Alexander MacDonald
@alex-macdonald.bsky.social
Portfolio manager, CFA, P.Eng.
BNS: Under Trump’s threatened 25% tariffs and assuming that Canada did not retaliate... Canada's economy would contract 3.8% q/q and lose 2.7% of GDP in the long-run. The BoC's policy rate would go down 275bps, the UR would rise 2.2 ppts... and the exchange rate would depreciate by about 20%.
November 27, 2024 at 5:03 PM
BNS: Under Trump’s threatened 25% tariffs and assuming that Canada did not retaliate... Canada's economy would contract 3.8% q/q and lose 2.7% of GDP in the long-run. The BoC's policy rate would go down 275bps, the UR would rise 2.2 ppts... and the exchange rate would depreciate by about 20%.
Inflation has fallen more quickly than the Bank of Canada expected in 2024
November 20, 2024 at 10:00 PM
Inflation has fallen more quickly than the Bank of Canada expected in 2024
Canada continues to allocate more capital to residential vs. non-residential investments
November 19, 2024 at 4:30 PM
Canada continues to allocate more capital to residential vs. non-residential investments