AztecBreakdown
@aztecbreakdown.bsky.social
For a deeper analysis of San Diego State and Mountain West Hoops.
Box score stats for SDSU through 2 exhibiton games. Reese and Taj have been great. BJ Davis with the highest +/-.
October 31, 2025 at 11:57 PM
Box score stats for SDSU through 2 exhibiton games. Reese and Taj have been great. BJ Davis with the highest +/-.
The projections showing the Aztecs some love (although I stand by my assertion that B.J. Davis isn't a PG.) Not surprising that the Aztecs should be good at blocking shots again this season.
October 29, 2025 at 7:09 PM
The projections showing the Aztecs some love (although I stand by my assertion that B.J. Davis isn't a PG.) Not surprising that the Aztecs should be good at blocking shots again this season.
Just a quick project to see how PIPM correlates with winning. SDSU's 2020 season can be seen towards the top right corner.
October 25, 2025 at 11:10 PM
Just a quick project to see how PIPM correlates with winning. SDSU's 2020 season can be seen towards the top right corner.
For fun I wanted to compare the amount of AP All American players the basketball programs of the new MW an dPac-12 have had since 2010. Here are the results:
October 8, 2025 at 11:35 PM
For fun I wanted to compare the amount of AP All American players the basketball programs of the new MW an dPac-12 have had since 2010. Here are the results:
The ncaa committee saying expansion isn’t about money is laughable, but if Reuters is correct here, it’s also about squeezing out low major teams to fit more power programs.
October 2, 2025 at 6:43 PM
The ncaa committee saying expansion isn’t about money is laughable, but if Reuters is correct here, it’s also about squeezing out low major teams to fit more power programs.
PIPM for incoming Mountain West Basketball players:
September 27, 2025 at 6:29 PM
PIPM for incoming Mountain West Basketball players:
Good news: @evanmiya.bsky.social BPR system projects the Aztecs to have 7 of the top 25 players in the conference. No other team has more than 5 (Boise).
The Bad: Having Magoon Gwath down at 20 is criminal. He'll start off a little slow, but be an all conference performer by the end of the season.
The Bad: Having Magoon Gwath down at 20 is criminal. He'll start off a little slow, but be an all conference performer by the end of the season.
September 13, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Good news: @evanmiya.bsky.social BPR system projects the Aztecs to have 7 of the top 25 players in the conference. No other team has more than 5 (Boise).
The Bad: Having Magoon Gwath down at 20 is criminal. He'll start off a little slow, but be an all conference performer by the end of the season.
The Bad: Having Magoon Gwath down at 20 is criminal. He'll start off a little slow, but be an all conference performer by the end of the season.
Magoon Gwath averaged 1.143 points per possession in post up situations last season. The average was 0.91. In his small sample he was elite down low, especially toward the end of the season. If he adds passing ability like on this clip, he can be a complete weapon down low.
September 10, 2025 at 1:47 PM
Magoon Gwath averaged 1.143 points per possession in post up situations last season. The average was 0.91. In his small sample he was elite down low, especially toward the end of the season. If he adds passing ability like on this clip, he can be a complete weapon down low.
This changed a lot last season, but I expect will be smoother this time through. Michigan and Oregon in the Players Era tournament.
July 1, 2025 at 3:32 PM
This changed a lot last season, but I expect will be smoother this time through. Michigan and Oregon in the Players Era tournament.
With the retention of Byrd set, the Aztecs roster is complete. Their moves in the portal aren't the sexiest in the conference, but the goal was always retention anyway. Here is how each team did according to next season's projected BPR.
May 29, 2025 at 7:53 PM
With the retention of Byrd set, the Aztecs roster is complete. Their moves in the portal aren't the sexiest in the conference, but the goal was always retention anyway. Here is how each team did according to next season's projected BPR.
From sports illustrated.
May 16, 2025 at 7:56 PM
From sports illustrated.
At this way too early junction, this is roughly the minutes I'd shoot for if I was coaching. The staff has a way higher opinion of Oden than I do. In their defense, they know what they're doing. But it's hard to justify playing him over most anyone else on the roster based on what I've seen.
May 14, 2025 at 7:04 PM
At this way too early junction, this is roughly the minutes I'd shoot for if I was coaching. The staff has a way higher opinion of Oden than I do. In their defense, they know what they're doing. But it's hard to justify playing him over most anyone else on the roster based on what I've seen.
Idk if these numbers get it done for Byrd. This combined with his weight would be a bit of a red flag. His potential is still through the roof, and it only takes one team, but he’ll have to really impress in scrimmages imo.
May 14, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Idk if these numbers get it done for Byrd. This combined with his weight would be a bit of a red flag. His potential is still through the roof, and it only takes one team, but he’ll have to really impress in scrimmages imo.
A mistake in Torvik has the conferences changing this season instead of next. It also has SDSU at 53rd and I think that's really low, although in the system's defense it doesn't have Byrd on the roster.
April 27, 2025 at 9:01 PM
A mistake in Torvik has the conferences changing this season instead of next. It also has SDSU at 53rd and I think that's really low, although in the system's defense it doesn't have Byrd on the roster.
For a couple of reasons this isn't the full roster, but it's nice to see that Latrell Davis brings some offensive efficiency to the team. It is sorely needed.
April 17, 2025 at 3:14 PM
For a couple of reasons this isn't the full roster, but it's nice to see that Latrell Davis brings some offensive efficiency to the team. It is sorely needed.
Assuming no one else enters for the portal, this is what I have for the roster. Nice to have it all tied up early this year. Looks like it should be a really good team.
April 16, 2025 at 11:43 PM
Assuming no one else enters for the portal, this is what I have for the roster. Nice to have it all tied up early this year. Looks like it should be a really good team.
Updated SDSU recruiting contact list. Listed in order of who I'd like to join the most.
April 13, 2025 at 4:14 PM
Updated SDSU recruiting contact list. Listed in order of who I'd like to join the most.
Updated SDSU recruiting list. I really like this Anderson kid.
April 11, 2025 at 12:45 AM
Updated SDSU recruiting list. I really like this Anderson kid.
Basiclaly, these are the guys I'd go for.
April 6, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Basiclaly, these are the guys I'd go for.
Tomorrow the top two teams on POE (Points over Expectation) face off in the final four, and I'm here for it.
April 4, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Tomorrow the top two teams on POE (Points over Expectation) face off in the final four, and I'm here for it.
My way too early take on the rotation at this point. 1-5 are the starters by position. 6-11 based on minutes played.
April 2, 2025 at 11:20 PM
My way too early take on the rotation at this point. 1-5 are the starters by position. 6-11 based on minutes played.
Updated with the Sean Newman visit:
April 1, 2025 at 11:45 PM
Updated with the Sean Newman visit:
Updated recruiting contact list, with Oden's coimmittment and Colby Garland added to the list.
April 1, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Updated recruiting contact list, with Oden's coimmittment and Colby Garland added to the list.