François Heisbourg
fheisbourg.bsky.social
François Heisbourg
@fheisbourg.bsky.social

Senior adviser (Europe), IISS,
Special adviser, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique

François Heisbourg is currently Senior Advisor for Europe at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) and Special Advisor at the Paris-based Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique. He was director of the IISS from 1987 to 1992 and its chairman from 2001 to 2018. .. more

Political science 72%
Economics 21%

Rappel: l'Allemagne 🇩🇪 avait sauvè in extremis le président Tebboune pemdant le Covid: il avait alors été soignè à la Charitè à Berlin. Avec d'autres, je m'emploie continûment à obtenir l'appui actif des responsables allemands. Pourvu que leur prècieuse action pèse pendant qu'il en est temps!
Frank-Walter Steinmeier propose aussi que Boualem Sansal soit transféré en Allemagne pour «y bénéficier de soins médicaux». →https://l.lefigaro.fr/MvED
🇫🇷⚖️Procès libyen: la justice ordonne la remise en liberté de Nicolas Sarkozy.
Frank-Walter Steinmeier propose aussi que Boualem Sansal soit transféré en Allemagne pour «y bénéficier de soins médicaux». →https://l.lefigaro.fr/MvED

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1356

1. Sunday: 300 Shahed (52 leakers), 32 ballistic missiles (incl 7 Kinzhal), 13 cruise missiles (9 down). Zelensky says 27 more Patriots needed

2. ZNPP geta back up link for 1st time in 6 months

3. 3 drones buzz Begian Doel NPP

4. Taganrog 110 Kv substation hit
⚡️3 drones reportedly spotted flying over Belgian nuclear power plant.

Three drones were spotted flying over the Doel Nuclear Power Plant in northern Belgium on the evening of Nov. 9, according to Deutsche Welle.
3 drones reportedly spotted flying over Belgian nuclear power plant
Three drones were spotted flying over the Doel Nuclear Power Plant in northern Belgium on the evening of Nov. 9
kyivindependent.com
⚡️Ukraine is looking to order 27 Patriot air defense systems, Zelensky says.
Ukraine is looking to order 27 Patriot air defense systems, Zelensky says
Ukraine would like to order 27 Patriot air defense systems from U.S. companies and is looking to borrow the crucial system from its European allies in the meantime, President Volodymyr Zelensky said.
kyivindependent.com

Beyond absurd
🇺🇸🇺🇦‼️ Over $5B in U.S. weapons sales to NATO allies and Ukraine are delayed because the government shutdown has furloughed key staff who process arms exports, - Axios
🇺🇸🇺🇦‼️ Over $5B in U.S. weapons sales to NATO allies and Ukraine are delayed because the government shutdown has furloughed key staff who process arms exports, - Axios
⚡️ The Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant has regained access to backup power for the first time in six months following the repair of its second power line, but risks to Ukraine's nuclear safety persist.
Ukraine's nuclear safety still at risk even after Zaporizhzhia plant connected to backup power
The Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant has restored access to backup power for the first time in six months after its second power line was repaired, the International Atomic Energy Age...
kyivindependent.com

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1355

1. Electricity substations close to Rivne NPP targetted

2. Vornonezh PP hit

3. Teain service with Kramatorsk suspended

Russia's Lavrov says he is read to meet Rubio, RIA reports reut.rs/4oYHMOj
Russia's Lavrov says he is read to meet Rubio, RIA reports
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said he was ready to meet U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and that such communication was important.
reut.rs
. @jnbarrot.bsky.social welcomed the SkyShield France initiative, which has garnered considerable support, including from prominent French political figures.

He also announced that French diplomacy would carefully follow the work carried out by the SkyShield France initiative.
“Ukrzaliznytsia has suspended train service to Kramatorsk indefinitely.

This was expected, but that doesn’t make it any less painful. Because this place - the Kramatorsk railway station - has long meant much more to all of us than just an important logistical hub.
Russian forces targeted energy substations that power the Khmelnytskyi and Rivne nuclear power plants overnight on Nov. 7-8, amid its large-scale attack on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha said.
Old horsehair fishing nets from Brittany, once used to catch monkfish, are now shielding Ukraine’s frontlines from Russian drones. 280km of repurposed netting, sent by Kernic Solidarités, is being stretched across trenches and roads, forming traps that snare drones like flies in a web.
Zelensky announced that Ukraine and Sweden have agreed to localize production of Swedish Saab JAS 39 Gripen fighter jets on Ukrainian soil. The plan is to begin domestic manufacturing by 2033, a long-term step toward strengthening Ukraine’s air power and defense industry.

WTF
President Donald Trump has said no US officials will attend the G20 summit in South Africa later this month, reviving debunked claims of white Afrikaners being systematically "killed and slaughtered" in the country ➡️ u.afp.com/Sno4
President Donald Trump has said no US officials will attend the G20 summit in South Africa later this month, reviving debunked claims of white Afrikaners being systematically "killed and slaughtered" in the country ➡️ u.afp.com/Sno4

C'est Nicolas qui paie...
Le rapporteur de la commission d’enquête sur l’audiovisuel public, Charles Alloncle, tance Delphine Ernotte et son bilan dans l'émission «Points de Vue» sur @LeFigaroTV. →https://l.lefigaro.fr/6nZG

If confrmed, this sounds pretty dire indeed given the importance and the location of the three clusters of power stations. What can the West do quickly to help?
All power units of Centrenergo have gone offline after Russia’s overnight strike. The company’s three thermal plants, Trypilska, Zmiivska, and Vuhlehirska, have stopped generating electricity. Repair teams are now working to restore operations. The situation is critical.
Le rapporteur de la commission d’enquête sur l’audiovisuel public, Charles Alloncle, tance Delphine Ernotte et son bilan dans l'émission «Points de Vue» sur @LeFigaroTV. →https://l.lefigaro.fr/6nZG
All power units of Centrenergo have gone offline after Russia’s overnight strike. The company’s three thermal plants, Trypilska, Zmiivska, and Vuhlehirska, have stopped generating electricity. Repair teams are now working to restore operations. The situation is critical.

Data on last night vs Ukraine:
~300 Shahed of which 52 leakers.
45 missiles (32 ballistic/aeroballistic, 13 cruise) of which 9 intercepted. Breakdown: 25 Iskander-M/Hwasong, 7 Kinzhal; 10 Iskander-K, 3 Kalibr
SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1354

1. Lavrov not sidelined says bosom pal Peshkov

2. Trump says Orbàn can buy Russian oil for anther year

3. EU to tighten visa regime for Russia

4. Bad night for Ukrainian electricity infrastructure

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1354

1. Lavrov not sidelined says bosom pal Peshkov

2. Trump says Orbàn can buy Russian oil for anther year

3. EU to tighten visa regime for Russia

4. Bad night for Ukrainian electricity infrastructure
Massive Russian overnight strikes hit Kyiv, Odesa, Dnipro, Kharkiv, Poltava, and Mykolaiv. Power infrastructure was targeted, causing blackouts and fires. A woman was killed and dozens injured. Emergency outages are now in place across several regions.
Trump gives Hungary one-year exemption from Russian energy sanctions
Trump gives Hungary one-year exemption from Russian energy sanctions
The opt-out comes despite the US increasing pressure on allies to sever economic ties with Russia.
www.bbc.com
⚡️Drone attack sparks fires in Kyiv, Russia launches 'massive' attack on Ukraine's energy infrastructure.

Russia launched yet another wide-ranging attack on Ukrainian cities overnight on Nov. 8, using a combination of drones and missiles to strike targets across the country.
Drone attack sparks fires in Kyiv, Russia launches 'massive' attack on Ukrainian energy infrastructure
Russia launched yet another wide-ranging attack on Ukrainian cities overnight on Nov. 8, using a combination of drone and missiles to strike targets across the country.
kyivindependent.com

More Russian drones in Europe. Fewer European visas for Russians
La cheffe de la diplomatie européenne, Kaja Kallas, a annoncé vendredi 7 novembre le durcissement des règles en matière de délivrance de visas pour les ressortissants russes. Une mesure qu’elle justifie par les multiples perturbations de drones, supposés russes, sur le sol européen.
Face aux survols de drones sur le sol européen, l’UE durcit la délivrance de visas aux citoyens russes
La cheffe de la diplomatie européenne, Kaja Kallas, a annoncé vendredi 7 novembre le durcissement des règles en matière de délivrance de visas pour les ressortissants russes. Une mesure qu’elle justif...
www.ouest-france.fr
⚡️ Kremlin denies Lavrov fell out of favor with Putin after canceled Trump summit.

"I will give you a brief answer: there is nothing true in these reports," Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said.
Kremlin denies Lavrov fell out of favor with Putin after failed Trump summit
"I will give you a brief answer: there is nothing true in these reports," Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said.
kyivindependent.com