Caleb Withers
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calebwithers.bsky.social
Caleb Withers
@calebwithers.bsky.social
170 followers 140 following 2 posts
AI & natsec @cnas.bsky.social
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calebwithers.bsky.social
AI's cyber capabilities are improving rapidly.

So far, AI has likely helped defenders overall. I hope this continues—but worry it’s not assured.

New report on Emerging AI Capabilities and the Cyber Offense-Defense Balance—and what policymakers should do to shape it.

www.cnas.org/publications...
Tipping the Scales
This report examines how emerging AI capabilities could disrupt the cyber offense-defense balance.
www.cnas.org
September 24, 2025 at 1:21 AM
Reposted by Caleb Withers
sean-o-h.bsky.social
A good article on the UK's work to stand up AISI, and the story of the last few years.
www.politico.eu/article/brit...
Inside Britain’s plan to save the world from runaway AI
Within a year, the U.K. government has become a world leader in AI safety.
www.politico.eu
December 8, 2024 at 4:29 PM
Reposted by Caleb Withers
sethlazar.org
More people who take a sociotechnical approach to AI (many of whom think it is fake and sucks) need to condition on the fact that real advances have been made, and more are to come. Not just to avoid irrelevance, but because the sociotechnical approach is so urgently needed for what’s coming.
caseynewton.bsky.social Casey Newton @caseynewton.bsky.social · Dec 6
One of the most important debates in tech right now is the group of folks who think AI is fake and sucks vs. the people who think AI is real and dangerous. I wrote about why I'm in the latter camp, and talked about my differences with Gary Marcus www.platformer.news/ai-skeptics-...
Most people know these systems are flaws, and adjust their expectations and usage accordingly. The “AI is fake and sucks” crowd is hyper-fixated on the things it can’t do — count the number of r’s in strawberry, figure out that the Onion was joking when it told us to eat rocks — and weirdly uninterested in the things it can. And that’s a problem, because just as these systems are more honest and helpful than they have ever been, they are also causing greater harm. And to name a real harm, already happening today, I offer the chief security officer of Amazon, CJ Moses, who had this to say about how generative AI is being used in efforts to disrupt critical infrastructure in an interview with the Wall Street Journal last month: We’re seeing billions of attempts coming our way. On average, we’re seeing 750 million attempts per day. Previously, we’d see about 100 million hits per day, and that number has grown to 750 million over six or seven months. This is the ongoing blind spot of the “AI is fake and sucks” crowd. This is the problem with telling people over and over again that it’s all a big bubble about to pop. They’re staring at the floor of AI’s current abilities, while each day the actual practitioners are successfully raising the ceiling.
December 6, 2024 at 8:24 AM
Reposted by Caleb Withers
epochai.bsky.social
We've just launched our AI Benchmarking Hub!
This is a new platform for rigorous, independent evaluations of AI model capabilities, featuring interactive visualizations and in-depth analysis. (1/8)

epoch.ai/blog/introdu...
November 27, 2024 at 6:29 PM