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Strengthening the U.S. military. Addressing America's housing crisis. Anticipating the future of AI.

Here are just some of the ways RAND helped policymakers answer the challenges of 2025. ⤵️
2025 RAND Wrap-Up: Research That Defined Our Year
RAND's mission is clear: We tackle hard problems and tough questions, helping policymakers make informed, robust decisions amid risk and uncertainty. Here are some ways RAND supported decisionmakers i...
www.rand.org
"The way Gaza rebuilds in the next several years will determine whether this moment can break the region's long cycle of violence or become yet another false dawn."
How to Keep Gaza's Recovery from Becoming an 80-Year Project
The coming year will determine whether Gaza's recovery begins on realistic footing or remains in a quagmire. Getting the details right could give Palestinians what they have lacked for decades: not ju...
www.rand.org
December 26, 2025 at 9:19 PM
As a researcher at RAND, Robert Lempert helps communities around the world plan for uncertain futures and survive disasters.

After his home was destroyed in the Palisades Fire, he's been helping his own community become a global leader in wildfire resilience. https://lat.ms/3Y4LDOy
His computer simulations help communities survive disasters. Can they design a Palisades that never burns?
Robert Lempert, a RAND researcher who lost his home in the Palisades fire, hopes to use computer simulations, and his neighbors' ideas, to design a fire-resilient community.
www.latimes.com
December 24, 2025 at 3:06 PM
New report reconsiders the relevance of passive defenses in major war:
Reconsidering the Relevance of Passive Defenses in Major War
There are concerns within the U.S. military that investing in defenses diverts attention and resources from more offensive approaches. But passive defense may have relevance for future conflicts and s...
www.rand.org
December 23, 2025 at 6:59 PM
Reposted by RAND
My commentary on #AI in today's @wsj.com:
www.wsj.com/opinion/woul...
Opinion | Would You Let Claude Do Your Taxes?
Preparing a return is the kind of task AI ought to be good for.
www.wsj.com
December 22, 2025 at 1:36 PM
New survey data on public school pre-K teacher pay, benefits, and intentions to leave their jobs: https://bit.ly/4b34T6q
Pre-K Teacher Pay, Benefits, and Intentions to Leave
Pre-kindergarten teacher base salaries rose by about $1,600, on average, between 2024 and 2025 and they received fewer benefits. The share of those who intended to leave their jobs fell by around one-...
bit.ly
December 21, 2025 at 9:46 PM
A new RAND study finds that many community college students drop out very early—after they register for classes but before enrollment is finalized.

This early attrition isn't related to motivation or academics. Rather, students are frustrated by administrative obstacles.
The Students Who Disappear Before They Count
Community colleges are slowly rebounding from the pandemic, but many students disappear between applying and the first weeks of class. These early losses often stem from institutional hurdles, not aca...
www.rand.org
December 21, 2025 at 6:15 PM
One way to advance STEM education in the United States: create math and science departments in upper elementary grades.
Why U.S. STEM Excellence Is Often Accidental. Unlike China's.
How do U.S. and Chinese approaches to math and science education differ? And what federal policy changes might help strengthen America’s edge in STEM?
www.rand.org
December 21, 2025 at 2:12 AM
The federal government has reclassified cannabis. What are the potential implications? RAND's Beau Kilmer discusses: https://youtu.be/_ZPzRq7m0s8?si=Up-i4xSjJqqO7bUN&t=64
What the federal marijuana policy shift means for cannabis use and research
YouTube video by PBS NewsHour
youtu.be
December 19, 2025 at 6:10 PM
New research explores the potential security implications of AI-induced psychosis: https://bit.ly/3MotZmc
Potential Security Implications of AI-Induced Psychosis
Reports of psychosis induced by artificial intelligence suggest that large language models are capable of inducing or amplifying delusions or psychotic episodes in human users. What is the scope of th...
www.rand.org
December 17, 2025 at 3:21 PM
Passive defenses—from suits of armor and shields to city walls and castle moats—are as old as warfare itself.

Our new report explores the relevance of passive defenses in modern conflict.
Reconsidering the Relevance of Passive Defenses in Major War
There are concerns within the U.S. military that investing in defenses diverts attention and resources from more offensive approaches. But passive defense may have relevance for future conflicts and s...
www.rand.org
December 16, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Strengthening the U.S. military. Addressing America's housing crisis. Anticipating the future of AI.

Here are just some of the ways RAND helped policymakers answer the challenges of 2025. ⤵️
2025 RAND Wrap-Up: Research That Defined Our Year
RAND's mission is clear: We tackle hard problems and tough questions, helping policymakers make informed, robust decisions amid risk and uncertainty. Here are some ways RAND supported decisionmakers i...
www.rand.org
December 15, 2025 at 4:25 PM
New research assesses the existing evidence on AI-induced psychosis and explores whether and how LLMs—and, eventually, AGI—could potentially create significant national security threats. https://bit.ly/44WDqzy
Potential Security Implications of AI-Induced Psychosis
Reports of psychosis induced by artificial intelligence suggest that large language models are capable of inducing or amplifying delusions or psychotic episodes in human users. What is the scope of th...
bit.ly
December 13, 2025 at 7:28 PM
The war in Ukraine has exposed a critical front long neglected by Western militaries: electromagnetic warfare.

@randeurope.org's Clara Le Gargasson and James Black discuss:
Electromagnetic Warfare: NATO's Blind Spot Could Decide the Next Conflict
The war in Ukraine has revealed a critical weakness in NATO's defenses: electromagnetic warfare (EW). While Russia dominates this invisible battlespace, Ukraine is learning in combat what the West neg...
www.rand.org
December 12, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Reports of AI-induced psychosis suggest that large language models and future artificial general intelligence systems might be capable of inducing or amplifying delusions or psychotic episodes in users.

Could this risk become a national security concern?
Potential Security Implications of AI-Induced Psychosis
Reports of psychosis induced by artificial intelligence suggest that large language models are capable of inducing or amplifying delusions or psychotic episodes in human users. What is the scope of th...
www.rand.org
December 10, 2025 at 9:06 PM
If both the U.S. and China believe that the benefits of being the first to achieve artificial general intelligence outweigh the risks, they are effectively locked in a prisoner’s dilemma.

New report explores the strategic dynamics of the race to AGI:
Competition and Cooperation in the Race to AGI
Technology companies worldwide are racing to develop artificial general intelligence but there are risks that extend well beyond market or geopolitical competition. A new model allows policymakers to ...
www.rand.org
December 10, 2025 at 4:15 AM
This primer uses AI as a case study to explain what productivity is, why it's hard to measure, and how policy can influence it. ⤵ https://bit.ly/49QLipN
How Will AI Impact Productivity Growth?
Understanding why some economies prosper while others stagnate comes down to productivity growth. How might AI affect different aspects of productivity?
www.rand.org
December 9, 2025 at 6:01 PM
The Pentagon's Child Development Program is the largest employer-sponsored child care system in the country.

RAND researchers developed a project to help address challenges the program faces in recruiting and retaining qualified workers.

Initial findings: https://bit.ly/48x0kyr
Staffing Issues in the Military's Child Development Program
In recent years, the U.S. military's Child Development Program has struggled to meet the demand for child care because of challenges in recruiting and retaining a qualified workforce. How could existi...
www.rand.org
December 7, 2025 at 6:24 PM
Experts from @randeurope.org explain why NATO can't afford to lag behind in electromagnetic warfare. https://bit.ly/3XESwFV
Electromagnetic Warfare: NATO's Blind Spot Could Decide the Next Conflict
The war in Ukraine has revealed a critical weakness in NATO's defenses: electromagnetic warfare (EW). While Russia dominates this invisible battlespace, Ukraine is learning in combat what the West neg...
www.rand.org
December 6, 2025 at 3:14 PM
What role could AI play in productivity growth?

RAND's Tobias Sytsma explores the impacts of past technologies, such as electricity and the internet, identifying lessons for the age of AI: https://bit.ly/48tRguq
How Will AI Impact Productivity Growth?
Understanding why some economies prosper while others stagnate comes down to productivity growth. How might AI affect different aspects of productivity?
www.rand.org
December 6, 2025 at 2:17 AM
Demobilization. Forced departure. "De-Hamas-ization" and reintegration.

All potential options for dealing with Hamas's fighters have major drawbacks, says RAND's Brian Michael Jenkins:
What Can Be Done About Hamas Fighters?
Lasting peace in Gaza depends on resolving the future of Hamas's fighters. All of the options have major drawbacks, but some might be worth further exploration as negotiations proceed.
www.rand.org
December 5, 2025 at 9:44 PM
New report uses a simplified game-theoretic model to study the strategic dynamics of the race to develop artificial general intelligence: https://bit.ly/4iy93oV
Competition and Cooperation in the Race to AGI
Technology companies worldwide are racing to develop artificial general intelligence but there are risks that extend well beyond market or geopolitical competition. A new model allows policymakers to ...
www.rand.org
December 4, 2025 at 8:10 PM
Lasting peace in Gaza depends on resolving the future of Hamas's fighters.

All options have major drawbacks, says RAND's Brian Michael Jenkins. But some might be worth further exploration as negotiations proceed.
What Can Be Done About Hamas Fighters?
Lasting peace in Gaza depends on resolving the future of Hamas's fighters. All of the options have major drawbacks, but some might be worth further exploration as negotiations proceed.
www.rand.org
December 4, 2025 at 2:12 AM
Reposted by RAND
One of the cool things in this report is an analysis of Chinese of public sentiment towards the 2- and 3-Child Policies. Changes in net sentiment align with two phases of pronatalist policy: introduction (people are optimistic) and implementation (people grow frustrated).
December 2, 2025 at 9:43 PM
More than 50 years after humans last walked on the Moon, China is working steadily toward landing its own astronauts on the lunar surface.

@randeurope.org's Marissa Martin discusses what's known about the mission—and what it might mean for America's status as a spacefaring nation.
China Is Going to the Moon by 2030. Here's What's We Know and Why It Matters
More than 50 years after humans last walked on the Moon, China is moving steadily toward sending astronauts there by 2030. With advanced rockets, a new spacecraft, and a proven record in space, China'...
www.rand.org
December 2, 2025 at 3:44 PM
"Conversations with political leaders and analysts during a recent trip to Ukraine reveal a grit perhaps akin to that of Londoners during the Battle of Britain and the Nazis' Blitz bombing campaign of 1940 and 1941." https://bit.ly/3X2XT1x
Ukrainians: Resilient and More Confident
Bolstered by growing European backing and breakthroughs in drone warfare, Ukrainians' confidence is rising. With help from the West—especially financing and high-end military and intelligence support—...
www.rand.org
December 1, 2025 at 5:45 PM