Bradley Woodrum
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bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
Bradley Woodrum
@bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
1.3K followers 730 following 290 posts
Baseball analyst, economist, and writer. Current Baseball Prospectus writer, former FanGraphs writer, former Marlins analyst. Opinions are my own, but you may borrow them. I have friends everywhere.

he/him

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BradleyWoodrum
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bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
Tracy Jordan grabs Kenneth's shoulders, saying, "I'm gonna take a nap. See you in the hours."
November 22, 2025 at 1:58 AM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
An older man is held a knifepoint. He says, "Call an ambulance." He then reveals a snub-nosed revolver and adds, "But not for me!"
November 2, 2025 at 9:37 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
The Component Model, which uses performance vs velocity, had him and Kensuke Kondoh on a island (offensively speaking, and pun not intended).
A scatterplot showing the results of two major league equivalent models, with Kazuma Okomoto and Kensuke Kondoh both appearing in the upper right corner, suggesting good forecasts for MLB offensive production.
October 22, 2025 at 2:54 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
Since 2000, some of the best #MLB playoff bullpens were the least-used. With relievers getting so much more use and with declining effectiveness, it makes the continued choice to bunt -- and concede outs in key moments -- a head-scratching tactic.

www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...
A scatterplot showing playoff bullpens since the year 2000 playoffs. The percentage of batters faced by relievers is on the x axis, and the y axis shows FIP-. There is a loose but real correlation between bullpen usage and effectiveness (FIP-). The years with the most-used bullpens are some of the worst years performance-wise.
October 16, 2025 at 3:05 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
Munetaka Murakami getting posted for #MLB is very exciting. Though there are pretty big question marks as to how well he can perform, either defensively or with his strikeout rate. My research earlier this year didn't love his performance versus velocity.

www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...
A scatter plot showing NPB offensive projections, and Munataka Murakami rates well in one model, but not the one that considers performance versus high velocity pitchers.
October 11, 2025 at 8:32 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
I'm doubtful there's a fit in #MLB for Takahiro Norimoto, given his slow, steady decline. But it's not impossible to imagine a ground ball specialist or long man job.

Not impossible, but very difficult.

www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...
A combination bar chart and line plot that shows how Japanese pitcher Takahiro Norimoto has gradually pitched fewer innings with steadily worse xFIP metrics relative to the league.
October 9, 2025 at 1:30 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
Get ready everyone! Here comes the drop!

www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...
A crudely drawn time series plot that shows a curve of "Sample Size per Story." It starts very low during Spring Training, peaks right before the playoffs, then plumbers and stays low throughout the playoffs.
September 25, 2025 at 12:44 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
Love this writeup from Connor Farrell.

www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...
A highlighted block of text that reads: "One of the best things about [sports], in my opinion, is how they teach you to lose. So many people won’t put themselves into a situation where they can lose. Many more take the wrong message from the lesson that you should never lose. But sports are a vehicle to learn that you can do everything the right way, try something confidently and fairly, and still lose. You could even lose badly."
September 23, 2025 at 2:22 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
Growing up a #Cubs fan can result in remembering some guys.
September 2, 2025 at 4:49 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
"If we do it, they'll all do it.
It's only a tenth of a cent --
nobody gets hurt! It's good for
the Newsies -- an incentive, make
'em work harder, sell more papers!"
September 2, 2025 at 4:41 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
LOL! Apparently I forgot to attach the photo. But honestly, it's more distressing without it! 😆
August 25, 2025 at 8:24 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
I spent perhaps too much time digging into the numbers for this article, but I think nothing stuck out more to me than the importance of count in Bat Speed metrics.

www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...
August 21, 2025 at 7:56 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
One of the biggest surprises in my dig into the data was how low the GIDP rate has gotten this season. This isn't divided by double play opportunities here, but it's a striking development nonetheless!
August 14, 2025 at 4:36 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
I walk by this every day. But today it feels almost holy.
July 29, 2025 at 10:40 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
[Without cheating, who is your last saved celebrity photo? They are your therapist now.]

Things are going to be all. Right.
It's a screenshot of the literal doctor from Arrested Development.
July 21, 2025 at 7:23 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
Upon further review, this fan in the outfield most definitely got BONKED by Kyle Tucker's home run. You could immediately see the folks around the fan reach out comfortingly. Hoping they're okay! The #Cubs offense is dangerous to folks on the berm right now.
A blurry screenshot of the Cubs-Athletics game on April 1st showing the outfield berm, where fans mill about on picnic blankets, wearing winter jackets and beanies. A bright red arrow tracks the trajectory of a home run ball that has bonked a person in the head. You can see their hands covering their head in pain.
April 2, 2025 at 1:51 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
I'm very excited! My copy of the @baseballprospectus.com annual has arrived!!! I'm eager to read the other articles -- they will be, by default, more uplifting than my article on the #Rays. 😅
February 3, 2025 at 10:43 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
Ah! 8 gotta pump those numbers up!
December 8, 2024 at 2:50 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
My son has the itch too. This is the state of our dining table.
December 3, 2024 at 7:48 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
Then what's the show?
December 3, 2024 at 3:47 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
And if I'm in the kitchen, better believe I've got this masterpiece spinning! #boniver
November 22, 2024 at 3:58 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
Post a picture you took (no description) to bring some zen to the timeline.
A picture of a densely overgrown wooded area in southern Florida. Twisting tree trunks, covered in vines, intertwine with each other, and slivers of blue sky and white clouds poke through the canopy.
November 17, 2024 at 2:35 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
Man. Sometimes the answers are simple. And sometimes you're the Chicago #WhiteSox. It's incredible how well K% predicts overall team success. And even more incredible how big of an outlier the Sox were this year.
Team-level pitcher strikeout rates, compared to team wins, 2024 MLB season.
November 9, 2024 at 7:24 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
Ah, should have trimmed the pitchers from the plot, but it's the same shape, just different nuance. #MLB
November 8, 2024 at 4:25 PM
bradleywoodrum.bsky.social
So the slow death of the Triple plays a role in the relative declining value of LHH hitters over the last 100 years. Platooning and a proliferation of LHRs have also watered down the population of LHH while also reducing their effectiveness, but the decline in triples certainly is a factor in this.
November 8, 2024 at 4:17 PM