Max Barry
@squiggle.au
AFL Prediction & Analysis. Aggregates the internet's finest football computer models. Writes novels as @maxbarry.com. Also likes netball.
https://squiggle.au
https://squiggle.au
Pinned
Geelong by 12 with a 63% win chance. Geelong v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G. #AFLCatsLions https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37323
Geelong v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G.
22 models give Geelong a 51-76% chance of victory over Brisbane Lions at the M.C.G. on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 13 points, but Hyperion gives Brisbane Lions a 50% chance with a margin of 1 point.
squiggle.com.au
September 27, 2025 at 2:30 AM
Geelong by 12 with a 63% win chance. Geelong v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G. #AFLCatsLions https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37323
Grand Final by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Squiggle
AFL Prediction & Analysis
squiggle.com.au
September 26, 2025 at 10:30 PM
Grand Final by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Reposted by Max Barry
Collingwood by 4 with a 55% win chance. Collingwood v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G. #AFLPiesLions https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37863
Collingwood v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G.
16 models give Collingwood a 52-71% chance of victory over Brisbane Lions at the M.C.G. on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 8 points, but 9 models give Brisbane Lions a 51-55% chance with a margin of 2 points.
squiggle.com.au
September 20, 2025 at 5:15 AM
Collingwood by 4 with a 55% win chance. Collingwood v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G. #AFLPiesLions https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37863
Geelong by 10 with a 62% win chance. Geelong v Hawthorn @ M.C.G. #AFLCatsHawks https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37862
Geelong v Hawthorn @ M.C.G.
22 models give Geelong a 50-71% chance of victory over Hawthorn at the M.C.G. on Friday with an average tipped margin of 7 points, but The Footycast and AFL Scorigami give Hawthorn a 57-58% chance with a margin of 5 points.
squiggle.com.au
September 19, 2025 at 7:40 AM
Geelong by 10 with a 62% win chance. Geelong v Hawthorn @ M.C.G. #AFLCatsHawks https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37862
Preliminary Finals by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Squiggle
AFL Prediction & Analysis
squiggle.com.au
September 19, 2025 at 3:40 AM
Preliminary Finals by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Don't mind me, just dropping my Squiggle Football: Modern Eras DLC store.steampowered.com/app/3168980/...
September 18, 2025 at 7:49 AM
Don't mind me, just dropping my Squiggle Football: Modern Eras DLC store.steampowered.com/app/3168980/...
Squiggle Football v25.3.x - latest updates store.steampowered.com/news/app/154...
Squiggle Football - Patch 25.3.x: State of the Nation - Steam News
What's New (v25.2.10 -> v25.3.6): Australian state selector in "Create New Team" Oppo team place names reflect the appropriate Australian state in State & Bush leagues Add 3 x new 2025 debutants Fix D...
store.steampowered.com
September 17, 2025 at 7:32 AM
Squiggle Football v25.3.x - latest updates store.steampowered.com/news/app/154...
Brisbane Lions by 8 with a 59% win chance. Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast @ Gabba #AFLLionsSuns https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37320
Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast @ Gabba
22 models give Brisbane Lions a 50-80% chance of victory over Gold Coast at Gabba on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 7 points, but The Cruncher and Informed Stats give Gold Coast a 53-72% chance with a margin of 13 points.
squiggle.com.au
September 13, 2025 at 7:35 AM
Brisbane Lions by 8 with a 59% win chance. Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast @ Gabba #AFLLionsSuns https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37320
Adelaide by 3 with a 54% win chance. Adelaide v Hawthorn @ Adelaide Oval #AFLCrowsHawks https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37319
Adelaide v Hawthorn @ Adelaide Oval
21 models give Adelaide a 50-64% chance of victory over Hawthorn at Adelaide Oval on Friday with an average tipped margin of 5 points, but Glicko Ratings and Hyperion give Hawthorn a 51-55% chance with a margin of 2 points.
squiggle.com.au
September 12, 2025 at 7:40 AM
Adelaide by 3 with a 54% win chance. Adelaide v Hawthorn @ Adelaide Oval #AFLCrowsHawks https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37319
Semi-Finals by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Squiggle
AFL Prediction & Analysis
squiggle.com.au
September 12, 2025 at 3:40 AM
Semi-Finals by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Fremantle by 1 with a 52% win chance. Fremantle v Gold Coast @ Perth Stadium #AFLFreoSuns https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37316
Fremantle v Gold Coast @ Perth Stadium
15 models give Fremantle a 51-68% chance of victory over Gold Coast at Perth Stadium on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 5 points, but 10 models give Gold Coast a 51-66% chance with a margin of 5 points.
squiggle.com.au
September 6, 2025 at 7:35 AM
Fremantle by 1 with a 52% win chance. Fremantle v Gold Coast @ Perth Stadium #AFLFreoSuns https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37316
Greater Western Sydney by 1 with a 51% win chance. Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn @ Sydney Showground #AFLGiantsHawks https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37315
Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn @ Sydney Showground
16 models give Greater Western Sydney a 50-63% chance of victory over Hawthorn at Sydney Showground on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 3 points, but 9 models give Hawthorn a 51-60% chance with a margin of 2 points.
squiggle.com.au
September 6, 2025 at 3:15 AM
Greater Western Sydney by 1 with a 51% win chance. Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn @ Sydney Showground #AFLGiantsHawks https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37315
Geelong by 12 with a 63% win chance. Geelong v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G. #AFLCatsLions https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37318
Geelong v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G.
22 models give Geelong a 55-72% chance of victory over Brisbane Lions at the M.C.G. on Friday with an average tipped margin of 13 points, but 3 models give Brisbane Lions a 50-52% chance with a margin of 0 points.
squiggle.com.au
September 5, 2025 at 7:40 AM
Geelong by 12 with a 63% win chance. Geelong v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G. #AFLCatsLions https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37318
Adelaide by 12 with a 63% win chance. Adelaide v Collingwood @ Adelaide Oval #AFLCrowsPies https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37317
Adelaide v Collingwood @ Adelaide Oval
23 models give Adelaide a 53-73% chance of victory over Collingwood at Adelaide Oval on Thursday with an average tipped margin of 11 points, but Hyperion gives Collingwood a 53% chance with a margin of 3 points.
squiggle.com.au
September 4, 2025 at 7:40 AM
Adelaide by 12 with a 63% win chance. Adelaide v Collingwood @ Adelaide Oval #AFLCrowsPies https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37317
Finals Week 1 by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Squiggle
AFL Prediction & Analysis
squiggle.com.au
September 4, 2025 at 3:40 AM
Finals Week 1 by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Really good article on footy tipping, and not just because I am extensively quoted. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-08...
Why predicting winners in the footy is a lot harder than we think
Predicting who is going to win during each round of the AFL is tough, and even computer algorithms struggle to do better than the luckiest human.
www.abc.net.au
September 2, 2025 at 7:31 AM
Really good article on footy tipping, and not just because I am extensively quoted. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-08...
Congratulations to AFL Media journo Michael Whiting for the best pre-season ladder prediction of 2025!
Got the entire top 8 right bar Sydney for Gold Coast (who he had 9th). And everyone but Crows within 4 rungs of their final position - that's a ripper!
squiggle.com.au/rate-my-ladd...
Got the entire top 8 right bar Sydney for Gold Coast (who he had 9th). And everyone but Crows within 4 rungs of their final position - that's a ripper!
squiggle.com.au/rate-my-ladd...
Rate My Ladder - Squiggle
How accurate was your ladder prediction? Drag teams to where you tipped them to finish, then check your score.
squiggle.com.au
August 28, 2025 at 2:14 AM
Congratulations to AFL Media journo Michael Whiting for the best pre-season ladder prediction of 2025!
Got the entire top 8 right bar Sydney for Gold Coast (who he had 9th). And everyone but Crows within 4 rungs of their final position - that's a ripper!
squiggle.com.au/rate-my-ladd...
Got the entire top 8 right bar Sydney for Gold Coast (who he had 9th). And everyone but Crows within 4 rungs of their final position - that's a ripper!
squiggle.com.au/rate-my-ladd...
Gold Coast by 40 with a 87% win chance. Gold Coast v Essendon @ Carrara #AFLSunsDons https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37092
Gold Coast v Essendon @ Carrara
All 27 models give Gold Coast a 67-95% chance of victory over Essendon at Carrara on Wednesday with an average tipped margin of 41 points.
squiggle.com.au
August 27, 2025 at 7:20 AM
Gold Coast by 40 with a 87% win chance. Gold Coast v Essendon @ Carrara #AFLSunsDons https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37092
Brisbane Lions by 5 with a 56% win chance. Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn @ Gabba #AFLLionsHawks https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37294
Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn @ Gabba
22 models give Brisbane Lions a 51-65% chance of victory over Hawthorn at Gabba on Sunday with an average tipped margin of 6 points, but 5 models give Hawthorn a 50-61% chance with a margin of 3 points.
squiggle.com.au
August 24, 2025 at 7:20 AM
Brisbane Lions by 5 with a 56% win chance. Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn @ Gabba #AFLLionsHawks https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37294
Western Bulldogs by 24 with a 76% win chance. Western Bulldogs v Fremantle @ Docklands #AFLDogsFreo https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37290
Western Bulldogs v Fremantle @ Docklands
All 27 models give Western Bulldogs a 58-89% chance of victory over Fremantle at Docklands on Sunday with an average tipped margin of 26 points.
squiggle.com.au
August 24, 2025 at 3:15 AM
Western Bulldogs by 24 with a 76% win chance. Western Bulldogs v Fremantle @ Docklands #AFLDogsFreo https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37290
Greater Western Sydney by 23 with a 76% win chance. Greater Western Sydney v St Kilda @ Sydney Showground #AFLGiantsSaints https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37288
Greater Western Sydney v St Kilda @ Sydney Showground
All 27 models give Greater Western Sydney a 63-84% chance of victory over St Kilda at Sydney Showground on Sunday with an average tipped margin of 25 points.
squiggle.com.au
August 24, 2025 at 12:20 AM
Greater Western Sydney by 23 with a 76% win chance. Greater Western Sydney v St Kilda @ Sydney Showground #AFLGiantsSaints https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37288
Sydney by 32 with a 80% win chance. West Coast v Sydney @ Perth Stadium #AFLEaglesSwans https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37296
West Coast v Sydney @ Perth Stadium
All 27 models give Sydney a 60-90% chance of victory over West Coast at Perth Stadium on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 29 points.
squiggle.com.au
August 23, 2025 at 7:35 AM
Sydney by 32 with a 80% win chance. West Coast v Sydney @ Perth Stadium #AFLEaglesSwans https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37296
Geelong by 48 with a 91% win chance. Richmond v Geelong @ M.C.G. #AFLTigersCats https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37292
Richmond v Geelong @ M.C.G.
All 27 models give Geelong a 72-97% chance of victory over Richmond at the M.C.G. on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 49 points.
squiggle.com.au
August 23, 2025 at 4:15 AM
Geelong by 48 with a 91% win chance. Richmond v Geelong @ M.C.G. #AFLTigersCats https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37292
"Squiggle Football is shaping up as the most innovative AFL-inspired game in years — one that captures the heart of the sport without needing to step onto the field."
www.untitledgaming.net/blog/squiggl...
www.untitledgaming.net/blog/squiggl...
Squiggle Football Game Preview — Untitled Gaming
Squiggle Football is the brainchild of the team behind squiggle.com.au , utilising real-world AFL stats and wrapping them in a card game experience that feels both fresh and familiar. This is the g...
www.untitledgaming.net
August 23, 2025 at 3:30 AM
"Squiggle Football is shaping up as the most innovative AFL-inspired game in years — one that captures the heart of the sport without needing to step onto the field."
www.untitledgaming.net/blog/squiggl...
www.untitledgaming.net/blog/squiggl...