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Live UK general election projections at 👉 andelections.com
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📰 08/01/26 UK Projection: New Year, New Badenoch?

The Tories would be set to be the second largest party if an election were held today, as Labour fall to &Elections' worst forecast for them ever. 👇

andelections.substack.com/p/080126-uk-...
🚨 New post on Substack!

📰 08/01/26 UK Projection: New Year, New Badenoch?

The Tories would be set to be the second largest party if an election were held today, as Labour fall to &Elections' worst forecast for them ever. 👇

andelections.substack.com/p/080126-uk-...
January 8, 2026 at 10:04 PM
📊 08 Jan 26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 322 (+317) / 28.5%
🌳CON: 85 (-36) / 20.2%
🌹LAB: 69 (-342) / 18.0%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 13.0%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 39 (+35) / 13.9%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 0.9%
👥OTH: 3 (-2) / 2.7%
January 8, 2026 at 10:00 PM
🚨 New post on Substack!

📰 02/01/26 Holyrood Projection: Reform Poised to Form the Opposition

The SNP are set to govern alone while Reform are poised to form the opposition as Labour and the Tories are to be comprehensivley anihilated... 👇

andelections.substack.com/p/020126-hol...
January 5, 2026 at 12:04 PM
📊 02 Jan 26 #Holyrood Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/holyrood

🎗️SNP: 65 (+2) / 29.2%
➡️RFM: 23 (+23) / 21.0%
🌍GRN: 13 (+3) / 13.0%
🌹LAB: 11 (-10) / 12.1%
🔶LDM: 9 (+5) / 9.1%
🌳CON: 8 (-23) / 9.7%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 5.9%
January 5, 2026 at 11:53 AM
📊 26 Dec 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 299 (+294) / 27.6%
🌹LAB: 95 (-316) / 19.3%
🌳CON: 86 (-35) / 20.0%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 13.2%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 30 (+26) / 13.4%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 0.9%
👥OTH: 5 (N/C) / 2.8%
December 27, 2025 at 8:53 PM
📊 18 Dec 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 341 (+336) / 29.2%
🌹LAB: 75 (-336) / 18.9%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 12.6%
🌳CON: 60 (-61) / 18.7%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 35 (+31) / 13.8%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 5 (N/C) / 2.9%
December 18, 2025 at 6:32 PM
📊 11 Dec 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 328 (+323) / 28.5%
🌹LAB: 76 (-335) / 18.8%
🌳CON: 70 (-51) / 19.2%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 13.0%
🎗️SNP: 44 (+35) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 35 (+31) / 13.6%
🌼PLC: 7 (+3) / 1.1%
👥OTH: 6 (+1) / 3.0%
December 16, 2025 at 8:24 PM
🚨 New post on Substack!

📰 04/12/25 UK Projection: Reform Flounder and Tories Regain Ground

Reform are down this week as Labour - but more notably the Tories - are up; however, the Lib Dems continue to stagnate. 👇

andelections.substack.com/p/041225-uk-...
December 10, 2025 at 11:42 PM
📊 04 Dec 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 328 (+323) / 28.7%
🌹LAB: 82 (-329) / 19.1%
🌳CON: 72 (-49) / 19.5%
🔶LDM: 63 (-9) / 12.7%
🎗️SNP: 42 (+33) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 34 (+30) / 13.6%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 4 (-1) / 2.7%
December 10, 2025 at 6:12 PM
📊 28 Nov 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 334 (+329) / 28.7%
🌹LAB: 76 (-335) / 18.8%
🔶LDM: 67 (-5) / 13.3%
🌳CON: 61 (-60) / 18.6%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 34 (+30) / 13.5%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 8 (+3) / 3.4%
November 28, 2025 at 1:30 PM
🚨 New post on Substack!

📰 20/11/25 UK Projection: The Green Surge Continues

The Greens have settled at about 14% support, while Labour's fortunes become increasingly glum. 👇

andelections.substack.com/p/201125-uk-...
November 25, 2025 at 10:41 PM
📊 20 Nov 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 343 (+338) / 29.2%
🌹LAB: 75 (-336) / 18.9%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.8%
🌳CON: 56 (-65) / 18.2%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 38 (+34) / 14.1%
🌼PLC: 7 (+3) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 4 (-1) / 2.8%
November 25, 2025 at 10:38 PM
📊 13 Nov 25 #GeneraElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 351 (+346) / 29.7%
🌹LAB: 77 (-334) / 18.9%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.9%
🌳CON: 52 (-69) / 18.2%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 29 (+25) / 13.0%
🌼PLC: 8 (+4) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 6 (+1) / 3.2%
November 20, 2025 at 3:50 PM
📊 06 Nov 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 350 (+345) / 29.4%
🌹LAB: 74 (-337) / 18.8%
🔶LDM: 67 (-5) / 13.1%
🌳CON: 50 (-71) / 17.9%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 33 (+29) / 13.5%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 8 (+3) / 3.6%
November 6, 2025 at 7:25 PM
📊 Poll Projection:
@moreincommonuk.bsky.social 31 Oct - 03 Nov 25

➡️RFM: 31% / 374 (+369)
🔶LDM: 13% / 67 (-5)
🌹LAB: 18% / 64 (-347)
🌳CON: 19% / 50 (-71)
🎗️SNP: 2% / 40 (+31)
🌍GRN: 12% / 25 (+21)
👥OTH: 4% / 11 (+2)
2,031 (GB) sample

Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
November 5, 2025 at 12:27 PM
📊 Poll Projection:
@yougov.co.uk 02-03 Nov 25

➡️RFM: 27% / 320 (+315)
🌹LAB: 20% / 98 (-313)
🔶LDM: 15% / 82 (+10)
🌍GRN: 16% / 49 (+45)
🎗️SNP: 3% / 44 (+35)
🌳CON: 16% / 32 (-89)
👥OTH: 3% / 6 (-3)
2,376 (GB) sample

Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
November 4, 2025 at 12:19 PM
🚨 New post on Substack!

📰 30/10/25 UK Projection: The Greens and Reform Continue to Squeeze Labour Support

This week's &Elections forecast is Labour's worst-ever, but the Greens' and Reform's best-ever. 👇

andelections.substack.com/p/301025-uk-...
October 30, 2025 at 8:14 PM
📊 30 Oct 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 351 (+346) / 29.8%
🌹LAB: 89 (-322) / 19.5%
🔶LDM: 68 (-4) / 13.5%
🌳CON: 45 (-76) / 17.8%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 18 (+14) / 11.7%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 11 (+6) / 4.0%
October 30, 2025 at 8:11 PM
📊 Poll Projection:
@findoutnow.bsky.social 29 Oct 25

➡️RFM: 32% / 401 (+396)
🌍GRN: 17% / 65 (+61)
🔶LDM: 12% / 62 (-10)
🎗️SNP: 2% / 45 (+36)
🌹LAB: 16% / 24 (-387)
🌳CON: 16% / 23 (-98)
👥OTH: 4% / 11 (+2)
3,065 (GB) sample

Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
October 30, 2025 at 4:55 PM
📊 Poll Projection:
@moreincommonuk.bsky.social 24-27 Oct 25

➡️RFM: 33% / 385 (+380)
🌹LAB: 21% / 97 (-314)
🔶LDM: 12% / 59 (-13)
🎗️SNP: 2% / 43 (+34)
🌳CON: 18% / 31 (-90)
🌍GRN: 11% / 11 (+7)
👥OTH: 1% / 5 (-4)
2,030 (GB) sample

Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
October 29, 2025 at 11:44 AM
📊 Poll Projection:
@yougov.co.uk 26-27 Oct 25

➡️RFM: 27% / 338 (+333)
🔶LDM: 15% / 81 (+9)
🌍GRN: 16% / 60 (+56)
🌹LAB: 17% / 48 (-363)
🎗️SNP: 3% / 47 (+38)
🌳CON: 17% / 45 (-76)
👥OTH: 4% / 12 (+3)
2,389 (GB) sample

Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
October 28, 2025 at 10:19 AM
📊 Poll Projection:
Lord Ashcroft 16-20 Oct 25

➡️RFM: 28% / 334 (+329)
🌳CON: 19% / 66 (-55)
🌹LAB: 19% / 57 (-354)
🌍GRN: 19% / 57 (+53)
🔶LDM: 10% / 53 (-19)
🎗️SNP: 2% / 48 (+39)
👥OTH: 5% / 16 (+7)
5,038 (GB) sample

Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
October 28, 2025 at 12:03 AM
📊 Poll Projection:
@opiniumresearch.bsky.social 22-24 Oct 25

➡️RFM: 30% / 351 (+346)
🌹LAB: 20% / 94 (-317)
🔶LDM: 12% / 64 (-8)
🎗️SNP: 3% / 47 (+38)
🌳CON: 18% / 43 (-78)
🌍GRN: 12% / 18 (+14)
👥OTH: 5% / 14 (+5)
2,030 (GB) sample

Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
October 28, 2025 at 12:02 AM
🚨 New post on Substack!

📰 24/10/25 UK Projection: The Polanski Bounce is Manifesting

Labour are on their joint-lowest-ever vote share in an &Elections forecast while the Greens continue to surge. 👇

andelections.substack.com/p/241025-uk-...
October 24, 2025 at 7:41 PM
📊 24 Oct 25 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 336 (+331) / 29.3%
🌹LAB: 103 (-308) / 20.2%
🔶LDM: 69 (-3) / 13.8%
🌳CON: 49 (-72) / 18.0%
🎗️SNP: 44 (+35) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 14 (+10) / 11.2%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 10 (+5) / 3.7%
October 24, 2025 at 7:39 PM