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VoteHub
@votehub.com
Your hub for election content. 🇺🇸 We map elections in detail, aggregate only top-quality polls, and offer insights to explain the political landscape.

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Hi Bluesky 👋

While our primary social media presence is still the old bird app, we wanted to share here what we’ve been posting there.

This past week, we created detailed interactive maps that populated in real time for elections in NJ, VA, NYC, CA, and GA.
🚨 BREAKING -- Utah court rules against legislature’s congressional map and enacts Plaintiff’s map. The new map will be in place for the 2026 elections.

🔵 Dem gain of +1 seat.
November 11, 2025 at 7:15 AM
Abigail Spanberger carried Virginia's 1st Congressional District by 2.2 points. This is a 7 point improvement over Kamala Harris who lost it by roughly 5 points.

This district is currently held by Republican Rob Wittman.
November 11, 2025 at 3:13 AM
2025 New Jersey Gubernatorial Shift from the 2024 US Senate Race:

🔵 Kim 54.9%→ Sherrill 56.9%
🔴 Bashaw 45.1% → Ciattarelli 43.1%

Shift: Sherrill +4
November 11, 2025 at 1:22 AM
Democrats hold a 4 point lead over Republicans in the 2026 generic ballot average.

🔵 Democratic - 46.2%
🔴 Republican - 42.1%
November 10, 2025 at 7:51 AM
Hi Bluesky 👋

While our primary social media presence is still the old bird app, we wanted to share here what we’ve been posting there.

This past week, we created detailed interactive maps that populated in real time for elections in NJ, VA, NYC, CA, and GA.
November 10, 2025 at 7:23 AM
Trump’s net approval reached a new low this week, hovering near -11 in our average.

Two-week change: 🔻 -2.2
Last two months: 🔻 -3.6
November 9, 2025 at 9:05 PM
Mikie Sherrill is polling at a new high of 49.6% in our average of polls for the New Jersey Governor race.

🔵 Mikie Sherrill 49.6%
🔴 Jack Ciattarelli 44.5%

Only 2 more days until Election Day.
November 3, 2025 at 2:15 AM
🚨 Trump’s net approval has reached a new low in his second term, slipping to -10 in our average.
November 2, 2025 at 11:28 PM
Ohio's proposed map is now live in our mid-cycle Redistricting Tracker.

Current Districts (RVI Lean):
🔵 189 D | 🔴 205 R
🟡 41 Highly competitive

Proposed/Enacted:
🔵 189 D | 🔴 210 R (+5)
🟡 36 Highly competitive (-5)

👉 218 seats are needed for a majority.
October 30, 2025 at 10:46 PM
Ohio's state legislative leaders have agreed on a new, compromise congressional map.

Current delegation: 🔴 10 R 🔵 5 D

Measured by relative voting index:
Current districts: 🔴 11 R 🔵 4 D
Proposed: 🔴 12 R 🔵 3 D

Projected change: 🔴 +1 or +2 Republican seats
October 30, 2025 at 10:32 PM
Support for Proposition 50 continues to climb in our polling average.

🟢 Yes 55.9%
🔴 No 38.5%
October 27, 2025 at 3:35 AM
Mikie Sherrill leads Jack Ciattarelli by about 6 points in our New Jersey polling average, a steady advantage since Labor Day.
October 27, 2025 at 12:03 AM
NEW -- Per @politico.com, Republicans lack the votes in the Indiana legislature to pass new congressional maps despite a White House pressure campaign.

The plan was projected to add 1–2 GOP seats; if accurate, the delegation remains 🔴 7 R, 🔵 2 D.
October 22, 2025 at 3:06 PM
Abigail Spanberger leads Winsome Earle-Sears by about 7 points in our Virginia Governor polling average, a steady advantage that has barely budged in recent months.

👉 votehub.com/polls
October 20, 2025 at 12:22 AM
As the government shutdown enters its fourth week and in the wake of the Gaza Peace Plan, President Trump is seeing a slight increase in his net approval, now 7.5 points underwater.

Two-week change: ▲ +1.5
Last six months: 🔻 -4.1
October 18, 2025 at 8:47 PM
VoteHub is tracking Virginia’s Attorney General race, where the gap has narrowed sharply in recent weeks.

🔵 Jay Jones 46.3%
🔴 Jason Miyares 45.9%

Our live average has it among the tightest races of this cycle.

👉 votehub.com/polls
October 18, 2025 at 4:16 AM
🏄‍♂️ VoteHub is now tracking a time-weighted average of California Prop. 50 polls.

🟢 Yes 52.2%
🔴 No 36.4%

👉 votehub.com/polls
October 18, 2025 at 4:09 AM
Republicans’ mid-cycle redistricting push is narrowing the field of competitive seats, potentially complicating Democrats’ bid to reclaim the U.S. House.

6 months ago:
Kalshi market odds: 🔵 84%
Our polling average: 🔵 +0.4

Today:
Market odds: 🔵 64%
Our average: 🔵 +2.9
October 12, 2025 at 9:14 PM
Democrats lead Republicans by 3 points in the generic ballot average for the 2026 congressional elections.

Current average: 🔵 D +2.9
4-month change: 🟡 Even
October 12, 2025 at 8:55 PM
President Trump’s approval remains stuck near 44%, roughly 9 points below disapproval.

Two-week change: 🔻 -0.5
Last six months: 🔻 -5.7
October 12, 2025 at 4:50 PM
2028 Dem Primary (10/5/25):

🔵 Harris: 23.1%
🟡 Newsom: 20.8%
🟢 Buttigieg: 9.9%
🟣 AOC: 7.9%
October 6, 2025 at 6:31 AM
Democrats maintain a nearly 4 point lead in the generic ballot average for the 2026 congressional elections.

Current average: 🔵 D +3.8
Change from last 4 months: 🔵 D +1.6
October 5, 2025 at 8:30 PM
New Jersey 🍕🛣️
Vote-by-mail update
Total: 138,398 (+27,245 since 10/02)

Ballots by party registration:
🔵 Democratic 62.3% | 86,200 ballots
🔴 Republican 23.8% | 32,881 ballots
⚪️ Unaffiliated 14.0% | 19,317 ballots

Percent of ballots returned:
🔴 18.6%
🔵 16.6%
⚪️ 9.3
October 4, 2025 at 1:56 AM
New Jersey 🍕🛣️
Vote-by-mail update
Total: 61,258 (+32,177 since 9/29)

Ballots by party registration:
🔵 Democratic 62.1% | 38,026 ballots
🔴 Republican 24.8% | 15,167 ballots
⚪️ Unaffiliated 13.2% | 8,065 ballots

Percent of ballots returned:
🔴 8.6%
🔵 7.3%
⚪️ 3.9%
September 30, 2025 at 10:47 PM
🚨 Trump's approval hits record low for 2nd term: -10.

Change from last month: 🔻 -1.7
Last 4 months: 🔻 -5.4
September 30, 2025 at 7:13 PM