@tashecon.bsky.social
Economist, geopolitical thinker. I write a lot about Ukraine and Turkey. LUFC.
Europe found its balls in Davos but China was the ultimate winner. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Europe finds its balls in Davos
But China is the ultimate winner
open.substack.com
January 23, 2026 at 10:51 AM
Europe found its balls in Davos but China was the ultimate winner. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
I look at whether the EU’s €90 billion for Ukraine is enough? timothyash.substack.com/p/ukraine-do...
Ukraine - do the numbers now add up?
The EC has finally announced details of its new €90 billion loan facility for Ukraine agreed at the EU council meeting in December.
timothyash.substack.com
January 15, 2026 at 5:57 AM
I look at whether the EU’s €90 billion for Ukraine is enough? timothyash.substack.com/p/ukraine-do...
Great to speak on Ukraine financing with Anders Aslund and Phil Zelikow. Thanks to the U.S. - Ukraine Foundation for facilitating. youtu.be/ipDZSUs1Mrg
Ukraine’s Finances 2026–2027
YouTube video by U.S.-Ukraine Foundation
youtu.be
January 12, 2026 at 5:07 PM
Great to speak on Ukraine financing with Anders Aslund and Phil Zelikow. Thanks to the U.S. - Ukraine Foundation for facilitating. youtu.be/ipDZSUs1Mrg
Trump is set to Wag the Husky Dog next in Greenland. Has Denmark got a defence? Perhaps open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Trump seems set to wag the husky dog in Greenland
After Trump’s decapitation exercise in Venezuela, his sights appear clearly set on Greenland.
open.substack.com
January 6, 2026 at 12:46 PM
Trump is set to Wag the Husky Dog next in Greenland. Has Denmark got a defence? Perhaps open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Some bigger picture out-takes on events in Venezuela. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Venezuela and the Sun King POTUS
There are so many different angles to find from the US intervention in Venezuela over the past weekend.
open.substack.com
January 5, 2026 at 9:39 PM
Some bigger picture out-takes on events in Venezuela. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Putin is actually the problem, open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Ukraine - Putin is the problem
I agree with President Putin.
open.substack.com
December 25, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Putin is actually the problem, open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
I wrote for TRT World on the geopolitical outturns for Turkiye in 25’. www.trtworld.com/article/9722...
TRT World - 2025, the year Türkiye’s long game paid off
As 2025 draws to a close, Türkiye’s patient diplomacy, expanding defence industry, and strategic autonomy have positioned it as a pivotal power across Europe, the Middle East, and Eurasia.
www.trtworld.com
December 23, 2025 at 6:16 PM
I wrote for TRT World on the geopolitical outturns for Turkiye in 25’. www.trtworld.com/article/9722...
Have British bankers got any balls? open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Will British bankers please reveal themselves?
Or shut up
open.substack.com
December 11, 2025 at 6:54 PM
Have British bankers got any balls? open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Trump’s peace talks on Ukraine are about him, not peace. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Ukraine - peace talks are on a road to nowhere
I don’t think the current US-managed Ukraine peace process is serious.
open.substack.com
December 9, 2025 at 9:50 AM
Trump’s peace talks on Ukraine are about him, not peace. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
I spoke with Times Radio about Putin’s trip to India, youtu.be/UdG4zXAI4h8?...
Modi 'at risk' as Putin tries to save Russian economic collapse with Indian trade deal
YouTube video by Times Radio
youtu.be
December 6, 2025 at 11:03 AM
I spoke with Times Radio about Putin’s trip to India, youtu.be/UdG4zXAI4h8?...
Utterly staggering document. This is effectively a declaration of war by Trump on the EU and mainstream European politics. www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/u...
www.whitehouse.gov
December 5, 2025 at 12:12 PM
Utterly staggering document. This is effectively a declaration of war by Trump on the EU and mainstream European politics. www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/u...
Ukraine - CBR asset issue update, open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Ukraine - CBR assets update
We just need to think outside the box
open.substack.com
November 26, 2025 at 8:41 AM
Ukraine - CBR asset issue update, open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
My thoughts on the US - Russia peace plan for Ukraine. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Ukraine - reviewing the peace plan
Ukrainians are again waking up to the shock news that the Trump administration seems to be trying to impose a peace, on Russia’s terms, on Ukraine.
open.substack.com
November 21, 2025 at 8:56 AM
My thoughts on the US - Russia peace plan for Ukraine. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Türkiye - last man standing in Europe. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Türkiye - last man standing in Europe
I have managed a few trips to Türkiye in recent weeks, plus a D.C.
open.substack.com
October 24, 2025 at 10:12 AM
Türkiye - last man standing in Europe. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Europe immobilised on CBR assets - hopefully not for long. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
Europe immobilised on CBR assets
It is disappointing to wake up to the news that EU leaders failed to agree on the Reparations Loan (RL) concept at their meeting last night in Brussels.
open.substack.com
October 24, 2025 at 4:57 AM
Europe immobilised on CBR assets - hopefully not for long. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...
I spoke to Times Radio about the fuel crisis in Russia, the success of Ukrainian Deep Strike drones, sanctions and immobilised CBR assets, youtu.be/sbLJpjHa4Tg
Russian fuel crisis likely just the start as strikes threaten to tip Putin's economy into recession
YouTube video by Times Radio
youtu.be
October 7, 2025 at 11:11 AM
I spoke to Times Radio about the fuel crisis in Russia, the success of Ukrainian Deep Strike drones, sanctions and immobilised CBR assets, youtu.be/sbLJpjHa4Tg
