Cestrian Capital Research, Inc
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Cestrian Capital Research, Inc
@cestrianinc.bsky.social
SEC-regulated independent investment research. Nothing we post is investment advice. https://www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/tag/free-content/
$ETH entering a new topping zone, 👀

Just entering a potential Wave 3 topping zone.

Most likely it carries on higher from here but if you own #Ethereum, you might start to watch price a little more closely than normal right now.
July 28, 2025 at 11:13 AM
$ETH price growth is accelerating quickly, what’s behind the rise (thread)?

Here’s $Ether vs. $Solana vs. $Bitcoin since the Liberation Day lows, and the S&P500 for comparison, chart attached.
July 24, 2025 at 12:21 PM
- Tokenization Accelerated. Tokenization - which means creating digitized claims on ownership and/or other rights as regards assets - has already begun, but the GENIUS Act brings this into the mainstream.

For more free research and the full article on the above, see the link in our bio.
July 23, 2025 at 12:22 PM
Why $ETH may be the best risk/reward opportunity in crypto.

- It is earlier in its bull move than is $BTC

- Has real at-volume demand (from levered Ether Treasury Companies: BitMine, SharpLink etc),

- Real-world applications
July 21, 2025 at 12:17 PM
$TSM Q2 earnings released, results?

- $100B+ of trailing twelve month revenues.
- Growing TTM rev at +38% pa, and that rate of growth is accelerating.
- TTM unlevered pretax free cashflow margins are 31%.

A little shy of $63bn net cash in the bank, after the bond liabilities taken into account.
July 17, 2025 at 11:44 AM
ATH last Thursday, a modest down day Friday,

let’s see if Trade Wars II does give air cover for a selldown. Only time will tell…
July 14, 2025 at 12:51 PM
$SPY what does this Chicken Bull Zone mean for the bull train?

It’s unlikely the bull train stops here. Likely SPY pushes higher to at least the Fairly Bullish zone.

That doesn’t mean in a straight line so, as always, know your timeframe.
July 14, 2025 at 12:51 PM
$VIX what is the volatility index telling us now?

The VIX is now back at a level last seen before Liberation Day

What you can say about the Vix - volatility - is that it will spike, you just don’t know when, how big, and for how long $SPY $QQQ
July 10, 2025 at 1:22 PM
$BTC will the 50-day hold and what might that mean for Bitcoin investors?

The crypto market keeps maturing. $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL are gaining real institutional backing, while most altcoins remain pure speculation.

If the 50-day holds, we can remain bullish on $BTC.
July 8, 2025 at 12:23 PM
$DDOG's date with the S&P 500 is a good time to revisit our Q1 earnings note.

The quarter saw strong growth & margin gains, but a dip in RPO raised eyebrows on the print.

The stock is now at $154; we rated at Accumulate between $67-96/share.
July 7, 2025 at 1:40 PM
$TLT The 50-day moving average is turning up;

wondering if that drop yesterday is all the Wave 4 we are going to get.

I’ve re-drawn the chart on that basis;

I think the W5 high in this cycle probably coincides with the 200-day moving average acting as resistance.
July 3, 2025 at 12:47 PM
$TLT what does yesterday’s jobs report mean for Longer-Term Treasury Bonds?

No change.

The jobs report yesterday is underlying bullish for $TLT I believe.
July 3, 2025 at 12:47 PM
$QQQ … bearish chart short term... price continuing to rise.
July 1, 2025 at 1:29 PM
$QQQ Bullish long term?

Yup. However...
July 1, 2025 at 1:29 PM
While $SPY long term bullish looks fairly clear; short term?

All charts point to a correction ….

Which has yet to actually happen!
July 1, 2025 at 1:29 PM
$SPY looks bullish, but for how long?

Remains a bullish look for the medium term.
July 1, 2025 at 1:29 PM
$QQQ … bearish chart short term ...

… price continuing to rise.

It’s almost like this stuff is difficult.
July 1, 2025 at 12:52 PM
$QQQ Bullish long term?

Yup. However... Let's take a look at the daily chart below.
July 1, 2025 at 12:52 PM
While $SPY long term bullish looks fairly clear; short term?

All charts point to a correction …. which has yet to actually happen!
July 1, 2025 at 12:52 PM
$SPY Looks like a local top, but it hasn’t followed through. Chart glitch? Q2 window dressing?

Or is the monthly chart still in control?

If no weakness shows by midweek, the slow grind higher likely continues. Monkey business or not, let’s see.
June 30, 2025 at 12:38 PM
$SPY bullish indicator or monkey business?

First breach of the upside resistance established in December.

That’s bullish on this timeframe.
June 30, 2025 at 12:38 PM
$SOXX is there a correction coming for semiconductors?

Price higher, momentum lower (not by much). Volume x price high up here. All the signs of a short-term correction incoming.

I am not saying doom; I am saying a modest correction is due. Which does not, of course, mean it is going to happen.
June 26, 2025 at 12:18 PM
Is $USO breaking down?

Yesterday USO was sat right beneath the upper boundary of this wedge; signalling either breakout or breakdown.

It looks like breakdown, for now. The lower rising line has acted as resistance thus far so if there is to be a buying opportunity it may be around that level. 👇
June 24, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Is $BTC stuck?

BTC is now trapped between its 50-day moving average overhead and its 200-day moving average below.

Hard to be very bullish until back up and over the 50-day; bearish below the 200-day. 👇
June 23, 2025 at 12:29 PM
This is actually my quant.

SignalFlow AI Long/Short service now available for independent and professional investors. Link in next post.
April 4, 2025 at 8:28 PM