I've been helping the folks analyse their last electricity bill. Turns out it's a 3.5σ outlier based on a model of 5 years of bills correlated (0.649 R²) to temperature.

Supposedly, an average daily consumption of 29kWh for 85 days. About 900kWh of additional consumption based on the model.

It's not looking good for Tomago.

40% of Australia's aluminium. Largest single energy user. Cant find affordable energy past 2028.

What do we think that means for us and other industries post 2028?

Where's all this cheap electricity @chrisbowenmp.bsky.social ?

www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...

It's clear that the domestic gas market is in a weird state.

Let's consider correlation events, like winter, when we have high domestic gas use with lower expected VRE capacity. It sounds like a scenario for surging electricity prices and/or lack-of-reserve events? (pg70, ISP '24, below)

It’d be nice if I could support the party I’m closest to.

If you read down to page 16 you might have found it.

It's weird having to correct the current Energy minister on something that was found in about 2 minutes in a 45 page document…

$600bn scheme? It doesn't exist.

The $600bn figure was a number calculated by the Smart Energy Council. Theres no methodology, references, or equation. Just a number in a press release.

actinideage.medium.com/what-is-the-...

🕵️ What it says after that on pg9 caught my eye too. Consumer Energy Resources (CER) are a funny feature of the ISP. They're free, not a cost to 'the system'.

But, who actually pays for the CER then? We do. Installing batteries and solar on homes etc.

Just one part of a $1tn black hole in the ISP.

🤓 Instead of using a number calculated on a napkin by the Smart Energy Council, how about lets use one from a report (with figures and tables) based on ISP modelling:

➡️ Nuclear + Renewable: $331–446bn.
🙈 Renewable + Gas: $437–594bn.

www.frontier-economics.com.au/economic-ana...

This is what we could have in Australia. Truly decarbonised energy, free from fossil fuels.

🤩 I love some good facts.

I asked 🧠 PerplexityAI to calculate the number of Coke cans an AP1000 reactor produces a year and it approximated around 5,800/year.

🏋️‍♂️ One great thing is, these "emissions" don't float away. They would make very heavy Coke cans (4kg)!

Fine, if I must: AER, Annual Benchmarking Report, pg11.

www.aer.gov.au/system/files...

Distribution = Network + Transmission = 35-45% of a bill.
Transmission = 25% of Distribution
Transmission = 8.75–11.25% of a bill

Accepting this for what it is, an average with bounds. Which is what I refer to.

Fun Fact: 90%+ of a nuclear power plant can be recycled after decommissioning. Metals and concrete and be recovered and reused.

www.sogin.it/en/closureof...