This is very helpful - thank you!

Yup. And driving across half the island without traffic lights was…interesting!

I hear that!!!! We are blessed with a diocesan ofc of worship director who is OFM (😱), so I could count on him to offer to “pastorally correct” his confreres! Hahahahaha

Hahahaha Oh, I wasn’t so reticent, but my MA is in liturgy and my title was Dir of Liturgy and Music, so they weren’t shocked. LOL

I love my Franciscans dearly, but having worked with them for 13 years, I can attest to their liturgical…ummm…creativity? 😆

NOT an offense - a totally yummy plan! 😋

Love Franciscans, but Salesians really bring the liturgical gravitas!! 😆

And can I just say how much I enjoy seeing a familiar name here? I hope you’re enjoying a blessed Advent!

As a good friend of mine, who went to law school with my husband, likes to say: ‘I don’t know’, and ‘I don’t remember’ are perfectly valid answers. 😐

Therefore, to achieve population replacement in the U.S., each woman would need to have approximately 2.005 children, considering current infant and maternal mortality rates.

And that students, is a valid use of AI.
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Combined survival rate = Survival rate to age one × Survival rate per birth
Combined survival rate ≈ 0.9947 × 0.999777 ≈ 0.9945
Calculating TFR:
TFR = 2 / Combined survival rate
TFR ≈ 2 / 0.9945 ≈ 2.005
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Adjusting for Maternal Mortality:
Survival rate per birth = 1 - (MMR / 100,000)
Survival rate per birth = 1 - (22.3 / 100,000) ≈ 0.999777
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Adjusting for Infant Mortality:
Survival rate to age one = 1 - (IMR / 1,000)
Survival rate to age one = 1 - (5.342 / 1,000) ≈ 0.9947
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Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR): The U.S. maternal mortality rate in 2022 was 22.3 deaths per 100,000 live births.
CDC

The Total Fertility Rate (TFR) represents the avg number of children a woman would need to have in order to ensure population replacement, considering mortality rates.
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To maintain a stable population, each woman needs to have enough children to replace herself and her partner, accounting for infant and maternal mortality rates.

Infant Mortality Rate (IMR): The U.S. infant mortality rate in 2024 is approximately 5.342 deaths per 1,000 live births.
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