battle to consolidation to interim governance -- particularly in #Aleppo -- has seen #HTS devolve authority to more locally-rooted factions (see Jabha al-Shamiya, Zinki et. al.)
December 5, 2024 at 4:02 PM
The SSG has sought to replicate the conventional acts of a sovereign government -- running a census, issuing ID cards, running & regulating banks, issuing numbered addresses & more.

Its response to #COVID-19 (masks, testing, clinics) was swifter than #Damascus.
December 5, 2024 at 4:02 PM
#HTS has also invested heavily in its semi-technocratic "Salvation Government", which comprises 11 Ministries & many other public sector service bodies.

The SSG operates closely with external aid INGOs & the #UN has a permanent office liaising with the SSG in #Idlib.
December 5, 2024 at 4:02 PM
Don't understate the significance of #HTS's recent statements & rhetoric towards Christians, Alawites, Kurds etc. That cannot merely be "PR" as it sets an irreversible precedent.

Jolani has spent years purging those who'd critique such steps. He's walking on stabler ground now.
December 5, 2024 at 4:02 PM
But just as significant as military capabilities is the groundwork #HTS has done to facilitate its advance -- particularly in years of engagement with tribes, minority notables & other social bodies that exist beyond greater #Idlib.

This has been crucial.
December 5, 2024 at 4:02 PM
The expansion of units like Asaib al-Hamra & introduction of Saraya al-Harari and Kataib Shaheen -- along with large-scale indigenous rocket & missile production -- has created a force that #Assad's regime has seriously struggled to defend against, let alone outmaneuver.
December 5, 2024 at 4:02 PM
Militarily, #HTS has invested enormously since 2020 in enhancing combat capabilities, improving professionalism, tightening its structure & command/control etc.

From an 'officer' class, to special forces, night-time units & an entire drone force - it's changed the game.
December 5, 2024 at 4:02 PM
Having worked on #Syria full-time since the crisis began nearly 14yrs ago, there really is no understating how remarkable the losses imposed on #Assad's regime have been over the past week.

A large reason for this lies with #HTS — a 🧵:
December 5, 2024 at 4:02 PM
As opposition forces advance in northern #Syria, families long separated by war & by the terror instilled by the #Assad regime’s security state are finally being reunited.

These brothers hadn’t seen each other for 7yrs, until today in #Aleppo.a
December 4, 2024 at 3:36 AM
It’s been a while since #Russia was precision striking hospitals in #Syria - but it’s restarted, as #Putin pursues a punishment campaign against civilians & vital infrastructure.

This was #Idlib University hospital earlier today:
December 4, 2024 at 3:34 AM
#HTS & allied factions continue to make effective use of suicide drones, heavy rockets and SOF-type forces operating behind enemy lines.

Today, a suicide drone strike killed the #Hama provincial military intelligence chief, Brig. Gen. Uday Ghassah.
December 1, 2024 at 4:27 PM