Austin Mock
amock419.bsky.social
Austin Mock
@amock419.bsky.social
NFL | CFB | Rev Share/NIL Projections | Sports Optimization | The Game Isn't Played on a Spreadsheet | @TheAthletic
Dropback success rate vs. EPA per play for the top quarterback prospects for the 2026 NFL Draft:
November 13, 2025 at 3:36 PM
NFL Rookie Splash Play Leaders through Week 10:

We know about the Falcons rookies but the Browns rookies have been getting a lot of snaps leading to splash plays.
November 11, 2025 at 5:37 PM
NFL Splash Play Leaders through Week 10:

Tuli Tuipulotu has been excellent for the Chargers this year.
November 11, 2025 at 5:07 PM
NFL Rookie Splash Play Rate Leaders through Week 10:
November 11, 2025 at 3:46 PM
NFL Splash Play Rate Leaders through Week 10:

Danielle Hunter into the Top-10 after a monster game this weekend.
November 11, 2025 at 3:01 PM
Rookie NFL Splash Play Leaders through Week 9:

Abdul Carter leading the way which is no surprise after being the top full-time defensive player taken in the draft.
November 5, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Rookie NFL Splash Play Rate Leaders through Week 9:

Jalon Walker is really starting to come on for the Falcons.
November 5, 2025 at 5:14 PM
NFL Splash Play Leaders through Week 9:

I wanted to highlight total splash plays for guys who are on the field a lot since rates may skew towards pass rush specialists.
November 4, 2025 at 3:42 PM
NFL Splay Play Rate Leaders through Week 9:

Someone should probably call the Cowboys and trade for Jadaveon Clowney.
November 4, 2025 at 3:37 PM
First shooty hoops game of the season…
November 3, 2025 at 10:28 PM
NFL Rookie Splash Play Leaders through Week 8:

Donovan Ezeiruaku was one of the best value picks of the draft compared to the consensus board. He's been proving it the last few weeks.
October 28, 2025 at 3:40 PM
NFL Splash Play Leaders through Week 8:

The Chargers are happy to have Khalil Mack back.
October 28, 2025 at 2:39 PM
The Ravens see their playoffs odds increase by 5% if the Packers beat the Steelers tonight.

They see a drop of about 6% if the Steelers come back to win.

You can try it here:
www.nytimes.com/athletic/nfl...
October 27, 2025 at 2:47 AM
Soon…
October 25, 2025 at 3:25 PM
NFL Rookie Splash Play Leaders through Week 7:

It's rare to see players off the ball showing up high on this list but Seattle's Nick Emmanwori has been awesome in his role.
October 21, 2025 at 5:20 PM
The list gets better for the Lions if you go back to the beginning of last season:
October 21, 2025 at 2:35 PM
NFL Splash Play Leaders through Week 7:

Aidan Hutchinson and Al-Quadin Muhammad combined for 24 splash plays last night. They've been fantastic for Detroit this season.
October 21, 2025 at 2:29 PM
Michigan has a few drops but not being able to find explosives despite moving the ball down-to-down is why they only have seven points through 2.5 quarters.

Data from @gameonpaper.com
October 18, 2025 at 6:13 PM
NFL Rookie Splash Play leaders through Week 6:

The rookie defensive linemen in Pittsburgh are producing behind Watt, Highsmith, Heyward, and Herbig.
October 14, 2025 at 4:10 PM
NFL Splash Play leaders through Week 6:

You think the Eagles are missing Josh Sweat?
October 14, 2025 at 3:18 PM
We are cruising right along, folks. NFL best bets are on fire.

Read here:
@theathletic.com

www.nytimes.com/athletic/669...
October 7, 2025 at 7:43 PM
NFL Rookie Splash Play leaders through Week 5:

My bland take from this list is that it's hard to dominate as a rookie.
October 7, 2025 at 5:53 PM
NFL Splash Play leaders through Week 5:

Nik Bonitto has been worth that new contract so far in 2025.
October 7, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Michigan is winning 10-7 despite this being the box score...
October 4, 2025 at 6:09 PM
Rookie Splash Plays through Week 4:

A pair of Steelers are near the top, Derrick Harmon and Jack Sawyer.
September 30, 2025 at 6:10 PM