Cestrian Capital Research, Inc
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$COIN $SBET $IBIT $ETHE $BMNR Everything Is Token, but which token likely wins?
The next great disruption won’t just be crypto, it’s the tokenization of assets, and
it’s coming for Wall Street, real estate, art, and more.
The next great disruption won’t just be crypto, it’s the tokenization of assets, and
it’s coming for Wall Street, real estate, art, and more.
$VRT is a wonderful momentum stock.
In good times, revenues grow quickly, margins rise and cash piles up.
When the tide turns, the stock drops fast.
We explain why, and look at whether the tide is about to turn, in our free note today.
www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/is-vertiv-st...
In good times, revenues grow quickly, margins rise and cash piles up.
When the tide turns, the stock drops fast.
We explain why, and look at whether the tide is about to turn, in our free note today.
www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/is-vertiv-st...
Is Vertiv Stock A Buy After Q2 Earnings?
Warren Buffett vs. The Stock Chart - Who Wins?
www.cestriancapitalresearch.com
August 4, 2025 at 10:08 AM
$VRT is a wonderful momentum stock.
In good times, revenues grow quickly, margins rise and cash piles up.
When the tide turns, the stock drops fast.
We explain why, and look at whether the tide is about to turn, in our free note today.
www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/is-vertiv-st...
In good times, revenues grow quickly, margins rise and cash piles up.
When the tide turns, the stock drops fast.
We explain why, and look at whether the tide is about to turn, in our free note today.
www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/is-vertiv-st...
$ETH entering a new topping zone, 👀
Just entering a potential Wave 3 topping zone.
Most likely it carries on higher from here but if you own #Ethereum, you might start to watch price a little more closely than normal right now.
Just entering a potential Wave 3 topping zone.
Most likely it carries on higher from here but if you own #Ethereum, you might start to watch price a little more closely than normal right now.
July 28, 2025 at 11:13 AM
$ETH entering a new topping zone, 👀
Just entering a potential Wave 3 topping zone.
Most likely it carries on higher from here but if you own #Ethereum, you might start to watch price a little more closely than normal right now.
Just entering a potential Wave 3 topping zone.
Most likely it carries on higher from here but if you own #Ethereum, you might start to watch price a little more closely than normal right now.
$ETH price growth is accelerating quickly, what’s behind the rise (thread)?
Here’s $Ether vs. $Solana vs. $Bitcoin since the Liberation Day lows, and the S&P500 for comparison, chart attached.
Here’s $Ether vs. $Solana vs. $Bitcoin since the Liberation Day lows, and the S&P500 for comparison, chart attached.
July 24, 2025 at 12:21 PM
$ETH price growth is accelerating quickly, what’s behind the rise (thread)?
Here’s $Ether vs. $Solana vs. $Bitcoin since the Liberation Day lows, and the S&P500 for comparison, chart attached.
Here’s $Ether vs. $Solana vs. $Bitcoin since the Liberation Day lows, and the S&P500 for comparison, chart attached.
Why $ETH may be the best risk/reward opportunity in crypto.
- It is earlier in its bull move than is $BTC
- Has real at-volume demand (from levered Ether Treasury Companies: BitMine, SharpLink etc),
- Real-world applications
- It is earlier in its bull move than is $BTC
- Has real at-volume demand (from levered Ether Treasury Companies: BitMine, SharpLink etc),
- Real-world applications
July 21, 2025 at 12:17 PM
Why $ETH may be the best risk/reward opportunity in crypto.
- It is earlier in its bull move than is $BTC
- Has real at-volume demand (from levered Ether Treasury Companies: BitMine, SharpLink etc),
- Real-world applications
- It is earlier in its bull move than is $BTC
- Has real at-volume demand (from levered Ether Treasury Companies: BitMine, SharpLink etc),
- Real-world applications
$TSM Q2 earnings released, results?
- $100B+ of trailing twelve month revenues.
- Growing TTM rev at +38% pa, and that rate of growth is accelerating.
- TTM unlevered pretax free cashflow margins are 31%.
A little shy of $63bn net cash in the bank, after the bond liabilities taken into account.
- $100B+ of trailing twelve month revenues.
- Growing TTM rev at +38% pa, and that rate of growth is accelerating.
- TTM unlevered pretax free cashflow margins are 31%.
A little shy of $63bn net cash in the bank, after the bond liabilities taken into account.
July 17, 2025 at 11:44 AM
$TSM Q2 earnings released, results?
- $100B+ of trailing twelve month revenues.
- Growing TTM rev at +38% pa, and that rate of growth is accelerating.
- TTM unlevered pretax free cashflow margins are 31%.
A little shy of $63bn net cash in the bank, after the bond liabilities taken into account.
- $100B+ of trailing twelve month revenues.
- Growing TTM rev at +38% pa, and that rate of growth is accelerating.
- TTM unlevered pretax free cashflow margins are 31%.
A little shy of $63bn net cash in the bank, after the bond liabilities taken into account.
$ASML is down 7-8% in pre-market trading;
It remains to be seen what happens at the New York open but the early read does reflect trading of the stock in its native European market.
Here is our full analysis article on Q2, free to read www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/asml-q2-fy12...
It remains to be seen what happens at the New York open but the early read does reflect trading of the stock in its native European market.
Here is our full analysis article on Q2, free to read www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/asml-q2-fy12...
July 16, 2025 at 11:27 AM
$ASML is down 7-8% in pre-market trading;
It remains to be seen what happens at the New York open but the early read does reflect trading of the stock in its native European market.
Here is our full analysis article on Q2, free to read www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/asml-q2-fy12...
It remains to be seen what happens at the New York open but the early read does reflect trading of the stock in its native European market.
Here is our full analysis article on Q2, free to read www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/asml-q2-fy12...
$ASML Q2 earnings on deck, here is some Q1 analysis for perspective:
- Demand steady despite trade uncertainty
- Revenue growth expected in ‘25/’26
- Margins likely to tighten
- Long-term guide intact
- Demand steady despite trade uncertainty
- Revenue growth expected in ‘25/’26
- Margins likely to tighten
- Long-term guide intact
July 16, 2025 at 11:09 AM
$ASML Q2 earnings on deck, here is some Q1 analysis for perspective:
- Demand steady despite trade uncertainty
- Revenue growth expected in ‘25/’26
- Margins likely to tighten
- Long-term guide intact
- Demand steady despite trade uncertainty
- Revenue growth expected in ‘25/’26
- Margins likely to tighten
- Long-term guide intact
$SPY what does this Chicken Bull Zone mean for the bull train?
It’s unlikely the bull train stops here. Likely SPY pushes higher to at least the Fairly Bullish zone.
That doesn’t mean in a straight line so, as always, know your timeframe.
It’s unlikely the bull train stops here. Likely SPY pushes higher to at least the Fairly Bullish zone.
That doesn’t mean in a straight line so, as always, know your timeframe.
July 14, 2025 at 12:51 PM
$SPY what does this Chicken Bull Zone mean for the bull train?
It’s unlikely the bull train stops here. Likely SPY pushes higher to at least the Fairly Bullish zone.
That doesn’t mean in a straight line so, as always, know your timeframe.
It’s unlikely the bull train stops here. Likely SPY pushes higher to at least the Fairly Bullish zone.
That doesn’t mean in a straight line so, as always, know your timeframe.
Yes.
Exactly. Ethereum isn't just tech anymore. It's becoming the infrastructure for how value itself gets created and transferred.
July 11, 2025 at 10:05 PM
Yes.
$COIN $SBET $IBIT $ETHE $BMNR Everything Is Token, but which token likely wins?
The next great disruption won’t just be crypto, it’s the tokenization of assets, and
it’s coming for Wall Street, real estate, art, and more.
The next great disruption won’t just be crypto, it’s the tokenization of assets, and
it’s coming for Wall Street, real estate, art, and more.
July 11, 2025 at 3:08 PM
$COIN $SBET $IBIT $ETHE $BMNR Everything Is Token, but which token likely wins?
The next great disruption won’t just be crypto, it’s the tokenization of assets, and
it’s coming for Wall Street, real estate, art, and more.
The next great disruption won’t just be crypto, it’s the tokenization of assets, and
it’s coming for Wall Street, real estate, art, and more.
$VIX what is the volatility index telling us now?
The VIX is now back at a level last seen before Liberation Day
What you can say about the Vix - volatility - is that it will spike, you just don’t know when, how big, and for how long $SPY $QQQ
The VIX is now back at a level last seen before Liberation Day
What you can say about the Vix - volatility - is that it will spike, you just don’t know when, how big, and for how long $SPY $QQQ
July 10, 2025 at 1:22 PM
$VIX what is the volatility index telling us now?
The VIX is now back at a level last seen before Liberation Day
What you can say about the Vix - volatility - is that it will spike, you just don’t know when, how big, and for how long $SPY $QQQ
The VIX is now back at a level last seen before Liberation Day
What you can say about the Vix - volatility - is that it will spike, you just don’t know when, how big, and for how long $SPY $QQQ
$BTC will the 50-day hold and what might that mean for Bitcoin investors?
The crypto market keeps maturing. $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL are gaining real institutional backing, while most altcoins remain pure speculation.
If the 50-day holds, we can remain bullish on $BTC.
The crypto market keeps maturing. $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL are gaining real institutional backing, while most altcoins remain pure speculation.
If the 50-day holds, we can remain bullish on $BTC.
July 8, 2025 at 12:23 PM
$BTC will the 50-day hold and what might that mean for Bitcoin investors?
The crypto market keeps maturing. $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL are gaining real institutional backing, while most altcoins remain pure speculation.
If the 50-day holds, we can remain bullish on $BTC.
The crypto market keeps maturing. $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL are gaining real institutional backing, while most altcoins remain pure speculation.
If the 50-day holds, we can remain bullish on $BTC.
$DDOG's date with the S&P 500 is a good time to revisit our Q1 earnings note.
The quarter saw strong growth & margin gains, but a dip in RPO raised eyebrows on the print.
The stock is now at $154; we rated at Accumulate between $67-96/share.
The quarter saw strong growth & margin gains, but a dip in RPO raised eyebrows on the print.
The stock is now at $154; we rated at Accumulate between $67-96/share.
July 7, 2025 at 1:40 PM
$DDOG's date with the S&P 500 is a good time to revisit our Q1 earnings note.
The quarter saw strong growth & margin gains, but a dip in RPO raised eyebrows on the print.
The stock is now at $154; we rated at Accumulate between $67-96/share.
The quarter saw strong growth & margin gains, but a dip in RPO raised eyebrows on the print.
The stock is now at $154; we rated at Accumulate between $67-96/share.
$TLT what does yesterday’s jobs report mean for Longer-Term Treasury Bonds?
No change.
The jobs report yesterday is underlying bullish for $TLT I believe.
No change.
The jobs report yesterday is underlying bullish for $TLT I believe.
July 3, 2025 at 12:47 PM
$TLT what does yesterday’s jobs report mean for Longer-Term Treasury Bonds?
No change.
The jobs report yesterday is underlying bullish for $TLT I believe.
No change.
The jobs report yesterday is underlying bullish for $TLT I believe.
$SPY looks bullish, but for how long?
Remains a bullish look for the medium term.
Remains a bullish look for the medium term.
July 1, 2025 at 1:29 PM
$SPY looks bullish, but for how long?
Remains a bullish look for the medium term.
Remains a bullish look for the medium term.
$SPY bullish indicator or monkey business?
First breach of the upside resistance established in December.
That’s bullish on this timeframe.
First breach of the upside resistance established in December.
That’s bullish on this timeframe.
June 30, 2025 at 12:38 PM
$SPY bullish indicator or monkey business?
First breach of the upside resistance established in December.
That’s bullish on this timeframe.
First breach of the upside resistance established in December.
That’s bullish on this timeframe.
$SOXX is there a correction coming for semiconductors?
Price higher, momentum lower (not by much). Volume x price high up here. All the signs of a short-term correction incoming.
I am not saying doom; I am saying a modest correction is due. Which does not, of course, mean it is going to happen.
Price higher, momentum lower (not by much). Volume x price high up here. All the signs of a short-term correction incoming.
I am not saying doom; I am saying a modest correction is due. Which does not, of course, mean it is going to happen.
June 26, 2025 at 12:18 PM
$SOXX is there a correction coming for semiconductors?
Price higher, momentum lower (not by much). Volume x price high up here. All the signs of a short-term correction incoming.
I am not saying doom; I am saying a modest correction is due. Which does not, of course, mean it is going to happen.
Price higher, momentum lower (not by much). Volume x price high up here. All the signs of a short-term correction incoming.
I am not saying doom; I am saying a modest correction is due. Which does not, of course, mean it is going to happen.
Is $USO breaking down?
Yesterday USO was sat right beneath the upper boundary of this wedge; signalling either breakout or breakdown.
It looks like breakdown, for now. The lower rising line has acted as resistance thus far so if there is to be a buying opportunity it may be around that level. 👇
Yesterday USO was sat right beneath the upper boundary of this wedge; signalling either breakout or breakdown.
It looks like breakdown, for now. The lower rising line has acted as resistance thus far so if there is to be a buying opportunity it may be around that level. 👇
June 24, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Is $USO breaking down?
Yesterday USO was sat right beneath the upper boundary of this wedge; signalling either breakout or breakdown.
It looks like breakdown, for now. The lower rising line has acted as resistance thus far so if there is to be a buying opportunity it may be around that level. 👇
Yesterday USO was sat right beneath the upper boundary of this wedge; signalling either breakout or breakdown.
It looks like breakdown, for now. The lower rising line has acted as resistance thus far so if there is to be a buying opportunity it may be around that level. 👇
Is $BTC stuck?
BTC is now trapped between its 50-day moving average overhead and its 200-day moving average below.
Hard to be very bullish until back up and over the 50-day; bearish below the 200-day. 👇
BTC is now trapped between its 50-day moving average overhead and its 200-day moving average below.
Hard to be very bullish until back up and over the 50-day; bearish below the 200-day. 👇
June 23, 2025 at 12:29 PM
Is $BTC stuck?
BTC is now trapped between its 50-day moving average overhead and its 200-day moving average below.
Hard to be very bullish until back up and over the 50-day; bearish below the 200-day. 👇
BTC is now trapped between its 50-day moving average overhead and its 200-day moving average below.
Hard to be very bullish until back up and over the 50-day; bearish below the 200-day. 👇
#econsky - latest testimonial for our long/short quantitative signals service:
“Rather than a day that could have ruined the weekend, I was able to watch the market tank knowing I had the knowledge to weather the storm & come out far ahead.”
www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/signalflow-ai/
“Rather than a day that could have ruined the weekend, I was able to watch the market tank knowing I had the knowledge to weather the storm & come out far ahead.”
www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/signalflow-ai/
SignalFlow AI
DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Any information or analysis in this note is not an...
www.cestriancapitalresearch.com
April 4, 2025 at 10:24 PM
#econsky - latest testimonial for our long/short quantitative signals service:
“Rather than a day that could have ruined the weekend, I was able to watch the market tank knowing I had the knowledge to weather the storm & come out far ahead.”
www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/signalflow-ai/
“Rather than a day that could have ruined the weekend, I was able to watch the market tank knowing I had the knowledge to weather the storm & come out far ahead.”
www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/signalflow-ai/
This is actually my quant.
SignalFlow AI Long/Short service now available for independent and professional investors. Link in next post.
SignalFlow AI Long/Short service now available for independent and professional investors. Link in next post.
April 4, 2025 at 8:28 PM
This is actually my quant.
SignalFlow AI Long/Short service now available for independent and professional investors. Link in next post.
SignalFlow AI Long/Short service now available for independent and professional investors. Link in next post.
For those of you who subscribe to our RIA Insight Pro service - tailor-made for US Registered Investment Advisers - our month-end note was just published. You can read it at the link below. www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/ria-march-20...
RIA: March 2025 Market Update
Risk Off, Recessionary Fears, Oil Rebound, Gold New Highs, Bitcoin Searches For Bottom
www.cestriancapitalresearch.com
March 29, 2025 at 10:26 PM
For those of you who subscribe to our RIA Insight Pro service - tailor-made for US Registered Investment Advisers - our month-end note was just published. You can read it at the link below. www.cestriancapitalresearch.com/ria-march-20...
$MU couldn't re-take the 200.
Heading into earnings $MU is sandwiched between the 50-day moving avg (lower line) and the 200-day (upper line). A push up & over the 200-day is likely to catalyze a move up in semi in general. ($AVGO has I think the most bullish setup in the sector). I am long $SOXL for disclosure. #econsky
March 29, 2025 at 10:17 AM
$MU couldn't re-take the 200.