Bryan Breguet
@2closetocall.bsky.social
Some say I'm the Gordon Ramsay of polling analysis. Projections, analysis and trolling all in one account.
Banned from Twitter for joking about punching a Nazi.
Banned from Twitter for joking about punching a Nazi.
Reposted by Bryan Breguet
A great conversation about Canadian politics with my friend @2closetocall.bsky.social on The Sami Parvez Show this Tuesday. He also shared insights about his political future. Check it out this afternoon at 3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT. #cdnpoli #polcan
youtu.be/ualAwOuTyyw?...
youtu.be/ualAwOuTyyw?...
Trudeau's resignation, Liberal leadership race, NDP, PPC, CFP, future: Discussion with Bryan Breguet
YouTube video by The Sami Parvez Show
youtu.be
January 9, 2025 at 4:06 PM
A great conversation about Canadian politics with my friend @2closetocall.bsky.social on The Sami Parvez Show this Tuesday. He also shared insights about his political future. Check it out this afternoon at 3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT. #cdnpoli #polcan
youtu.be/ualAwOuTyyw?...
youtu.be/ualAwOuTyyw?...
Avoid the press
(Verb the noun)
(Verb the noun)
UPDATE | When approached for comment by the CBC over the role of Indian interference in the CPC leadership race, namely how agents of the Indian government may have asked MP Rempel to retract her support for Brown, the MP quickly stood up & ran away saying something about lunch.
December 3, 2024 at 9:22 PM
Avoid the press
(Verb the noun)
(Verb the noun)
This is such a new level of cope
Trump won all the swing states and even, incredibly so, won the popular vote
Trump won all the swing states and even, incredibly so, won the popular vote
November 20, 2024 at 11:16 PM
This is such a new level of cope
Trump won all the swing states and even, incredibly so, won the popular vote
Trump won all the swing states and even, incredibly so, won the popular vote
They're asking for like 24% wage increases in 4 years...
Support For Canada Post Workers Demands:
Support: 56%
Oppose: 29%
Leger / Nov 17, 2024 / n=1529 / Online
November 20, 2024 at 9:35 PM
They're asking for like 24% wage increases in 4 years...
Yet something like 70%+ of people don't want the carbon tax anymore
People just lie
People just lie
Those who say they would pay higher taxes to adequately address:
Schools: 56%
Climate change: 55%
Forest Fires: 54%
Housing: 53%
Floods: 52%
Homelessness: 53%
Transit: 47%
Research Co. / Nov 10, 2024 / n=1000 / Online
Schools: 56%
Climate change: 55%
Forest Fires: 54%
Housing: 53%
Floods: 52%
Homelessness: 53%
Transit: 47%
Research Co. / Nov 10, 2024 / n=1000 / Online
November 20, 2024 at 6:39 PM
Yet something like 70%+ of people don't want the carbon tax anymore
People just lie
People just lie
Good news guys, the level of discourse around election forecasting on this site has just increased tremendously!
Crushing for X really to lose the keys!
Crushing for X really to lose the keys!
November 20, 2024 at 6:36 PM
Good news guys, the level of discourse around election forecasting on this site has just increased tremendously!
Crushing for X really to lose the keys!
Crushing for X really to lose the keys!
PR isn't super useful in the US with really only 2 parties
Obviously this could change but a reform is a lot less important than in Canada for instance
Obviously this could change but a reform is a lot less important than in Canada for instance
Endorsed by 200+ political scientists, legal scholars & historians (including me), who call for "inclusive, multi-member districts with competitive and responsive proportional representation" because "[o]ur arcane, single-member districting process divides, polarizes and isolates us from each other"
November 19, 2024 at 10:53 PM
PR isn't super useful in the US with really only 2 parties
Obviously this could change but a reform is a lot less important than in Canada for instance
Obviously this could change but a reform is a lot less important than in Canada for instance
I think BlueSky could become this digestible Substack for experts to share stuff while X will remain the political townsquare
One of the saddest parts about Twitter over the last couple of years has been the completely hollowing out of the intellectual sphere
Twitter used to be a hotbed for experts that provided unique insights into our society
Hopefully Bluesky can restore that, because it was a net good for us
Twitter used to be a hotbed for experts that provided unique insights into our society
Hopefully Bluesky can restore that, because it was a net good for us
November 16, 2024 at 4:36 AM
I think BlueSky could become this digestible Substack for experts to share stuff while X will remain the political townsquare
Reposted by Bryan Breguet
POV, you are a party with no ideology trying to maintain government in Quebec
November 15, 2024 at 5:59 PM
POV, you are a party with no ideology trying to maintain government in Quebec
So there's supposed to be 'starter packs' of people to follow?
Anybody has a pack for pollsters or economists?
Anybody has a pack for pollsters or economists?
November 15, 2024 at 3:34 AM
So there's supposed to be 'starter packs' of people to follow?
Anybody has a pack for pollsters or economists?
Anybody has a pack for pollsters or economists?
So basically we'll now need to have a X account to follow right-wing people and a BlueSky account to follow left-wing ones?
Avoiding echo chambers is getting tedious
Avoiding echo chambers is getting tedious
November 13, 2024 at 7:16 PM
So basically we'll now need to have a X account to follow right-wing people and a BlueSky account to follow left-wing ones?
Avoiding echo chambers is getting tedious
Avoiding echo chambers is getting tedious
The Liberals have gone from "we're proud to increase the carbon tax during high inflation, it shows our commitment" to "let's actually pause it for 3 years".
Incredible really
Incredible really
October 26, 2023 at 10:12 PM
The Liberals have gone from "we're proud to increase the carbon tax during high inflation, it shows our commitment" to "let's actually pause it for 3 years".
Incredible really
Incredible really
Reposted by Bryan Breguet
Federal Polling:
CPC: 40% (+6)
LPC: 24% (-9)
NDP: 19% (+1)
GPC: 8% (+6)
BQ: 5% (-3)
PPC: 5% (-)
Nanos Research / October 20, 2023 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone
(% Change With 2021 Federal Election)
Check out federal details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com
CPC: 40% (+6)
LPC: 24% (-9)
NDP: 19% (+1)
GPC: 8% (+6)
BQ: 5% (-3)
PPC: 5% (-)
Nanos Research / October 20, 2023 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone
(% Change With 2021 Federal Election)
Check out federal details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com
October 24, 2023 at 1:44 AM
Federal Polling:
CPC: 40% (+6)
LPC: 24% (-9)
NDP: 19% (+1)
GPC: 8% (+6)
BQ: 5% (-3)
PPC: 5% (-)
Nanos Research / October 20, 2023 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone
(% Change With 2021 Federal Election)
Check out federal details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com
CPC: 40% (+6)
LPC: 24% (-9)
NDP: 19% (+1)
GPC: 8% (+6)
BQ: 5% (-3)
PPC: 5% (-)
Nanos Research / October 20, 2023 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone
(% Change With 2021 Federal Election)
Check out federal details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com
The "apple video" has brought Poilievre as close as ever to Trudeau on Google Trends
I genuinely expect Poilievre to be tied in this metric during the campaign, something unthinkable before him
I genuinely expect Poilievre to be tied in this metric during the campaign, something unthinkable before him
October 23, 2023 at 8:56 PM
The "apple video" has brought Poilievre as close as ever to Trudeau on Google Trends
I genuinely expect Poilievre to be tied in this metric during the campaign, something unthinkable before him
I genuinely expect Poilievre to be tied in this metric during the campaign, something unthinkable before him
Okay people explain to me why this poll shows that Crombie, supposedly a right-wing leader, is the most popular among NDP voters!
October 17, 2023 at 9:29 PM
Okay people explain to me why this poll shows that Crombie, supposedly a right-wing leader, is the most popular among NDP voters!
My current projections (based on fundraising and Google Trends) for the OLP leadership race:
Crombie 42%
Naqvi 21%
Erskine-Smith 20%
Hsu 17%
Bonnie Crombie well ahead then it's a close race for second. I think Crombie wins this
Crombie 42%
Naqvi 21%
Erskine-Smith 20%
Hsu 17%
Bonnie Crombie well ahead then it's a close race for second. I think Crombie wins this
October 17, 2023 at 9:18 PM
My current projections (based on fundraising and Google Trends) for the OLP leadership race:
Crombie 42%
Naqvi 21%
Erskine-Smith 20%
Hsu 17%
Bonnie Crombie well ahead then it's a close race for second. I think Crombie wins this
Crombie 42%
Naqvi 21%
Erskine-Smith 20%
Hsu 17%
Bonnie Crombie well ahead then it's a close race for second. I think Crombie wins this
How is the PC still at 40%?
Will Ontarian Boomers just support Trudeau and Ford forever?
Will Ontarian Boomers just support Trudeau and Ford forever?
Ontario Provincial Polling:
PCPO: 40% (-1)
OLP: 24% (-)
ONDP: 24% (-)
GPO: 7% (+1)
Others: 5%
Abacus Data / October 15, 2023 / n=998 / Online
(% Change with 2022 Election)
Check out more ON details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com/ontario/
PCPO: 40% (-1)
OLP: 24% (-)
ONDP: 24% (-)
GPO: 7% (+1)
Others: 5%
Abacus Data / October 15, 2023 / n=998 / Online
(% Change with 2022 Election)
Check out more ON details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com/ontario/
October 17, 2023 at 9:11 PM
How is the PC still at 40%?
Will Ontarian Boomers just support Trudeau and Ford forever?
Will Ontarian Boomers just support Trudeau and Ford forever?
What are some of the best polling/election accounts on Blu?
October 10, 2023 at 9:02 PM
What are some of the best polling/election accounts on Blu?
I know the OLP race only interests like 5 people total but why is Nate doing sooooo bad on Google Trends?
October 8, 2023 at 9:17 PM
I know the OLP race only interests like 5 people total but why is Nate doing sooooo bad on Google Trends?
Well since it's impossible to talk to a real human being on Twitter, I guess I'll post my Ontario Liberal Leadership projections here
Hi everyone!
Hi everyone!
October 8, 2023 at 12:04 AM
Well since it's impossible to talk to a real human being on Twitter, I guess I'll post my Ontario Liberal Leadership projections here
Hi everyone!
Hi everyone!