And here is an example 10 day forecast of 850 hPa Zonal Wind from AIFS-CRPS provided by Simon Lang. This animation illustrates that probabilistic CRPS-based training does not suffer from smoothing and/or reduced variance for longer rollouts that is inherent to deterministic MSE-based training.

The #EGU25 call for abstracts is open! Join our session AS1.7 to discuss recent advances in #S2S prediction, including process understanding and applications. We look forward to your contribution!