Alexey Makarin
alexeymakarin.bsky.social
Alexey Makarin
@alexeymakarin.bsky.social
Assistant Professor of Applied Economics @ MIT Sloan
Reposted by Alexey Makarin
Sanctions against Russia work!
Taking into account evasion, rerouting and spillovers: total imports fell by 27%, firms relying on sanctioned goods saw a decline of output of 14%. Also firms supplying mil equipment. Indirect effects on buyers and suppliers also documented.

www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/pu...
Trade Sanctions | ifo Institute
How effective are trade sanctions? We study the unprecedented sanctions imposed on Russia following February 2022, when Western countries banned exports accounting for 36% of Russia's prewar import value. Combining novel, hand-collected records of these sanctions with Russian customs data, firm balance sheets, domestic railway shipments, and government procurement contracts, we provide the most comprehensive analysis to date of the economic impact of trade sanctions on a target country. Using a difference-in-differences approach, we find that imports of sanctioned country-product varieties into Russia saw a sharp 55% decline after the war's onset. Although we document substantial rerouting through third countries, it has not fully offset the direct import losses: total imports of sanctioned products fell by 27% through 2023. Russian firms that had relied on soon-to-be-sanctioned imports experienced a 14% decline in output during the same period, not offset by competing firms or entrants. Similar declines are present for manufacturing and technology firms, and firms along the military supply chain. Affected firms have also experienced reduced government procurement sales and incurred additional losses when their buyers or suppliers were exposed to sanctions. Overall, our findings suggest that, contrary to widespread claims of ineffectiveness, export sanctions on Russia have had far-reaching adverse effects.
www.ifo.de
December 16, 2025 at 4:46 PM
Reposted by Alexey Makarin
📢 #CallForPapers - 4th CEPR Workshop on Media, Technology, Politics, and Society
In-person at EIEF in Rome on 25-26 June.
Deadline: 31 January 2026
cepr.org/events/4th-c...
@rafaeljjd.bsky.social @alexeymakarin.bsky.social @andreaprat.bsky.social @fsobbrio.bsky.social
#EconSky
November 25, 2025 at 10:55 AM
Reposted by Alexey Makarin
"Wars disrupt supply chains, but firms adapt by reorganizing them. The 2014 war cut
Ukraine’s output in nonconflict areas by 5.5%, with one-third mitigated by link
reorganization."

New paper from Korovkin, @alexeymakarin.bsky.social & Miyauchi:

www.restud.com/supply-chain...

#econsky
#REStud
September 17, 2025 at 10:20 AM
Reposted by Alexey Makarin
Are you:

✅ A young scholar in econ, poli sci, or law
✅ Working on institutions, broadly defined
✅ Interested in spending a week in Italy with amazing faculty

If so, please apply to this year’s Coase Institute Workshop! It’s a transformative experience for many, and always fun. I’ll be there.
Ronald Coase Institute: What's New
www.coase.org
July 7, 2025 at 3:36 PM