Alex Bogdan
@alexbgd.bsky.social
Talks about polls, democracy, elections, social research, survey methods and Hackney. Works at @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social, but views strictly my own
Different: across Britain, we're seeing a strong 'none of the above' mentality. In Scotland, the SNP are still seen as a best option on various issues. Granted, only by about a quarter. And Reform trusted most on immigration, Greens on the environment. Full data here: tinyurl.com/3mz8yrxh
December 10, 2025 at 1:25 PM
Different: across Britain, we're seeing a strong 'none of the above' mentality. In Scotland, the SNP are still seen as a best option on various issues. Granted, only by about a quarter. And Reform trusted most on immigration, Greens on the environment. Full data here: tinyurl.com/3mz8yrxh
NEW @ipsosinscotland.bsky.social voting intention, write-up from below. What's different/similar to GB more widely?
Similar: in the age of political fragmentation, holding on to your base is crucial. SNP are doing that well in Scotland, Reform across Britain. Labour are not.
Similar: in the age of political fragmentation, holding on to your base is crucial. SNP are doing that well in Scotland, Reform across Britain. Labour are not.
December 10, 2025 at 1:25 PM
NEW @ipsosinscotland.bsky.social voting intention, write-up from below. What's different/similar to GB more widely?
Similar: in the age of political fragmentation, holding on to your base is crucial. SNP are doing that well in Scotland, Reform across Britain. Labour are not.
Similar: in the age of political fragmentation, holding on to your base is crucial. SNP are doing that well in Scotland, Reform across Britain. Labour are not.
4) A lot has been said about how complex local government reorganisation (LGR) is, and how much councils still need to do to prepare. Postponing might have been the only practical options. But mayors are generally seen as a success and the role has support...
December 4, 2025 at 12:15 PM
4) A lot has been said about how complex local government reorganisation (LGR) is, and how much councils still need to do to prepare. Postponing might have been the only practical options. But mayors are generally seen as a success and the role has support...
3) Many of these areas had their planned 2025 local elections postponed too. We know people tend to feel better represented at local and regional levels - not a UK -specific phenomenon. Is this a missed opportunity to strengthen those local and regional links?
December 4, 2025 at 12:15 PM
3) Many of these areas had their planned 2025 local elections postponed too. We know people tend to feel better represented at local and regional levels - not a UK -specific phenomenon. Is this a missed opportunity to strengthen those local and regional links?
2) Otherwise, they are pretty average when it comes to satisfaction with public services. Our analysis of the 2025 local elections suggests Reform won councils less satisfied with policing, jobs, quality of life and community cohesion. These are not the same sort of councils.
December 4, 2025 at 12:15 PM
2) Otherwise, they are pretty average when it comes to satisfaction with public services. Our analysis of the 2025 local elections suggests Reform won councils less satisfied with policing, jobs, quality of life and community cohesion. These are not the same sort of councils.
Mayoral elections in new Devolution Priority Programme postponed to 2028. Some political and local democracy implications. And were they guaranteed Reform wins?
1) What do these areas look like? Our @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social MRP found they tend to have relatively high quality of life.
1) What do these areas look like? Our @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social MRP found they tend to have relatively high quality of life.
December 4, 2025 at 12:15 PM
Mayoral elections in new Devolution Priority Programme postponed to 2028. Some political and local democracy implications. And were they guaranteed Reform wins?
1) What do these areas look like? Our @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social MRP found they tend to have relatively high quality of life.
1) What do these areas look like? Our @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social MRP found they tend to have relatively high quality of life.
Of course there are political implications. Half say Rachel Reeves is doing a bad job, her worst score since taking up the role. And in June, Labour still had a lead on most trusted party to manage the economy and public services. This has now certainly gone. Full data www.ipsos.com/en-uk/briton...
November 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Of course there are political implications. Half say Rachel Reeves is doing a bad job, her worst score since taking up the role. And in June, Labour still had a lead on most trusted party to manage the economy and public services. This has now certainly gone. Full data www.ipsos.com/en-uk/briton...
Is the government bad at communicating? This chart would suggest so. More popular policies suffer from poor levels of awareness among the general public. But also keep in mind people tend to remember negative information better - correlation yes, causation - ??.
November 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Is the government bad at communicating? This chart would suggest so. More popular policies suffer from poor levels of awareness among the general public. But also keep in mind people tend to remember negative information better - correlation yes, causation - ??.
As over 4 in 5 say the economy is poor, the budget has not alleviated any anxieties. Quite the opposite: 3 in 4 expect the economy to be in a poor state in one year's time, worse than in after the Spending Review in June. Why? Half think the government is increasing taxes too much.
November 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM
As over 4 in 5 say the economy is poor, the budget has not alleviated any anxieties. Quite the opposite: 3 in 4 expect the economy to be in a poor state in one year's time, worse than in after the Spending Review in June. Why? Half think the government is increasing taxes too much.
💷How did this week's Budget land with Brits? Badly. From @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Around half each say it made them more concerned about the economy, their finances, businesses, public services. We're back to levels in March, undoing some of the improvements in perceptions from the Spending Review
Around half each say it made them more concerned about the economy, their finances, businesses, public services. We're back to levels in March, undoing some of the improvements in perceptions from the Spending Review
November 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM
💷How did this week's Budget land with Brits? Badly. From @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Around half each say it made them more concerned about the economy, their finances, businesses, public services. We're back to levels in March, undoing some of the improvements in perceptions from the Spending Review
Around half each say it made them more concerned about the economy, their finances, businesses, public services. We're back to levels in March, undoing some of the improvements in perceptions from the Spending Review
Who has the best policies - we asked about asylum and immigration together. But we did release a poll earlier this year where we explore views on different immigrant groups and policies (e.g. below, but more in the deck) www.ipsos.com/sites/defaul...
November 17, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Who has the best policies - we asked about asylum and immigration together. But we did release a poll earlier this year where we explore views on different immigrant groups and policies (e.g. below, but more in the deck) www.ipsos.com/sites/defaul...
And we are seeing a shift in attitudes - while always relatively high, perceived tensions between immigrants and people born in the UK have risen, when other tensions seem to be healing - from our work with @policyatkings.bsky.social
November 17, 2025 at 11:55 AM
And we are seeing a shift in attitudes - while always relatively high, perceived tensions between immigrants and people born in the UK have risen, when other tensions seem to be healing - from our work with @policyatkings.bsky.social
3) Politically, Labour's 2024 voters are abandoning them for both the Greens and Reform. At the same time, Reform are holding on to most of their voters and attracting lots of 2024 Conservative voters. Full data here www.ipsos.com/en-uk/labour...
November 17, 2025 at 10:49 AM
3) Politically, Labour's 2024 voters are abandoning them for both the Greens and Reform. At the same time, Reform are holding on to most of their voters and attracting lots of 2024 Conservative voters. Full data here www.ipsos.com/en-uk/labour...
2) Labour are not seen as having the best policies on any of the key issues. But no one is! Add to that historic low satisfaction with the PM and Chancellor, scepticism that this gvt's policies will improve the economy or public services, and public anxiety over their finances and ...
November 17, 2025 at 10:49 AM
2) Labour are not seen as having the best policies on any of the key issues. But no one is! Add to that historic low satisfaction with the PM and Chancellor, scepticism that this gvt's policies will improve the economy or public services, and public anxiety over their finances and ...
1) Extreme discontent. 80% say Britain is getting worse as a place to live. Almost no one thinks it's getting better. A third struggling to cope financially, higher than we were seeing in 2022 when the cost of living was starting to bite.
November 17, 2025 at 10:49 AM
1) Extreme discontent. 80% say Britain is getting worse as a place to live. Almost no one thinks it's getting better. A third struggling to cope financially, higher than we were seeing in 2022 when the cost of living was starting to bite.
Labour now down to 18% in our latest @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social voting intention, the joint lowest we've ever had them - prev. May 2009 (expenses scandal, economic crisis). What's happening in 3 charts ...
November 17, 2025 at 10:49 AM
Labour now down to 18% in our latest @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social voting intention, the joint lowest we've ever had them - prev. May 2009 (expenses scandal, economic crisis). What's happening in 3 charts ...
Majorities across most countries (apart from Sweden) are worried about democracy in the next 5 years. Top threats: fake news (especially N Europe, France), lack of accountability, corruption (especially S Europe, US). In the UK, as elsewhere, we’re also worried about extremism.
November 14, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Majorities across most countries (apart from Sweden) are worried about democracy in the next 5 years. Top threats: fake news (especially N Europe, France), lack of accountability, corruption (especially S Europe, US). In the UK, as elsewhere, we’re also worried about extremism.
We find strong support for radical change in most countries, among strong 'system is rigged' perceptions. But in most countries, democracy is seen as crucial & worth keeping. Apart from Croatia where support for democracy is contingent on delivering good quality of life for half.
November 14, 2025 at 2:51 PM
We find strong support for radical change in most countries, among strong 'system is rigged' perceptions. But in most countries, democracy is seen as crucial & worth keeping. Apart from Croatia where support for democracy is contingent on delivering good quality of life for half.
🗳️NEW from @ipsosgroup.bsky.social Democracy tracker out with a very interesting write up from @politico.eu . Key highlights:
Democracy is not seen to be working well in most countries. Sweden remains a happy exception, but the impact of political instability is clear in France & Netherlands
Democracy is not seen to be working well in most countries. Sweden remains a happy exception, but the impact of political instability is clear in France & Netherlands
November 14, 2025 at 2:51 PM
🗳️NEW from @ipsosgroup.bsky.social Democracy tracker out with a very interesting write up from @politico.eu . Key highlights:
Democracy is not seen to be working well in most countries. Sweden remains a happy exception, but the impact of political instability is clear in France & Netherlands
Democracy is not seen to be working well in most countries. Sweden remains a happy exception, but the impact of political instability is clear in France & Netherlands
But only about half had taken any cyber risk monitoring activity we asked about in the survey like using monitoring tools, risk assessments, tests. Full report here www.gov.uk/government/s...
November 13, 2025 at 10:00 AM
But only about half had taken any cyber risk monitoring activity we asked about in the survey like using monitoring tools, risk assessments, tests. Full report here www.gov.uk/government/s...
Cyber attacks can have serious economic and reputational impacts for businesses, and turns out for our entire economy. At @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social we found 7 in 10 large businesses have a cyber security strategy, but only 57% of medium businesses and 2 in 5 high-income charities.
November 13, 2025 at 10:00 AM
Cyber attacks can have serious economic and reputational impacts for businesses, and turns out for our entire economy. At @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social we found 7 in 10 large businesses have a cyber security strategy, but only 57% of medium businesses and 2 in 5 high-income charities.
...has some big projects in the works, like digital ID, new towns. The lack of confidence in their ability to deliver could be a barrier for public buy-in. It's not all bad news. The Civil Service is seen a professional and acting with integrity, and we know from other research are well trusted.
October 31, 2025 at 11:02 AM
...has some big projects in the works, like digital ID, new towns. The lack of confidence in their ability to deliver could be a barrier for public buy-in. It's not all bad news. The Civil Service is seen a professional and acting with integrity, and we know from other research are well trusted.
Can the Civil Service help deliver this government's priorities? Our new @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social and @instituteforgovernment.org.uk poll finds 1/2 Brits are not confident the Civil Service can solve the most important issues facing Britain, or deliver major projects. Not ideal for a gov't that...
October 31, 2025 at 11:02 AM
Can the Civil Service help deliver this government's priorities? Our new @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social and @instituteforgovernment.org.uk poll finds 1/2 Brits are not confident the Civil Service can solve the most important issues facing Britain, or deliver major projects. Not ideal for a gov't that...
I like this from @instituteforgovernment.org.uk: "government is hard", a lesson all parties who make it into gvt eventually learn. But I think the public have know this for a while, and don't think anyone is up for the task. The conundrum for Lab & Cons is Reform voters back them, but theirs don't.
October 13, 2025 at 11:07 AM
I like this from @instituteforgovernment.org.uk: "government is hard", a lesson all parties who make it into gvt eventually learn. But I think the public have know this for a while, and don't think anyone is up for the task. The conundrum for Lab & Cons is Reform voters back them, but theirs don't.
None of this should come as a surprise when considering continued poor economic optimism and assessment of the Government's performance. Ultimately, the government is doing a poor job delivering on things that really matter to people like bills, eco stability, living standards, as we saw in summer.
September 28, 2025 at 5:58 PM
None of this should come as a surprise when considering continued poor economic optimism and assessment of the Government's performance. Ultimately, the government is doing a poor job delivering on things that really matter to people like bills, eco stability, living standards, as we saw in summer.