Jonathan Judge
@bachlaw.bsky.social
Lawyer, former Wisconsinite, (coefficient) shrinkage enthusiast. Baseball Prospectus stats, PECOTA. Likes: Brewers, Packers, statistical parameters.
A holiday delicacy.
November 23, 2025 at 11:55 PM
A holiday delicacy.
in graphical form:
November 14, 2025 at 1:59 AM
in graphical form:
Coming into tonight, my opposition-adjusted EPA rankings, using multilevel models and a student t distribution for errors.
Note that the teams at the top also tend to benefit from their schedule.
Note that the teams at the top also tend to benefit from their schedule.
November 14, 2025 at 1:59 AM
Coming into tonight, my opposition-adjusted EPA rankings, using multilevel models and a student t distribution for errors.
Note that the teams at the top also tend to benefit from their schedule.
Note that the teams at the top also tend to benefit from their schedule.
These jurors are having a blast:
November 4, 2025 at 9:35 PM
These jurors are having a blast:
The Salt Lake City Tabernacle, where the organ is the biggest I have ever seen. Five keyboards, pedals everywhere, 11,000 pipes. Goodness gracious.
October 18, 2025 at 5:40 PM
The Salt Lake City Tabernacle, where the organ is the biggest I have ever seen. Five keyboards, pedals everywhere, 11,000 pipes. Goodness gracious.
On a completely random note, I wanted to congratulate you on your outstanding MLB career, although AI says you are no Paul Molitor:
October 10, 2025 at 11:54 PM
On a completely random note, I wanted to congratulate you on your outstanding MLB career, although AI says you are no Paul Molitor:
Well that’s not the sort of stuff you want showing up in your documents.
September 21, 2025 at 6:10 PM
Well that’s not the sort of stuff you want showing up in your documents.
The individual team ratings by phase. Remember, we only have (most of) two weeks so far.
September 15, 2025 at 3:42 PM
The individual team ratings by phase. Remember, we only have (most of) two weeks so far.
My adjusted team EPA ratings for the 2025 NFL season, trying to adjust for, among other things, opponent quality and garbage time.
September 15, 2025 at 3:42 PM
My adjusted team EPA ratings for the 2025 NFL season, trying to adjust for, among other things, opponent quality and garbage time.
Details by game phase. Also . . . remember we have only (most of) two weeks of the 2025 season so far.
September 15, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Details by game phase. Also . . . remember we have only (most of) two weeks of the 2025 season so far.
Another Murph-ism for the ages.
August 31, 2025 at 1:52 AM
Another Murph-ism for the ages.
This is a a bit of nihilistic perspective from the story, but she is not wrong:
August 30, 2025 at 3:12 PM
This is a a bit of nihilistic perspective from the story, but she is not wrong:
There’s always a window.
(View from 74th floor, Willis Tower, of approaching lightning storm).
(View from 74th floor, Willis Tower, of approaching lightning storm).
August 12, 2025 at 8:58 PM
There’s always a window.
(View from 74th floor, Willis Tower, of approaching lightning storm).
(View from 74th floor, Willis Tower, of approaching lightning storm).
A wrenching but necessary part of any visit to Munich: Dachau, reflecting humanity at some of its very worst.
Note how the displayed inmate’s dignity is intact: hands in his pockets, fully clothed, and eyes up.
“To honor the dead and warn the living.”
Note how the displayed inmate’s dignity is intact: hands in his pockets, fully clothed, and eyes up.
“To honor the dead and warn the living.”
August 2, 2025 at 4:03 PM
A wrenching but necessary part of any visit to Munich: Dachau, reflecting humanity at some of its very worst.
Note how the displayed inmate’s dignity is intact: hands in his pockets, fully clothed, and eyes up.
“To honor the dead and warn the living.”
Note how the displayed inmate’s dignity is intact: hands in his pockets, fully clothed, and eyes up.
“To honor the dead and warn the living.”
Intergalactic headquarters. The emblem (blue and white) also makes much more sense now (Bavarian flag colors).
August 2, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Intergalactic headquarters. The emblem (blue and white) also makes much more sense now (Bavarian flag colors).
Suppose we shouldn’t be surprised that the inspiration for Walt Disney’s fairy tale castles is in Bavaria.
July 30, 2025 at 2:03 PM
Suppose we shouldn’t be surprised that the inspiration for Walt Disney’s fairy tale castles is in Bavaria.
The Hard Rock Cafe: a tradition since 1577.
July 28, 2025 at 7:41 AM
The Hard Rock Cafe: a tradition since 1577.
In an Austrian brewery, the server picks your flight.
July 27, 2025 at 4:35 PM
In an Austrian brewery, the server picks your flight.