Austin Mock
@amock419.bsky.social
NFL | CFB | Rev Share/NIL Projections | Sports Optimization | The Game Isn't Played on a Spreadsheet | @TheAthletic
Pinned
www.nytimes.com
I've been low on Texas to make the CFP all season long and after their loss to Georgia, I have them at less than 2% to make it.
Is that too low?
All CFP Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
Is that too low?
All CFP Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
NFL Playoff Picture after Week 11 with @jeffphowe
- Broncos and Eagles at the top
- Chiefs are…out?
- Don’t sleep on the Patriots and Rams
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/679...
- Broncos and Eagles at the top
- Chiefs are…out?
- Don’t sleep on the Patriots and Rams
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/679...
NFL playoff picture, Week 11: Broncos bust Chiefs’ division hopes; Rams team to beat in NFC?
The Broncos and Rams look to be in control out West. Is it time to take the Bears' playoff hopes seriously?
www.nytimes.com
November 17, 2025 at 5:01 AM
NFL Playoff Picture after Week 11 with @jeffphowe
- Broncos and Eagles at the top
- Chiefs are…out?
- Don’t sleep on the Patriots and Rams
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/679...
- Broncos and Eagles at the top
- Chiefs are…out?
- Don’t sleep on the Patriots and Rams
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/679...
You’re going to see a lot of Punt of the Year posts…and they’re 100% correct.
November 17, 2025 at 12:02 AM
You’re going to see a lot of Punt of the Year posts…and they’re 100% correct.
Justin Jefferson has been frustrated today but he's blocking his ass off down two scores in the fourth quarter.
November 16, 2025 at 8:27 PM
Justin Jefferson has been frustrated today but he's blocking his ass off down two scores in the fourth quarter.
Watt and Herbig in Flacco’s face leading to that pick-six.
November 16, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Watt and Herbig in Flacco’s face leading to that pick-six.
New College Football Playoff Projections:
- I think Texas is done
- Alabama still looking solid
- Oregon has some work to do
Full projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
- I think Texas is done
- Alabama still looking solid
- Oregon has some work to do
Full projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
College Football Playoff 2025 projections: Oklahoma beating Alabama shakes up SEC picture
Our College Football Playoff predictions model is back. Check here for regular updates on CFP and national championship odds for 2025.
www.nytimes.com
November 16, 2025 at 2:39 PM
New College Football Playoff Projections:
- I think Texas is done
- Alabama still looking solid
- Oregon has some work to do
Full projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
- I think Texas is done
- Alabama still looking solid
- Oregon has some work to do
Full projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
If Oregon loses to USC next week...the Ducks might be on the outside looking in.
I have seven virtual "locks" to make the playoffs at this point:
Ohio State
Indiana
A&M
Texas Tech
Ole Miss
UGA
Notre Dame
Oregon isn't guaranteed to be in at 10-2...the resume is weak.
Ohio State
Indiana
A&M
Texas Tech
Ole Miss
UGA
Notre Dame
Oregon isn't guaranteed to be in at 10-2...the resume is weak.
November 16, 2025 at 4:46 AM
If Oregon loses to USC next week...the Ducks might be on the outside looking in.
I have seven virtual "locks" to make the playoffs at this point:
Ohio State
Indiana
A&M
Texas Tech
Ole Miss
UGA
Notre Dame
Oregon isn't guaranteed to be in at 10-2...the resume is weak.
Ohio State
Indiana
A&M
Texas Tech
Ole Miss
UGA
Notre Dame
Oregon isn't guaranteed to be in at 10-2...the resume is weak.
November 16, 2025 at 4:45 AM
I have seven virtual "locks" to make the playoffs at this point:
Ohio State
Indiana
A&M
Texas Tech
Ole Miss
UGA
Notre Dame
Oregon isn't guaranteed to be in at 10-2...the resume is weak.
Ohio State
Indiana
A&M
Texas Tech
Ole Miss
UGA
Notre Dame
Oregon isn't guaranteed to be in at 10-2...the resume is weak.
I've been low on Texas to make the CFP all season long and after their loss to Georgia, I have them at less than 2% to make it.
Is that too low?
All CFP Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
Is that too low?
All CFP Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
www.nytimes.com
November 16, 2025 at 4:41 AM
I've been low on Texas to make the CFP all season long and after their loss to Georgia, I have them at less than 2% to make it.
Is that too low?
All CFP Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
Is that too low?
All CFP Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
Oklahoma takes down Alabama and sees their playoff odds jump to 54%
Alabama falls to 57%...time to panic?
CFP Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
Alabama falls to 57%...time to panic?
CFP Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
College Football Playoff 2025 projections: The most likely bracket with Week 12 underway
Our College Football Playoff predictions model is back. Check here for regular updates on CFP and national championship odds for 2025.
www.nytimes.com
November 16, 2025 at 12:23 AM
Oklahoma takes down Alabama and sees their playoff odds jump to 54%
Alabama falls to 57%...time to panic?
CFP Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
Alabama falls to 57%...time to panic?
CFP Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
Bumping this for now.
If your kicker is screaming at the longsnapper immediately after a kick, he was lacking confidence before the snap even occurred.
November 15, 2025 at 11:46 PM
Bumping this for now.
If your kicker is screaming at the longsnapper immediately after a kick, he was lacking confidence before the snap even occurred.
November 15, 2025 at 10:18 PM
If your kicker is screaming at the longsnapper immediately after a kick, he was lacking confidence before the snap even occurred.
In a gam where they are -5 in turnovers and their kicker has missed a short field goal already, Michigan is going to play for a field goal.
November 15, 2025 at 8:43 PM
In a gam where they are -5 in turnovers and their kicker has missed a short field goal already, Michigan is going to play for a field goal.
And now Michigan is down Jordan Marshall after already being down Justice Haynes.
A -3 turnover margin leading to a -18 starting field position advantage and that's how your box score looks like this but you find yourself losing.
Michigan might be in trouble, folks.
Michigan might be in trouble, folks.
November 15, 2025 at 8:17 PM
And now Michigan is down Jordan Marshall after already being down Justice Haynes.
A -3 turnover margin leading to a -18 starting field position advantage and that's how your box score looks like this but you find yourself losing.
Michigan might be in trouble, folks.
Michigan might be in trouble, folks.
November 15, 2025 at 8:13 PM
A -3 turnover margin leading to a -18 starting field position advantage and that's how your box score looks like this but you find yourself losing.
Michigan might be in trouble, folks.
Michigan might be in trouble, folks.
Michigan only leading 7-6 at halftime despite this box score.
Giving up 12 yards of starting field position will do that to you.
Giving up 12 yards of starting field position will do that to you.
November 15, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Michigan only leading 7-6 at halftime despite this box score.
Giving up 12 yards of starting field position will do that to you.
Giving up 12 yards of starting field position will do that to you.
Things are developing in College Station…
November 15, 2025 at 5:47 PM
Things are developing in College Station…
Pat McAfee drinking IC Light’s this morning.
If ya know, ya know.
If ya know, ya know.
November 15, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Pat McAfee drinking IC Light’s this morning.
If ya know, ya know.
If ya know, ya know.
My favorite thing about Wemby highlights is not the absurd things that he can do, no.
It’s when he bends over and he’s still as tall as someone who is 6’7.
It’s when he bends over and he’s still as tall as someone who is 6’7.
November 15, 2025 at 2:34 PM
My favorite thing about Wemby highlights is not the absurd things that he can do, no.
It’s when he bends over and he’s still as tall as someone who is 6’7.
It’s when he bends over and he’s still as tall as someone who is 6’7.
Louisville experiencing #collegekickers to the max tonight.
November 15, 2025 at 3:56 AM
Louisville experiencing #collegekickers to the max tonight.
Dropback success rate vs. EPA per play for the top quarterback prospects for the 2026 NFL Draft:
November 13, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Dropback success rate vs. EPA per play for the top quarterback prospects for the 2026 NFL Draft:
NFL Rookie Splash Play Leaders through Week 10:
We know about the Falcons rookies but the Browns rookies have been getting a lot of snaps leading to splash plays.
We know about the Falcons rookies but the Browns rookies have been getting a lot of snaps leading to splash plays.
November 11, 2025 at 5:37 PM
NFL Rookie Splash Play Leaders through Week 10:
We know about the Falcons rookies but the Browns rookies have been getting a lot of snaps leading to splash plays.
We know about the Falcons rookies but the Browns rookies have been getting a lot of snaps leading to splash plays.
NFL Splash Play Leaders through Week 10:
Tuli Tuipulotu has been excellent for the Chargers this year.
Tuli Tuipulotu has been excellent for the Chargers this year.
November 11, 2025 at 5:07 PM
NFL Splash Play Leaders through Week 10:
Tuli Tuipulotu has been excellent for the Chargers this year.
Tuli Tuipulotu has been excellent for the Chargers this year.
NFL Rookie Splash Play Rate Leaders through Week 10:
November 11, 2025 at 3:46 PM
NFL Rookie Splash Play Rate Leaders through Week 10:
NFL Best Bets Week 11
4-0 last week and now at over 16% ROI on the year. That likely won’t last but hey, ya never know.
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/679...
4-0 last week and now at over 16% ROI on the year. That likely won’t last but hey, ya never know.
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/679...
NFL best bets Week 11: A counterintuitive play for Lions-Eagles
After a 4-0 week, Austin Mock has a few best bets ahead of NFL Week 11. Can we keep it going?
www.nytimes.com
November 11, 2025 at 3:32 PM
NFL Best Bets Week 11
4-0 last week and now at over 16% ROI on the year. That likely won’t last but hey, ya never know.
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/679...
4-0 last week and now at over 16% ROI on the year. That likely won’t last but hey, ya never know.
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/679...
NFL Splash Play Rate Leaders through Week 10:
Danielle Hunter into the Top-10 after a monster game this weekend.
Danielle Hunter into the Top-10 after a monster game this weekend.
November 11, 2025 at 3:01 PM
NFL Splash Play Rate Leaders through Week 10:
Danielle Hunter into the Top-10 after a monster game this weekend.
Danielle Hunter into the Top-10 after a monster game this weekend.