📰 08/01/26 UK Projection: New Year, New Badenoch?
The Tories would be set to be the second largest party if an election were held today, as Labour fall to &Elections' worst forecast for them ever. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/080126-uk-...
📰 08/01/26 UK Projection: New Year, New Badenoch?
The Tories would be set to be the second largest party if an election were held today, as Labour fall to &Elections' worst forecast for them ever. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/080126-uk-...
📰 08/01/26 UK Projection: New Year, New Badenoch?
The Tories would be set to be the second largest party if an election were held today, as Labour fall to &Elections' worst forecast for them ever. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/080126-uk-...
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 322 (+317) / 28.5%
🌳CON: 85 (-36) / 20.2%
🌹LAB: 69 (-342) / 18.0%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 13.0%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 39 (+35) / 13.9%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 0.9%
👥OTH: 3 (-2) / 2.7%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 322 (+317) / 28.5%
🌳CON: 85 (-36) / 20.2%
🌹LAB: 69 (-342) / 18.0%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 13.0%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 39 (+35) / 13.9%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 0.9%
👥OTH: 3 (-2) / 2.7%
📰 02/01/26 Holyrood Projection: Reform Poised to Form the Opposition
The SNP are set to govern alone while Reform are poised to form the opposition as Labour and the Tories are to be comprehensivley anihilated... 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/020126-hol...
📰 02/01/26 Holyrood Projection: Reform Poised to Form the Opposition
The SNP are set to govern alone while Reform are poised to form the opposition as Labour and the Tories are to be comprehensivley anihilated... 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/020126-hol...
Available at: andelections.com/holyrood
🎗️SNP: 65 (+2) / 29.2%
➡️RFM: 23 (+23) / 21.0%
🌍GRN: 13 (+3) / 13.0%
🌹LAB: 11 (-10) / 12.1%
🔶LDM: 9 (+5) / 9.1%
🌳CON: 8 (-23) / 9.7%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 5.9%
Available at: andelections.com/holyrood
🎗️SNP: 65 (+2) / 29.2%
➡️RFM: 23 (+23) / 21.0%
🌍GRN: 13 (+3) / 13.0%
🌹LAB: 11 (-10) / 12.1%
🔶LDM: 9 (+5) / 9.1%
🌳CON: 8 (-23) / 9.7%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 5.9%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 299 (+294) / 27.6%
🌹LAB: 95 (-316) / 19.3%
🌳CON: 86 (-35) / 20.0%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 13.2%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 30 (+26) / 13.4%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 0.9%
👥OTH: 5 (N/C) / 2.8%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 299 (+294) / 27.6%
🌹LAB: 95 (-316) / 19.3%
🌳CON: 86 (-35) / 20.0%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 13.2%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 30 (+26) / 13.4%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 0.9%
👥OTH: 5 (N/C) / 2.8%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 341 (+336) / 29.2%
🌹LAB: 75 (-336) / 18.9%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 12.6%
🌳CON: 60 (-61) / 18.7%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 35 (+31) / 13.8%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 5 (N/C) / 2.9%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 341 (+336) / 29.2%
🌹LAB: 75 (-336) / 18.9%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 12.6%
🌳CON: 60 (-61) / 18.7%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 35 (+31) / 13.8%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 5 (N/C) / 2.9%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 328 (+323) / 28.5%
🌹LAB: 76 (-335) / 18.8%
🌳CON: 70 (-51) / 19.2%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 13.0%
🎗️SNP: 44 (+35) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 35 (+31) / 13.6%
🌼PLC: 7 (+3) / 1.1%
👥OTH: 6 (+1) / 3.0%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 328 (+323) / 28.5%
🌹LAB: 76 (-335) / 18.8%
🌳CON: 70 (-51) / 19.2%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 13.0%
🎗️SNP: 44 (+35) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 35 (+31) / 13.6%
🌼PLC: 7 (+3) / 1.1%
👥OTH: 6 (+1) / 3.0%
📰 04/12/25 UK Projection: Reform Flounder and Tories Regain Ground
Reform are down this week as Labour - but more notably the Tories - are up; however, the Lib Dems continue to stagnate. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/041225-uk-...
📰 04/12/25 UK Projection: Reform Flounder and Tories Regain Ground
Reform are down this week as Labour - but more notably the Tories - are up; however, the Lib Dems continue to stagnate. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/041225-uk-...
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 328 (+323) / 28.7%
🌹LAB: 82 (-329) / 19.1%
🌳CON: 72 (-49) / 19.5%
🔶LDM: 63 (-9) / 12.7%
🎗️SNP: 42 (+33) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 34 (+30) / 13.6%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 4 (-1) / 2.7%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 328 (+323) / 28.7%
🌹LAB: 82 (-329) / 19.1%
🌳CON: 72 (-49) / 19.5%
🔶LDM: 63 (-9) / 12.7%
🎗️SNP: 42 (+33) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 34 (+30) / 13.6%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 4 (-1) / 2.7%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 334 (+329) / 28.7%
🌹LAB: 76 (-335) / 18.8%
🔶LDM: 67 (-5) / 13.3%
🌳CON: 61 (-60) / 18.6%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 34 (+30) / 13.5%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 8 (+3) / 3.4%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 334 (+329) / 28.7%
🌹LAB: 76 (-335) / 18.8%
🔶LDM: 67 (-5) / 13.3%
🌳CON: 61 (-60) / 18.6%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 34 (+30) / 13.5%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 8 (+3) / 3.4%
📰 20/11/25 UK Projection: The Green Surge Continues
The Greens have settled at about 14% support, while Labour's fortunes become increasingly glum. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/201125-uk-...
📰 20/11/25 UK Projection: The Green Surge Continues
The Greens have settled at about 14% support, while Labour's fortunes become increasingly glum. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/201125-uk-...
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 343 (+338) / 29.2%
🌹LAB: 75 (-336) / 18.9%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.8%
🌳CON: 56 (-65) / 18.2%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 38 (+34) / 14.1%
🌼PLC: 7 (+3) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 4 (-1) / 2.8%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 343 (+338) / 29.2%
🌹LAB: 75 (-336) / 18.9%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.8%
🌳CON: 56 (-65) / 18.2%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 38 (+34) / 14.1%
🌼PLC: 7 (+3) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 4 (-1) / 2.8%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 351 (+346) / 29.7%
🌹LAB: 77 (-334) / 18.9%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.9%
🌳CON: 52 (-69) / 18.2%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 29 (+25) / 13.0%
🌼PLC: 8 (+4) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 6 (+1) / 3.2%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 351 (+346) / 29.7%
🌹LAB: 77 (-334) / 18.9%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.9%
🌳CON: 52 (-69) / 18.2%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 29 (+25) / 13.0%
🌼PLC: 8 (+4) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 6 (+1) / 3.2%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 350 (+345) / 29.4%
🌹LAB: 74 (-337) / 18.8%
🔶LDM: 67 (-5) / 13.1%
🌳CON: 50 (-71) / 17.9%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 33 (+29) / 13.5%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 8 (+3) / 3.6%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 350 (+345) / 29.4%
🌹LAB: 74 (-337) / 18.8%
🔶LDM: 67 (-5) / 13.1%
🌳CON: 50 (-71) / 17.9%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 33 (+29) / 13.5%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 8 (+3) / 3.6%
@moreincommonuk.bsky.social 31 Oct - 03 Nov 25
➡️RFM: 31% / 374 (+369)
🔶LDM: 13% / 67 (-5)
🌹LAB: 18% / 64 (-347)
🌳CON: 19% / 50 (-71)
🎗️SNP: 2% / 40 (+31)
🌍GRN: 12% / 25 (+21)
👥OTH: 4% / 11 (+2)
2,031 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
@moreincommonuk.bsky.social 31 Oct - 03 Nov 25
➡️RFM: 31% / 374 (+369)
🔶LDM: 13% / 67 (-5)
🌹LAB: 18% / 64 (-347)
🌳CON: 19% / 50 (-71)
🎗️SNP: 2% / 40 (+31)
🌍GRN: 12% / 25 (+21)
👥OTH: 4% / 11 (+2)
2,031 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
@yougov.co.uk 02-03 Nov 25
➡️RFM: 27% / 320 (+315)
🌹LAB: 20% / 98 (-313)
🔶LDM: 15% / 82 (+10)
🌍GRN: 16% / 49 (+45)
🎗️SNP: 3% / 44 (+35)
🌳CON: 16% / 32 (-89)
👥OTH: 3% / 6 (-3)
2,376 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
@yougov.co.uk 02-03 Nov 25
➡️RFM: 27% / 320 (+315)
🌹LAB: 20% / 98 (-313)
🔶LDM: 15% / 82 (+10)
🌍GRN: 16% / 49 (+45)
🎗️SNP: 3% / 44 (+35)
🌳CON: 16% / 32 (-89)
👥OTH: 3% / 6 (-3)
2,376 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
📰 30/10/25 UK Projection: The Greens and Reform Continue to Squeeze Labour Support
This week's &Elections forecast is Labour's worst-ever, but the Greens' and Reform's best-ever. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/301025-uk-...
📰 30/10/25 UK Projection: The Greens and Reform Continue to Squeeze Labour Support
This week's &Elections forecast is Labour's worst-ever, but the Greens' and Reform's best-ever. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/301025-uk-...
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 351 (+346) / 29.8%
🌹LAB: 89 (-322) / 19.5%
🔶LDM: 68 (-4) / 13.5%
🌳CON: 45 (-76) / 17.8%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 18 (+14) / 11.7%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 11 (+6) / 4.0%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 351 (+346) / 29.8%
🌹LAB: 89 (-322) / 19.5%
🔶LDM: 68 (-4) / 13.5%
🌳CON: 45 (-76) / 17.8%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 2.7%
🌍GRN: 18 (+14) / 11.7%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 11 (+6) / 4.0%
@findoutnow.bsky.social 29 Oct 25
➡️RFM: 32% / 401 (+396)
🌍GRN: 17% / 65 (+61)
🔶LDM: 12% / 62 (-10)
🎗️SNP: 2% / 45 (+36)
🌹LAB: 16% / 24 (-387)
🌳CON: 16% / 23 (-98)
👥OTH: 4% / 11 (+2)
3,065 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
@findoutnow.bsky.social 29 Oct 25
➡️RFM: 32% / 401 (+396)
🌍GRN: 17% / 65 (+61)
🔶LDM: 12% / 62 (-10)
🎗️SNP: 2% / 45 (+36)
🌹LAB: 16% / 24 (-387)
🌳CON: 16% / 23 (-98)
👥OTH: 4% / 11 (+2)
3,065 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
@moreincommonuk.bsky.social 24-27 Oct 25
➡️RFM: 33% / 385 (+380)
🌹LAB: 21% / 97 (-314)
🔶LDM: 12% / 59 (-13)
🎗️SNP: 2% / 43 (+34)
🌳CON: 18% / 31 (-90)
🌍GRN: 11% / 11 (+7)
👥OTH: 1% / 5 (-4)
2,030 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
@moreincommonuk.bsky.social 24-27 Oct 25
➡️RFM: 33% / 385 (+380)
🌹LAB: 21% / 97 (-314)
🔶LDM: 12% / 59 (-13)
🎗️SNP: 2% / 43 (+34)
🌳CON: 18% / 31 (-90)
🌍GRN: 11% / 11 (+7)
👥OTH: 1% / 5 (-4)
2,030 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
@yougov.co.uk 26-27 Oct 25
➡️RFM: 27% / 338 (+333)
🔶LDM: 15% / 81 (+9)
🌍GRN: 16% / 60 (+56)
🌹LAB: 17% / 48 (-363)
🎗️SNP: 3% / 47 (+38)
🌳CON: 17% / 45 (-76)
👥OTH: 4% / 12 (+3)
2,389 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
@yougov.co.uk 26-27 Oct 25
➡️RFM: 27% / 338 (+333)
🔶LDM: 15% / 81 (+9)
🌍GRN: 16% / 60 (+56)
🌹LAB: 17% / 48 (-363)
🎗️SNP: 3% / 47 (+38)
🌳CON: 17% / 45 (-76)
👥OTH: 4% / 12 (+3)
2,389 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
Lord Ashcroft 16-20 Oct 25
➡️RFM: 28% / 334 (+329)
🌳CON: 19% / 66 (-55)
🌹LAB: 19% / 57 (-354)
🌍GRN: 19% / 57 (+53)
🔶LDM: 10% / 53 (-19)
🎗️SNP: 2% / 48 (+39)
👥OTH: 5% / 16 (+7)
5,038 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
Lord Ashcroft 16-20 Oct 25
➡️RFM: 28% / 334 (+329)
🌳CON: 19% / 66 (-55)
🌹LAB: 19% / 57 (-354)
🌍GRN: 19% / 57 (+53)
🔶LDM: 10% / 53 (-19)
🎗️SNP: 2% / 48 (+39)
👥OTH: 5% / 16 (+7)
5,038 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
@opiniumresearch.bsky.social 22-24 Oct 25
➡️RFM: 30% / 351 (+346)
🌹LAB: 20% / 94 (-317)
🔶LDM: 12% / 64 (-8)
🎗️SNP: 3% / 47 (+38)
🌳CON: 18% / 43 (-78)
🌍GRN: 12% / 18 (+14)
👥OTH: 5% / 14 (+5)
2,030 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
@opiniumresearch.bsky.social 22-24 Oct 25
➡️RFM: 30% / 351 (+346)
🌹LAB: 20% / 94 (-317)
🔶LDM: 12% / 64 (-8)
🎗️SNP: 3% / 47 (+38)
🌳CON: 18% / 43 (-78)
🌍GRN: 12% / 18 (+14)
👥OTH: 5% / 14 (+5)
2,030 (GB) sample
Projected using andelections.com/gb/#custom-projection model
📰 24/10/25 UK Projection: The Polanski Bounce is Manifesting
Labour are on their joint-lowest-ever vote share in an &Elections forecast while the Greens continue to surge. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/241025-uk-...
📰 24/10/25 UK Projection: The Polanski Bounce is Manifesting
Labour are on their joint-lowest-ever vote share in an &Elections forecast while the Greens continue to surge. 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/241025-uk-...
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 336 (+331) / 29.3%
🌹LAB: 103 (-308) / 20.2%
🔶LDM: 69 (-3) / 13.8%
🌳CON: 49 (-72) / 18.0%
🎗️SNP: 44 (+35) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 14 (+10) / 11.2%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 10 (+5) / 3.7%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 336 (+331) / 29.3%
🌹LAB: 103 (-308) / 20.2%
🔶LDM: 69 (-3) / 13.8%
🌳CON: 49 (-72) / 18.0%
🎗️SNP: 44 (+35) / 2.8%
🌍GRN: 14 (+10) / 11.2%
🌼PLC: 6 (+2) / 1.0%
👥OTH: 10 (+5) / 3.7%