BSF 🐀🇬🇧
bsf42069.bsky.social
BSF 🐀🇬🇧
@bsf42069.bsky.social
My enemies are many, my equals are none

Calling me a troll when I’ve made a valid argument doesn’t make me a troll. Grow up
And no promise has been made. You are attributing promises where none were made
November 21, 2025 at 12:22 AM
None of the plans have been approved in a shady way. And Musk has not been the one curating this shit

Launching 10-20 (not 30) will not seem ridiculous in the near future.

Blue is still later by your own timeline

Starship is close. Closer than Blue Moon Mk 2
November 21, 2025 at 12:22 AM
I also don’t see you picking fault with any other major programs targets either. You’re missing the forest for the trees
November 20, 2025 at 1:53 PM
Yeah that’s a new tentative schedule? So what?

That target will still mean the program has progressed as fast as the LEM did. Yet far more complex, cost effective and capable

And no. Not everything needs to go right for that date. This is the internal rough estimate and can move either way
November 20, 2025 at 1:53 PM
Did you read the actual results of this paper?
November 18, 2025 at 10:10 PM
Indeed. They have some really good graphics for NG
November 17, 2025 at 12:43 AM
New Glenn is massive.

It can carry Blue’s other rocket (the suborbital New Shepard) in its payload fairing

There’s also a lil person for scale here

Rockets are mental
November 16, 2025 at 5:23 PM
It’s the wrong answer lol
November 15, 2025 at 8:04 PM
So you don’t support cutting actual waste just waste you claim based on performative reasons?
November 15, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Blue will build on that’s and compete but a fully reusable vehicle like starship will get there too but with more lessons to learn
November 15, 2025 at 7:04 PM
And you can’t use a chute for rockets of this scale plus the salt water degradation is significant

The scale here is the complexity not the engineering alone. SpaceX has dominated the market by recovering stages and had a consecutive success streak of landings greater than any other launcher for F9
November 15, 2025 at 7:04 PM
SpaceX has blown up a few prototypes but always from thin (and I mean very thin) engineering limits not software.
November 15, 2025 at 7:04 PM
That’s software complexity. But not much complexity

The complexity to get payloads to orbit to the precision needed nowadays is far greater
November 15, 2025 at 7:04 PM
That’s definitely the case for impacts but long term the implications will be limited. Which arguably is part of the issue
November 15, 2025 at 7:00 PM
They won’t go kinetic in GEO but they absolutely will have a disregard for LEO more so than the west
November 15, 2025 at 6:59 PM
That’s not actually the case though. SpaceX have dominated the market through a sheer build different mindset

They operate the cheapest per Kg, most frequently flying, most flown U.S. launcher and most reliable launcher ever developed
November 15, 2025 at 12:35 PM
SpaceX would be if they weren’t doing so many damn side projects

Starship is a money hungry beast but my god will it be insane for competition
November 15, 2025 at 12:33 PM
Honda isn’t close at all I’m afraid
November 15, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Really there won’t be that many. Think of aviation. It’s pretty much a duopoly

Most will get so far but mergers will happen. Although more than likely there will be more than 3 LSPs taking market share and competition will drive innovation like it has the past decade
November 15, 2025 at 12:32 PM
China are through state supported corporations

Russia…ahahah they ain’t

ESA are very much looking at a reusable iteration from Ariane 6 although obstacles remain politically
November 15, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Contracting multiple providers and reaping the rewards of not having overheads has saved them a significant amount of manpower and money vs say SLS
November 15, 2025 at 12:30 PM
The reason NASA has so many centers in so many states is quite literally to lobby to local politicians whilst making it very hard to close them all down

NASA has also never built their own rockets. They just operate a few and that’s been a very costly and cumbersome endeavour for them
November 15, 2025 at 12:30 PM
That’s not really the case. It’s more that politicians meddle in NASA affairs to the point they have legally mandated them to use their lobbyists rocket
November 15, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Neither. That’s not how it works
November 15, 2025 at 12:27 PM
There actually is a lot of benefit in doing so and it’s not dangerous. It’s also not absurdly complicated

It’s two burns, a hover then a graceful landing. Then you get back the vast majority of the cost for making a new one
November 15, 2025 at 12:27 PM