Alex Eckermann
@alexeckermann.bsky.social
I've been helping the folks analyse their last electricity bill. Turns out it's a 3.5σ outlier based on a model of 5 years of bills correlated (0.649 R²) to temperature.
Supposedly, an average daily consumption of 29kWh for 85 days. About 900kWh of additional consumption based on the model.
Supposedly, an average daily consumption of 29kWh for 85 days. About 900kWh of additional consumption based on the model.
November 30, 2025 at 1:05 AM
I've been helping the folks analyse their last electricity bill. Turns out it's a 3.5σ outlier based on a model of 5 years of bills correlated (0.649 R²) to temperature.
Supposedly, an average daily consumption of 29kWh for 85 days. About 900kWh of additional consumption based on the model.
Supposedly, an average daily consumption of 29kWh for 85 days. About 900kWh of additional consumption based on the model.
Isn't it wild that today's world of software is basically what the movie Antitrust was about.
Code gets centralised on corporate platforms, then used to train LLMs that generate billions in value. No fiber optic cameras necessary, just git push.
Code gets centralised on corporate platforms, then used to train LLMs that generate billions in value. No fiber optic cameras necessary, just git push.
November 20, 2025 at 5:51 AM
Isn't it wild that today's world of software is basically what the movie Antitrust was about.
Code gets centralised on corporate platforms, then used to train LLMs that generate billions in value. No fiber optic cameras necessary, just git push.
Code gets centralised on corporate platforms, then used to train LLMs that generate billions in value. No fiber optic cameras necessary, just git push.
> "[...] his exasperation with the ongoing debate within parliament, the continued policy backflips with each newly elected government, and the debilitating impact on investment"
Yep…
*sigh*
…yep.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
Yep…
*sigh*
…yep.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
Who should we blame for power price hikes?
A decade and a half after an energy company CEO outlined his greatest fears for Australia's economic future — no carbon price — the nation again appears set for a renewed battle over climate policy an...
www.abc.net.au
November 18, 2025 at 12:59 AM
> "[...] his exasperation with the ongoing debate within parliament, the continued policy backflips with each newly elected government, and the debilitating impact on investment"
Yep…
*sigh*
…yep.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
Yep…
*sigh*
…yep.
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
Lots of the Australian energy talking heads paint "Net Zero" as one thing: Renewables only.
The IEAs view on Net Zero is agnostic. It encourages the increased use of nuclear energy as well as including Gas with CCS to its scenarios.
The goal is decarbonisation. Not number of panels and towers.
The IEAs view on Net Zero is agnostic. It encourages the increased use of nuclear energy as well as including Gas with CCS to its scenarios.
The goal is decarbonisation. Not number of panels and towers.
November 13, 2025 at 1:16 AM
Lots of the Australian energy talking heads paint "Net Zero" as one thing: Renewables only.
The IEAs view on Net Zero is agnostic. It encourages the increased use of nuclear energy as well as including Gas with CCS to its scenarios.
The goal is decarbonisation. Not number of panels and towers.
The IEAs view on Net Zero is agnostic. It encourages the increased use of nuclear energy as well as including Gas with CCS to its scenarios.
The goal is decarbonisation. Not number of panels and towers.
Decarbonisation > Net Zero.
Outcome > Policy.
LULUCF will not shut down a single coal plant.
Outcome > Policy.
LULUCF will not shut down a single coal plant.
November 12, 2025 at 2:06 AM
Decarbonisation > Net Zero.
Outcome > Policy.
LULUCF will not shut down a single coal plant.
Outcome > Policy.
LULUCF will not shut down a single coal plant.
If this is to be the case, there should be no expectation that there is guaranteed jobs in the energy transition.
"Not a single large-scale clean energy project reached financial closure in the third quarter of 2025[…]"
www.afr.com/policy/energ...
"Not a single large-scale clean energy project reached financial closure in the third quarter of 2025[…]"
www.afr.com/policy/energ...
October 29, 2025 at 1:31 AM
If this is to be the case, there should be no expectation that there is guaranteed jobs in the energy transition.
"Not a single large-scale clean energy project reached financial closure in the third quarter of 2025[…]"
www.afr.com/policy/energ...
"Not a single large-scale clean energy project reached financial closure in the third quarter of 2025[…]"
www.afr.com/policy/energ...
So what do we think the energy market will do when:
- Industrial users with purchase agreements close due to high costs; and
- Retail consumers are being subsidised to install batteries and solar to reduce the residential load market/size
Fewer consumers, decreased demand 🤔 Lower prices?
- Industrial users with purchase agreements close due to high costs; and
- Retail consumers are being subsidised to install batteries and solar to reduce the residential load market/size
Fewer consumers, decreased demand 🤔 Lower prices?
October 29, 2025 at 1:18 AM
So what do we think the energy market will do when:
- Industrial users with purchase agreements close due to high costs; and
- Retail consumers are being subsidised to install batteries and solar to reduce the residential load market/size
Fewer consumers, decreased demand 🤔 Lower prices?
- Industrial users with purchase agreements close due to high costs; and
- Retail consumers are being subsidised to install batteries and solar to reduce the residential load market/size
Fewer consumers, decreased demand 🤔 Lower prices?
Wow. Just watched #auspol Question Time and it sounds like the Government is happy to stand and watch Tomago close then just blame Rio.
But hey, at least they'll get an emissions reduction they can spruik about.
But hey, at least they'll get an emissions reduction they can spruik about.
October 28, 2025 at 4:29 AM
Wow. Just watched #auspol Question Time and it sounds like the Government is happy to stand and watch Tomago close then just blame Rio.
But hey, at least they'll get an emissions reduction they can spruik about.
But hey, at least they'll get an emissions reduction they can spruik about.
It's not looking good for Tomago.
40% of Australia's aluminium. Largest single energy user. Cant find affordable energy past 2028.
What do we think that means for us and other industries post 2028?
Where's all this cheap electricity @chrisbowenmp.bsky.social ?
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...
40% of Australia's aluminium. Largest single energy user. Cant find affordable energy past 2028.
What do we think that means for us and other industries post 2028?
Where's all this cheap electricity @chrisbowenmp.bsky.social ?
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...
October 28, 2025 at 2:09 AM
It's not looking good for Tomago.
40% of Australia's aluminium. Largest single energy user. Cant find affordable energy past 2028.
What do we think that means for us and other industries post 2028?
Where's all this cheap electricity @chrisbowenmp.bsky.social ?
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...
40% of Australia's aluminium. Largest single energy user. Cant find affordable energy past 2028.
What do we think that means for us and other industries post 2028?
Where's all this cheap electricity @chrisbowenmp.bsky.social ?
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...
Whilst nuclear energy lives rent free in the Energy Ministers head, we're going down a path towards a possible crisis.
Theres growing uncertainty over projects that are required for industrial consumers and the transition. Every delay has flow on effects (see Tomago)
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
Theres growing uncertainty over projects that are required for industrial consumers and the transition. Every delay has flow on effects (see Tomago)
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
Energy giant drops offshore wind project amid global 'headwinds'
International energy companies are reconsidering their investments in Australian offshore wind projects as the Trump administration's disruption of the industry causes global uncertainty.
www.abc.net.au
July 15, 2025 at 5:22 AM
Whilst nuclear energy lives rent free in the Energy Ministers head, we're going down a path towards a possible crisis.
Theres growing uncertainty over projects that are required for industrial consumers and the transition. Every delay has flow on effects (see Tomago)
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
Theres growing uncertainty over projects that are required for industrial consumers and the transition. Every delay has flow on effects (see Tomago)
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...
I never understood why the Australian media has dedicated so much effort to the mushroom case.
Theres a housing, cost of living, and looming energy crisis' and instead we get months of coverage on something that could be a half-column in a local paper.
Theres a housing, cost of living, and looming energy crisis' and instead we get months of coverage on something that could be a half-column in a local paper.
July 7, 2025 at 7:35 AM
I never understood why the Australian media has dedicated so much effort to the mushroom case.
Theres a housing, cost of living, and looming energy crisis' and instead we get months of coverage on something that could be a half-column in a local paper.
Theres a housing, cost of living, and looming energy crisis' and instead we get months of coverage on something that could be a half-column in a local paper.
Our energy transition is so well planned that Tomago, using 10% of NSWs energy, will likely need to be bailed out to pay for rising energy costs. That, or we lose a third of Australia's Aluminium smelting capability.
www.afr.com/politics/min...
www.afr.com/politics/min...
Minns confirms talks to save Tomago aluminium smelter
NSW Premier says the Rio Tinto-owned plant is an important employer that his government is looking to help with an “effective intervention”.
www.afr.com
June 23, 2025 at 12:45 AM
Our energy transition is so well planned that Tomago, using 10% of NSWs energy, will likely need to be bailed out to pay for rising energy costs. That, or we lose a third of Australia's Aluminium smelting capability.
www.afr.com/politics/min...
www.afr.com/politics/min...
That whole $4tn "cost" of nuclear? Yeah, the main factor in that cost is happening regardless of nuclear.
$2bn already sunk into a $5bn industry to "help with the transition".
Australians are constantly lied to about energy as our economy burns.
www.afr.com/policy/energ...
$2bn already sunk into a $5bn industry to "help with the transition".
Australians are constantly lied to about energy as our economy burns.
www.afr.com/policy/energ...
June 7, 2025 at 6:20 AM
That whole $4tn "cost" of nuclear? Yeah, the main factor in that cost is happening regardless of nuclear.
$2bn already sunk into a $5bn industry to "help with the transition".
Australians are constantly lied to about energy as our economy burns.
www.afr.com/policy/energ...
$2bn already sunk into a $5bn industry to "help with the transition".
Australians are constantly lied to about energy as our economy burns.
www.afr.com/policy/energ...
No tornado this time. Will be interesting to see the report on what caused this frequency cascade.
🚨 BREAKING: Spain and Portugal have lost power in a massive blackout, according to the Spanish grid operator.
Blackouts were reported from Madrid to Lisbon, with large parts of the Iberian Peninsula without power as of late morning today.
Read the developing story: ow.ly/3KG150VIM9u
Blackouts were reported from Madrid to Lisbon, with large parts of the Iberian Peninsula without power as of late morning today.
Read the developing story: ow.ly/3KG150VIM9u
April 28, 2025 at 9:15 PM
No tornado this time. Will be interesting to see the report on what caused this frequency cascade.
Some thoughts on that "$4 trillion" economic cost of going nuclear in Australia. Obviously, it was a report that intended to create a large figure and a large figure they made.
But here's the thing, what they present as issues being exclusive to the nuclear pathway should be debated 🧵⤵️ #auspol
But here's the thing, what they present as issues being exclusive to the nuclear pathway should be debated 🧵⤵️ #auspol
April 25, 2025 at 4:00 AM
Some thoughts on that "$4 trillion" economic cost of going nuclear in Australia. Obviously, it was a report that intended to create a large figure and a large figure they made.
But here's the thing, what they present as issues being exclusive to the nuclear pathway should be debated 🧵⤵️ #auspol
But here's the thing, what they present as issues being exclusive to the nuclear pathway should be debated 🧵⤵️ #auspol
"Liberals Against Nuclear" and "Australians For Affordable Energy" are both anti-nuclear astroturf campaigns under the same umbrella.
Sure, they claim to be run by two different groups. But under the hood they're setup by the same agency: Concept Lab.
Want proof? #auspol #ausvotes20205
Sure, they claim to be run by two different groups. But under the hood they're setup by the same agency: Concept Lab.
Want proof? #auspol #ausvotes20205
April 22, 2025 at 9:35 AM
"Liberals Against Nuclear" and "Australians For Affordable Energy" are both anti-nuclear astroturf campaigns under the same umbrella.
Sure, they claim to be run by two different groups. But under the hood they're setup by the same agency: Concept Lab.
Want proof? #auspol #ausvotes20205
Sure, they claim to be run by two different groups. But under the hood they're setup by the same agency: Concept Lab.
Want proof? #auspol #ausvotes20205
Labor going all in on the $600bn figure is pretty sad. It's a made up number, no place in reality.
If (huge IF) the Liberals have enough neutrons to rub together could undo all of Labor's major campaign points. I doubt it.
If (huge IF) the Liberals have enough neutrons to rub together could undo all of Labor's major campaign points. I doubt it.
April 21, 2025 at 11:25 AM
Labor going all in on the $600bn figure is pretty sad. It's a made up number, no place in reality.
If (huge IF) the Liberals have enough neutrons to rub together could undo all of Labor's major campaign points. I doubt it.
If (huge IF) the Liberals have enough neutrons to rub together could undo all of Labor's major campaign points. I doubt it.
Once Australians understand that the very basis for a lot of energy policy is flawed and unfit for purpose, then they will see how much of an absolute mess we are in.
youtu.be/G4z65FswjHw
youtu.be/G4z65FswjHw
Australia’s renewable energy plan is dead
YouTube video by Centre for Independent Studies
youtu.be
April 11, 2025 at 2:48 AM
Once Australians understand that the very basis for a lot of energy policy is flawed and unfit for purpose, then they will see how much of an absolute mess we are in.
youtu.be/G4z65FswjHw
youtu.be/G4z65FswjHw
In Australia, we're probably one energy shock/crisis away from the vibe changing away from decarbonisation and focussing on cost of living and economy.
And the winner will be gas. Maybe a consolation will be that it's only half as bad as coal and gives another decade to figure it out.
And the winner will be gas. Maybe a consolation will be that it's only half as bad as coal and gives another decade to figure it out.
April 9, 2025 at 1:05 AM
In Australia, we're probably one energy shock/crisis away from the vibe changing away from decarbonisation and focussing on cost of living and economy.
And the winner will be gas. Maybe a consolation will be that it's only half as bad as coal and gives another decade to figure it out.
And the winner will be gas. Maybe a consolation will be that it's only half as bad as coal and gives another decade to figure it out.
It’d be nice if I could support the party I’m closest to.
April 2, 2025 at 1:57 AM
It’d be nice if I could support the party I’m closest to.
This is what we could have in Australia. Truly decarbonised energy, free from fossil fuels.
March 27, 2025 at 6:55 AM
This is what we could have in Australia. Truly decarbonised energy, free from fossil fuels.
Is there any thoughts that Jeffrey Goldberg from The Atlantic ending up on that group chat by accident was because someone intended to add Jennifer Griffin, Fox News Chief National Security correspondent.
A default JG icon, where those two names on a list would be right above-below another 🤔
A default JG icon, where those two names on a list would be right above-below another 🤔
March 26, 2025 at 1:56 AM
Is there any thoughts that Jeffrey Goldberg from The Atlantic ending up on that group chat by accident was because someone intended to add Jennifer Griffin, Fox News Chief National Security correspondent.
A default JG icon, where those two names on a list would be right above-below another 🤔
A default JG icon, where those two names on a list would be right above-below another 🤔
There is a crisis point, its almost here, where Australians will have to decide:
- A blank cheque for net zero and decimate energy-intensive industry with high energy costs; or
- Extend fossil fuels for lower costs and defer decarbonisation.
That horrifies me, as it should others.
- A blank cheque for net zero and decimate energy-intensive industry with high energy costs; or
- Extend fossil fuels for lower costs and defer decarbonisation.
That horrifies me, as it should others.
March 21, 2025 at 12:09 AM
There is a crisis point, its almost here, where Australians will have to decide:
- A blank cheque for net zero and decimate energy-intensive industry with high energy costs; or
- Extend fossil fuels for lower costs and defer decarbonisation.
That horrifies me, as it should others.
- A blank cheque for net zero and decimate energy-intensive industry with high energy costs; or
- Extend fossil fuels for lower costs and defer decarbonisation.
That horrifies me, as it should others.
I find it shocking how much Australians are being lied to about energy.
An energy crisis of our own making is brewing. Not only with prices, but that there might be a time soon where we look back at our 24x7 electricity availability as a luxury we didn't know we had.
An energy crisis of our own making is brewing. Not only with prices, but that there might be a time soon where we look back at our 24x7 electricity availability as a luxury we didn't know we had.
March 20, 2025 at 11:58 PM
I find it shocking how much Australians are being lied to about energy.
An energy crisis of our own making is brewing. Not only with prices, but that there might be a time soon where we look back at our 24x7 electricity availability as a luxury we didn't know we had.
An energy crisis of our own making is brewing. Not only with prices, but that there might be a time soon where we look back at our 24x7 electricity availability as a luxury we didn't know we had.