Aubrey Clayton
@aubreyclayton.bsky.social
Author of Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science.
I write about statistics, history, and the history of statistics.
Opinions and Bayesian priors are my own.
He/him
I write about statistics, history, and the history of statistics.
Opinions and Bayesian priors are my own.
He/him
Was reading the Wikipedia page for Nicolas Slonimsky and found this A+ cat name
October 29, 2025 at 4:40 PM
Was reading the Wikipedia page for Nicolas Slonimsky and found this A+ cat name
Wishful thinking in the Boston public schools today (Tuesday, September 2nd)
September 2, 2025 at 9:16 PM
Wishful thinking in the Boston public schools today (Tuesday, September 2nd)
This was also true of the British eugenicist worldview, which became the American one.
www.liberalcurrents.com/degenerate-n...
www.liberalcurrents.com/degenerate-n...
August 11, 2025 at 12:38 PM
This was also true of the British eugenicist worldview, which became the American one.
www.liberalcurrents.com/degenerate-n...
www.liberalcurrents.com/degenerate-n...
ChatGPT disagrees
August 1, 2025 at 3:48 PM
ChatGPT disagrees
Yeah, that figures
July 29, 2025 at 4:05 AM
Yeah, that figures
What perfect album came out when you were sixteen?
July 27, 2025 at 2:00 AM
What perfect album came out when you were sixteen?
This paragraph in particular lights my brain on fire in a good way
July 22, 2025 at 1:26 PM
This paragraph in particular lights my brain on fire in a good way
Folks on the Hellsite seem pretty convinced that the Texas floods were caused by a cloud-seeding tech startup funded by Peter Thiel. Not sure whose interests this conspiracy theory serves, but here we are.
July 7, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Folks on the Hellsite seem pretty convinced that the Texas floods were caused by a cloud-seeding tech startup funded by Peter Thiel. Not sure whose interests this conspiracy theory serves, but here we are.
Clear evidence of election fraud in the NY mayoral primary: Mamdani received a majority of votes in Green-Wood Cemetery
June 25, 2025 at 2:16 AM
Clear evidence of election fraud in the NY mayoral primary: Mamdani received a majority of votes in Green-Wood Cemetery
Will Trump get the Nobel Peace Prize if the nuclear program he dismantles is one that Iran creates in response to his attempt to dismantle their previous non-existent one?
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/u...
June 24, 2025 at 9:46 PM
Will Trump get the Nobel Peace Prize if the nuclear program he dismantles is one that Iran creates in response to his attempt to dismantle their previous non-existent one?
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/u...
Big day for Australian cricketer Karen Read, acquitted on murder charges in Massachusetts according to Google AI
June 20, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Big day for Australian cricketer Karen Read, acquitted on murder charges in Massachusetts according to Google AI
If I had to take sides in this science fight (over whether there's life on K2-18b), I probably wouldn't pick the one that's so blatantly misinterpreting their own statistics.
www.nytimes.com/2025/05/23/s...
www.nytimes.com/2025/05/23/s...
May 26, 2025 at 12:53 PM
If I had to take sides in this science fight (over whether there's life on K2-18b), I probably wouldn't pick the one that's so blatantly misinterpreting their own statistics.
www.nytimes.com/2025/05/23/s...
www.nytimes.com/2025/05/23/s...
How it started -> how it's going
January 19, 2025 at 8:32 PM
How it started -> how it's going
Mentally I'm here
December 17, 2024 at 9:56 PM
Mentally I'm here
I remember having the same feeling of bafflement after this photo with the baby whose parents were killed in the 2019 El Paso shooting.
My honest best guess is that he just has a complete lack of situational awareness.
My honest best guess is that he just has a complete lack of situational awareness.
August 29, 2024 at 4:18 PM
I remember having the same feeling of bafflement after this photo with the baby whose parents were killed in the 2019 El Paso shooting.
My honest best guess is that he just has a complete lack of situational awareness.
My honest best guess is that he just has a complete lack of situational awareness.
Then there are some who, upon learning that frequentist statistics is entangled with the eugenics movement, will find it a huge point in its favor.
August 8, 2024 at 1:36 PM
Then there are some who, upon learning that frequentist statistics is entangled with the eugenics movement, will find it a huge point in its favor.