Conor Browne
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brownecfm.bsky.social
Conor Browne
@brownecfm.bsky.social
Biorisk analyst
archive.ph
November 10, 2025 at 11:01 AM
4. ... patients even more sick. Co-infection with influenza and Covid-19 is bad enough; with potentially no vaccination coverage for either disease it carries a significant risk of fatality. Simply put: the eligibility criteria for Covid-19 vaccination will lead to deaths.

/end
November 7, 2025 at 10:41 AM
3. Record numbers of people will be hospitalised for influenza. Because a large percentage of these people will not have had a recent Covid-19 booster (due to this year's extremely tight eligibility criteria), nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infection will make hospitalised influenza...
November 7, 2025 at 10:41 AM
2. ... It is perhaps worth considering an alternative hypothesis, namely that the immune dysregulation effect of SARS-CoV-2 infection is contributing to the severity of recent winter flu seasons.

*my emphasis

Regardless, here's what's going to happen:
November 7, 2025 at 10:41 AM
Perfect!!
November 5, 2025 at 11:30 AM
Thank you, Tania!
November 4, 2025 at 4:31 PM
5. *This thread was copied from my Twitter / X account, and applies predominantly to comments I have seen there.

/end
November 2, 2025 at 10:28 AM
4. These embedded notions of vaccines as poisons and defence against infectious agents as somehow representative of fear or evidence of a mental health condition are a gift to adversaries of the US, be they states or non-state actors. A gift.
November 2, 2025 at 10:28 AM
3. With that in mind, let me be very, very clear.

The mainstreaming of anti-vax ideology and the disregard and vilification of non-pharmaceutical interventions, including masking, has rendered the US more vulnerable to biological attack than at any time in its history.
November 2, 2025 at 10:28 AM
2. The current US administration communicates, and arguably governs, through social media. This means that comments on this platform* from Americans can no longer be discounted as simply bots; they are representative of the views of a significant proportion of the US population.
November 2, 2025 at 10:28 AM
9. As such, and this is vital to understand, anything that disrupts the immune system of a population, even temporarily, becomes a gap that pathogens *can and will* exploit.

In short, listen to what people say, not just the data, and think like a pathogen, not a human.

/end
November 1, 2025 at 10:37 AM
8. From the level of pathogens, and viruses in particular - remembering their imperative to replicate - we, or more accurately, our cells, *are the resources viruses seek to exploit*. To continue the shark metaphor, we are the meat.
November 1, 2025 at 10:37 AM
7. Following on from this, when you think from the perspective of pathogens, not humans, pathogen - pathogen interaction becomes both incredibly obvious and incredibly important. As humans, we, almost by default, centre ourselves in the world. This is a mistake.
November 1, 2025 at 10:37 AM
6. This is why I always think of viruses, for example, as molecular sharks. They just 'want' one thing: to replicate. As such, their mutation and subsequent adaptation will always be aimed towards that goal. It goes without saying that none of our beliefs as humans changes that.
November 1, 2025 at 10:37 AM
5. Second, and with the caveat that we should always resist the temptation to anthropomorphise pathogens, to fully understand how pathogens will behave in the future, it is vital to think from their perspective, not from the perspective of humans.
November 1, 2025 at 10:37 AM
4. Having a network of healthcare professionals and other individuals in the healthcare space that I can call and say something like, 'are you seeing any unusual cases lately' provides qualitative data that often isn't captured in formal quantitative surveillance.
November 1, 2025 at 10:37 AM
3. Small outbreaks of unknown diseases are often not picked up in surveillance data; sometimes they appear and disappear in one discrete location, seen as an anomaly by an individual healthcare professional.

*All outbreaks of novel diseases begin as anomalies*.
November 1, 2025 at 10:37 AM