I am not sure. Perhaps he rushed into print when he should’ve given himself time.

I think Ezra’s position on Kirk’s politics was silly and badly articulated. But his viewthat the Dems need to get better at politics seems to me correct. And his insistence on the need for a ‘third space’ beyond the spiralling polarisation seems to me courageous.

None of this is to deny that the technology has some uses in these capacities (though not ones I've felt any need for myself). But I worry that we are starting to see intellectual labour as just a means to an end, and as something that can be shortcut.

And as for writing, don't get me started. Most often, the process of writing is not a laborious business of transcription, but a process of thinking itself. I'm not about to outsource my thinking to a machine.

...I mean that even with careful prompts I would not be confident LLMs could perform the function I'd want. How do I know that any bland AI summary of a paper is going to extract what might be of value to *me* in it? I don't even know that myself before I read it...

The little groups around fires will be in the former US.

For mine it is the actual knives 😮

We are currently in the procyclical phase of the investment bubble.

The moment of transition to the anticyclical phase is not a simple matter of reality asserting itself but rather a consequence of the situation when the underlying political conditions driving the bubble falter — even for a moment.

How many sleeps?

Yes. Once you begin with the ‘slippery slope’ argument there’s not much to hold you back

The tendency of US liberals to think their adversaries dumb is one of their most serious weaknesses

The distinction is irrelevant. You should just fight them

Scary