Roger Francis
Roger Francis
@botheration.bsky.social
These are good interception stats, either the Russians were attacking well defended targets or Ukrainian defences have improved.
November 19, 2025 at 8:59 AM
More needed I think
November 15, 2025 at 12:05 PM
The UK does not celebrate a victory over Germany, it remembers its fallen (or as Trump is reported to have called US war dead "losers" and "suckers")
November 12, 2025 at 10:29 AM
Nice graph ...looking forward to Dec!
November 11, 2025 at 8:36 PM
Of course getting out of extended deterrence is a recipe for proliferation which brings a whole new set of risks.
November 6, 2025 at 9:43 AM
Excellent work, very high intercept rate
November 1, 2025 at 8:43 AM
Ought to be a no-brainer
October 23, 2025 at 2:40 PM
Alternatively this is Trump's latest wheeze to avoid doing anything given the low probability that the EU/NATO will let him corral them into a trade war under his direction
October 16, 2025 at 10:51 AM
Thanks ....subscribed!
September 27, 2025 at 10:52 PM
Thanks, I took a proper look 🙂

This was the report I remembered, it claims Russian recruitment has slumped well below target levels.

bsky.app/profile/noel...
Russia is struggling to recruit enough contract soldiers to cover its losses, according to Ukraine’s Center for Countering Disinformation. Only 37,900 contracts were signed in Q2 2025, down 2.5 times from the same period last year and the lowest figure in two years.
September 27, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Thanks, this is interesting. I've also seen reports that recruitment is slumping - I'd be interested to know if you agree?
September 27, 2025 at 1:39 PM
...and sometimes the other side collapses...

bsky.app/profile/noel...
Russia is struggling to recruit enough contract soldiers to cover its losses, according to Ukraine’s Center for Countering Disinformation. Only 37,900 contracts were signed in Q2 2025, down 2.5 times from the same period last year and the lowest figure in two years.
September 24, 2025 at 1:45 PM
Wow, he called Russia the aggressor!
September 15, 2025 at 4:13 PM
As Mediazona points out this is a very conservative count as it's only based on obits and death notices. Not all deaths are so recorded and there are 50k MIAs in the process of being declared dead who also tend not to get obits. So 200k is reasonable.
September 5, 2025 at 7:16 AM
This is the Telegraph view ....for what that's worth ....not much
August 16, 2025 at 8:11 PM
Will that count as +1 AD in the General Staff bulletin tomorrow?
August 5, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Just get on with it
July 21, 2025 at 6:03 PM
Hopefully that's a bit garbled.... ten missiles ain't much
July 8, 2025 at 10:03 AM
Supplying Ukraine is collective defence
July 4, 2025 at 3:29 PM
And now he's posting about 'egregious' Canadian taxes. Can't be doing his own typing
June 27, 2025 at 8:48 PM
So, why hasn't he let Ukraine buy anything?

...about to change?
June 25, 2025 at 2:54 PM
That's a really good interception rate
June 23, 2025 at 6:57 AM