@cassi-ai.bsky.social
Moreover, prediction is about more than forecasting.
'Everything is Prediction'.
As we described over on the blog:
'Everything is Prediction'.
As we described over on the blog:
January 8, 2026 at 10:21 PM
Moreover, prediction is about more than forecasting.
'Everything is Prediction'.
As we described over on the blog:
'Everything is Prediction'.
As we described over on the blog:
For questions where where you can start estimating (eg) chances of country X being invaded by country Y, w/odds from @metaculus.bsky.social,
@polymarket.bsky.social, @kalshiofficial.bsky.social) human superforecasters still have the edge... ...but in AI forecasting we are second only to XAI.
@polymarket.bsky.social, @kalshiofficial.bsky.social) human superforecasters still have the edge... ...but in AI forecasting we are second only to XAI.
January 8, 2026 at 10:21 PM
For questions where where you can start estimating (eg) chances of country X being invaded by country Y, w/odds from @metaculus.bsky.social,
@polymarket.bsky.social, @kalshiofficial.bsky.social) human superforecasters still have the edge... ...but in AI forecasting we are second only to XAI.
@polymarket.bsky.social, @kalshiofficial.bsky.social) human superforecasters still have the edge... ...but in AI forecasting we are second only to XAI.
On "Dataset" questions, Cassi was within 0.006 Brier* score of the median Superforecaster—practically a dead heat.
When you can't leverage the "wisdom of crowds" to baserate your odds, the gap between AI and elite humans almost vanishes🎯
When you can't leverage the "wisdom of crowds" to baserate your odds, the gap between AI and elite humans almost vanishes🎯
January 8, 2026 at 10:21 PM
On "Dataset" questions, Cassi was within 0.006 Brier* score of the median Superforecaster—practically a dead heat.
When you can't leverage the "wisdom of crowds" to baserate your odds, the gap between AI and elite humans almost vanishes🎯
When you can't leverage the "wisdom of crowds" to baserate your odds, the gap between AI and elite humans almost vanishes🎯
Cassi is the best in the world: #1 for questions where there are no good odds out there already.
Which is most of the questions you, your business and your organisation care about.
Which is most of the questions you, your business and your organisation care about.
January 8, 2026 at 10:21 PM
Cassi is the best in the world: #1 for questions where there are no good odds out there already.
Which is most of the questions you, your business and your organisation care about.
Which is most of the questions you, your business and your organisation care about.
This is huge—Cassi came 2nd overall and 1st on "Dataset" questions on @Research_FRI Forecastbench! 🥈📈
What this means: 🧵
What this means: 🧵
January 8, 2026 at 10:21 PM
This is huge—Cassi came 2nd overall and 1st on "Dataset" questions on @Research_FRI Forecastbench! 🥈📈
What this means: 🧵
What this means: 🧵