Jan Techau
@jantechau.bsky.social
Director, Europe at Eurasia Group
Political science
68%
Economics
12%
Sabine Fischer
@sabfis3.bsky.social
· Feb 13
Russland hat drei Forderungspakete:
1. Direkte Verhandlungen mit den USA, ohne die Ukraine und ohne Europa.
2. Der Westen/Trump muss die Ukraine zwingen, die „Realitäten vor Ort“ anzuerkennen. Also: die Annexion von 5 ukrainischen Gebieten und über 20 Prozent des Staatsterritoriums,
1. Direkte Verhandlungen mit den USA, ohne die Ukraine und ohne Europa.
2. Der Westen/Trump muss die Ukraine zwingen, die „Realitäten vor Ort“ anzuerkennen. Also: die Annexion von 5 ukrainischen Gebieten und über 20 Prozent des Staatsterritoriums,
Jan Techau
@jantechau.bsky.social
· Jan 6
Eurasia Group | The Top Risks of 2025
www.eurasiagroup.net
Eurasia Group‘s Top Risks report 2025 has just been published. Great worries and a few silver linings…
www.eurasiagroup.net/issues/top-r...
www.eurasiagroup.net/issues/top-r...
Jan Techau
@jantechau.bsky.social
· Jan 8
Agricultural subsidies do not end up in farmers' pockets alone.
Consumers (lower prices)
Landowners (higher land rents)
are both potential recipients, too. Very hard to estimate. Any new studies out there?
Consumers (lower prices)
Landowners (higher land rents)
are both potential recipients, too. Very hard to estimate. Any new studies out there?
Also, it is never discussed that farm subsidies have a strategic dimension as well. By keeping an otherwise uncompetitive sector alive they maintain a critical national survival asset for times of severe crisis and war. They are a precautionary measure, an element of "staatliche Daseinsvorsorge".
Jan Techau
@jantechau.bsky.social
· Jan 8
Eurasia Group | The Top Risks of 2024
2024. Politically it’s the Voldemort of years. The annus horribilis. The year that must not be named. Three wars will dominate world affairs: Russia vs. Ukraine, now in its third year; Israel vs. Ha...
www.eurasiagroup.net
Just out! Eurasia Group's Top Risks 2024. Check out where danger lurks in the coming year.
#TopRisks2024
#TopRisks2024
Jan Techau
@jantechau.bsky.social
· Dec 13
My Top Three Books — Jan Techau
CEPA Fellows recommend their top three books. Why do educated, intellectual, freedom-loving people fall for temptations of illiberalism?
cepa.org
The fabulous people at @cepa in Washington asked all CEPA fellows to name their top three Europe books. Great idea, hard choices! — here is my favored trio.
Jan Techau
@jantechau.bsky.social
· Oct 24
Thank you, that's very kind!