André Düsterhus
aduesterhus.bsky.social
André Düsterhus
@aduesterhus.bsky.social
Scientist with a personal view on Statistics in Geo- & Earth Science. Working on data science, sea-level and long-term prediction.
It confirmed a theory of mine before I could submit it. Well, might be an easier review now as it won't be just a speculation (but yeah, still needs a bit of time).
November 13, 2025 at 8:31 PM
Depends. The argument of the KI publishers is generally that it is not possible to extract source data. This court case claims otherwise. For everything KI is currently used, which has potentially data security implications, there might be new challenges ahead. KIs fault: Gives source data for free.
November 11, 2025 at 6:41 PM
The consequences can be wider: Anybody publishing a KI result publicly might be liable, if what has been published might stem from a book or similar. As some KI learn sources behind paywalls the user is unable to check this. Consequently: Any posting of KI results might be a risk. We‘ll see.
November 11, 2025 at 6:25 PM
In this case it is about republishing without licence. So if a song (or its lyrics) gets published in the web without getting the ok from the licence holder this is copyright infringement and you become liable. Same with any streaming service and in this case KI repeating close enough lyrics online.
November 11, 2025 at 5:35 PM
Yes, the 6-9 m is a good estimate, but there are many uncertainties around it. It is probably best seen as the agreed compromise, as it is complicate to get indicators in line with the models (my old take on it: academic.oup.com/gji/article/...). Not even talking about the statistical assumptions.
Estimating the sea level highstand during the last interglacial: a probabilistic massive ensemble approach
Abstract. Essential to understanding sea level change and its causes during the last interglacial (LIG) is the quantification of uncertainties. In order to
academic.oup.com
October 24, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Might it mean that libraries in DK are able to afford more books now?
August 22, 2025 at 7:06 AM
Yes. Or simpler: taking n years, calculate the anomaly towards the mean by ENSO state (so their annula cycle, probably from Aug/Sep each year starting) and then reranking them after they are corrected. Might be a relative straight rise (as it would also correct for annual cycles).
August 14, 2025 at 4:15 PM
How would the table look like, if we would calculate the anomalies towards years with El Niño, La Niña or Neutral (whatever fits the actual year)?
August 14, 2025 at 4:10 PM
The second link delivers "Page not found".
August 11, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Best time to cycle the roads in IRL (some might say the only) is Sunday mornings. The elderly are stitting in the church and the others negotiate their pints from the night before. So it is quiet on the roads and halfway safe (unless someone is late to church or comes too late home from the pints).
August 8, 2025 at 7:39 PM
The history and rivalary between cars and bikes in Ireland is a complex one. Mixed with often much too narrow roads and the wide spread lack of cycle paths (due to the complex history) lead to the rest.
August 5, 2025 at 7:22 PM
Link leads to 404 error.
May 17, 2025 at 8:22 PM
April 30, 2025 at 5:48 AM
Don’t get your hopes up. Their track record on software projects is not very convincing (and that is a massive euphemism). And the MS replacement only targets on MS365, not windows itself (they try to establish OpenDesk).
heise.de/-10342327
Rahmenvertrag: MS-365-Alternative OpenDesk soll die Bundeswehr erobern
Das IT-Systemhaus der Bundeswehr BWI hat mit Zendis einen Rahmenvertrag über "souveräne Kommunikations- und Kollaborationslösungen" wie OpenDesk geschlossen.
heise.de
April 10, 2025 at 11:49 AM
There is still the question, whether the AI predictions will overcome one day the basic flaws of statistical predictions we had for decades.
March 20, 2025 at 11:50 PM