Amni Rusli
@amnirusli.bsky.social
Quant, Economist. I write about the US monetary policy at eightateeight.substack.com and about trade at https://eighttradeeight.substack.com/ 🇨🇭
Risk and response: Commodity price response to geopolitical risk, measured as changes in standard deviation conditioned on macro variables (*Price changes are controlled for real rate and dollar changes.)
October 17, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Risk and response: Commodity price response to geopolitical risk, measured as changes in standard deviation conditioned on macro variables (*Price changes are controlled for real rate and dollar changes.)
Human beings are members of a whole, in creation of one essence and soul. If one member is afflicted with pain, other members uneasy will remain. If you have no sympathy for human pain, the name of human you cannot retain. ~Sa’adi
October 5, 2025 at 11:18 PM
Human beings are members of a whole, in creation of one essence and soul. If one member is afflicted with pain, other members uneasy will remain. If you have no sympathy for human pain, the name of human you cannot retain. ~Sa’adi
#EconSky Wealth effects are enhancing annualised consumption growth, primarily among higher-income households; though will vary under alternative asset prices (equity and home) scenarios, providing either a boost or a drag.
October 3, 2025 at 10:22 AM
#EconSky Wealth effects are enhancing annualised consumption growth, primarily among higher-income households; though will vary under alternative asset prices (equity and home) scenarios, providing either a boost or a drag.
"Something like a dozen people in the world understand that the "Coase" theorem is not the Coase theorem." www.deirdremccloskey.org/docs/pdf/Art...
October 1, 2025 at 8:12 PM
"Something like a dozen people in the world understand that the "Coase" theorem is not the Coase theorem." www.deirdremccloskey.org/docs/pdf/Art...
...albeit with a potential emphasis on disproportionate appreciations in procyclical and high-yield currencies relative to low-yielding counterparts within the G10 group. GS
September 30, 2025 at 7:30 PM
...albeit with a potential emphasis on disproportionate appreciations in procyclical and high-yield currencies relative to low-yielding counterparts within the G10 group. GS
As midnight crept in, the performers and crowd rallied back together to the square for a spontaneous, joy-filled serenade by the lake, pure magic under the stars 🎶
September 14, 2025 at 10:55 AM
As midnight crept in, the performers and crowd rallied back together to the square for a spontaneous, joy-filled serenade by the lake, pure magic under the stars 🎶
They were really good!
September 14, 2025 at 10:55 AM
They were really good!
Last night, the village burst into harmonious life for Choir Night! Enchanting melodies filled the air, drifting from the bustling square to the echoing hall and the sacred hush of the old church. 😊 (1/n)
September 14, 2025 at 10:55 AM
Last night, the village burst into harmonious life for Choir Night! Enchanting melodies filled the air, drifting from the bustling square to the echoing hall and the sacred hush of the old church. 😊 (1/n)
Late night and we’re all singing by the lake 😂
September 13, 2025 at 9:31 PM
Late night and we’re all singing by the lake 😂
Q&A on US data revisions GS
September 12, 2025 at 5:31 PM
Q&A on US data revisions GS
on.ft.com/4mlSCwg Trump halted deportation of Korean workers to encourage them to train Americans, though putting them in shackles is a strange way to encourage them to stay
September 11, 2025 at 6:33 AM
on.ft.com/4mlSCwg Trump halted deportation of Korean workers to encourage them to train Americans, though putting them in shackles is a strange way to encourage them to stay
US export prices more swiftly and substantially than to import prices, indicating that dollar strengthening in response to tariffs hampers exports far more than it bolsters imports. fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2025/09/the-...
September 10, 2025 at 9:47 AM
US export prices more swiftly and substantially than to import prices, indicating that dollar strengthening in response to tariffs hampers exports far more than it bolsters imports. fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2025/09/the-...
mildly negative core goods inflation, 3.5% is still meaningfully above the 2.75% rate that core services ran at when overall core PCE inflation was last at 2% before the pandemic. From GS
September 9, 2025 at 2:01 PM
mildly negative core goods inflation, 3.5% is still meaningfully above the 2.75% rate that core services ran at when overall core PCE inflation was last at 2% before the pandemic. From GS
#EconSky Year-on-year core services inflation fell by only 0.2pp to 3.5% over the past 12 months. While it is important to bear in mind that 2% overall core inflation has generally meant higher core services inflation coupled with
September 9, 2025 at 2:01 PM
#EconSky Year-on-year core services inflation fell by only 0.2pp to 3.5% over the past 12 months. While it is important to bear in mind that 2% overall core inflation has generally meant higher core services inflation coupled with
