Jonathan Gilligan
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Jonathan Gilligan
@jgilligan.org

Integrating social & natural sciences & modeling to study impacts & responses to climate change | Behavioral approaches to climate policy | Nashville TN | They/them πŸ³οΈβ€πŸŒˆ πŸ³οΈβ€βš§οΈ genderqueer | Jew | Impervious to onions and mustard | https://jonathangilligan.org .. more

Environmental science 24%
Physics 17%
Pinned
Just got back from speaking at a demonstration against Trump's compact and other attacks on academic freedom & civil rights at universities, organized by Vanderbilt Indivisible, grad & undergrad students, and Vanderbilt's chapter of AAUP @vanderbiltaaup.bsky.social

Great energy from everyone there.

I learned as a child that disregarding what other people think and enjoying the stuff I like could bring violence down upon me.

I had to wait many years before I felt safe enough to unlearn that lesson.

I try in my small way to make the world safer for today's young oddballs than it was for me.

"There will be no curiosity, no enjoyment of the process of life. ... If you want a picture of the future, imagine a billionaire in a K hole, watching ICP's 'Miracles' on repeat, and thinking it's profoundβ€”forever."

Jealous!

I got most of the way through the first volume before it dawned on me that, OMG, that scene was Hector and Patroclus, and then everything else fell into place.

Don Winslow's Danny Ryan trilogy is the Iliad, the Aeneid, and Oresteia all retold as a Mafia war in Rhode Island.

Also, in douche bro terms, Achilles is a beta who spends most of the book sulking because Agamemnon cucked him.

That's the kind of detail you miss when you fast-forward through the audio book.
an underrated part of this turducken of garbage is Elon posting an image of the Odyssey while discussing the Iliad, but it's all so terribly, terribly pathetic

Bro. Let me tell you about my man Al Khwarizmi and his whole Al Jabr jam.

Khwarizmi rules everything around me.
KREAM got the math, yo!
Polynomial roots!

#1 on my list of the dopest inventions of all time.

And I love that people are writing good books orders of magnitude faster than I can read, so I'll never run out.

An awful lot of billionaires become billionaires by having billionaire parents. But to be fair, that's just a variation on Powerball. And growing up in such a family might not cultivate an appreciation for the life of the mind.

www.investopedia.com/more-billion...
More Billionaire Wealth Achieved Through Inheritance, Overtaking Entrepreneurship
A new UBS report shows that new billionaires in 2023 accumulated the majority of wealth by inheritance, not entrepreneurship, a trend that wealth managers see continuing.
www.investopedia.com
an underrated part of this turducken of garbage is Elon posting an image of the Odyssey while discussing the Iliad, but it's all so terribly, terribly pathetic

You know maybe it's me, it's a little fucked up maybe, but I'm mad how? I mean mad like I'm Ludwig of Bavaria? I'm delusional, or I'm furious, or I'm Alfred E. Newman, or I'm a character in a madcap comedy? What do you mean mad, mad how? How am I mad?

This is a great point, but also I can't imagine why anyone good would want to be a university president. The job seems impossible, all-consuming, and thankless.

If I were offered the opportunity, I would turn it down because the job would destroy me.

What will work? No one knows, so we need to keep trying lots of things, and observing which ones move the needle slightly toward the good, instead of insisting that there's only one right answer.

I'm arguing more that the world is complicated, so there won't be any simple solutions to our problems.

Vote blue no matter who won't magically fix our problems. Neither will no voting. Neither will union organizing.

That doesn't mean any of these things is worthless. Just that none is sufficient.

People have been trying that for more than a hundred years. It hasn't worked either.

Engels wrote a good piece in 1893 predicting that there would never be successful large-scale working-class political movement in the United States.

www.marxists.org/archive/marx...
Letters: Marx-Engels Correspondence 1893
www.marxists.org

Again: Vote Blue no matter who won't get Dems to field better candidates, and neither will staying home instead of voting for the lesser evil.

Neither strategy works. Just because one doesn't work does not mean that the other will work.

"Win by staying home and letting far-right Republicans win all the races." Do you see the problem yet?

Vote blue no matter who doesn't work.

Staying home also doesn't work.

Neither works.

My point here is not that "vote blue no matter who" is always the best choice, but that your example of the elections last week is an example of "vote blue no matter who."

It was not an example of the Democrats changing because people stayed home.

Spanberger and Sherrill have both been strong supporters of military aid to Israel, which is exactly the thing that alienated so many progressive voters from voting for Harris.

But in VA and NJ, the intense anger against Trump made "vote blue no matter who" a winning strategy for Democrats.

Spanberger and Sherrill are exactly the kind of middle-of-the-road "vote blue no matter who" candidates people were complaining about.

And they're good examples of why lesser-evil voting is good.

Right. Neither vote blue no matter who nor not voting work. Neither is effective.

Yes to primary threats! That can be effective!

Voting across party lines doesn't work if voters see the other party as the greater evil.

If I'd protested bad Dems by voting for worse Republicans, it would send the wrong signal.

The challenge there is that people have been trying 3rd & 4th parties for almost 200 years, and they never get enough power to matter.

The way we structure elections excludes third parties. And the two dominant parties have no reason to change the rules to make 3rd parties viable.

I'm a long-time lesser-evil voter. I've never protested by not voting.

But because of this, and because parties and candidates know this, a threat before the to withhold my vote is empty and candidates confidently ignore it. It has no power to guide their choices.

Are there good historical examples of the non-voting strategy working to persuade a party to re-align?

I get the hypothesis behind the third option, but I see pretty much no empirical evidence that it works in practice.

A big obstacle is that not voting does not send a clear signal. There is so much uncertainty about non-voters' motives that I doubt it has much effect on parties or candidates.
My wife and I pay for life insurance even though we have never died. I pay for fire insurance even though my house has never burned down. That's not because we want to throw money at insurance companies. It's because THAT'S HOW INSURANCE WORKS.