Peter Cayton, the Stats Guy
@pjacaytonphd.bsky.social
Statistician. Associate Professor of Statistics (Forecasting Analytics), University of the Philippines Diliman. Shared views are my own. He/They. 🇵🇭
https://pjacayton.carrd.co/
https://pjacayton.carrd.co/
Pinned
Hi! I am Peter Julian Cayton, associate professor at the School of Statistics, University of the Philippines Diliman.
BS Stats, 2009, mcl, UP Diliman
MS Stats, 2011, UP Diliman
PhD Stats, 2018, Australian National University
Interests: Forecasting Analytics, Econometrics, Extreme Values
BS Stats, 2009, mcl, UP Diliman
MS Stats, 2011, UP Diliman
PhD Stats, 2018, Australian National University
Interests: Forecasting Analytics, Econometrics, Extreme Values
Independence should be facilitated with better living conditions and freedom of expression of life.
Magiting na Araw ng Kalayaan para sa lahat ng Pilipino sa buong Pilipinas.
Magiting na Araw ng Kalayaan para sa lahat ng Pilipino sa buong Pilipinas.
June 12, 2025 at 1:40 AM
Independence should be facilitated with better living conditions and freedom of expression of life.
Magiting na Araw ng Kalayaan para sa lahat ng Pilipino sa buong Pilipinas.
Magiting na Araw ng Kalayaan para sa lahat ng Pilipino sa buong Pilipinas.
From the previous 2022 senatorial election results, the 12th place achieved 27.2% of the total votes, achieved by Jinggoy Estrada.
May 12, 2025 at 1:59 PM
From the previous 2022 senatorial election results, the 12th place achieved 27.2% of the total votes, achieved by Jinggoy Estrada.
Reposted by Peter Cayton, the Stats Guy
Plasma protein and brain structural imaging evidence that SARS-CoV-2 is associated with greater brain β-amyloid pathology in older adults, particularly those hospitalized or with hypertension.
nature.com/articles/s41... open-access
nature.com/articles/s41... open-access
Plasma proteomic evidence for increased β-amyloid pathology after SARS-CoV-2 infection - Nature Medicine
Blood biomarkers in a middle-aged population suggest that SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with greater brain β-amyloid plaque accumulation.
nature.com
January 30, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Plasma protein and brain structural imaging evidence that SARS-CoV-2 is associated with greater brain β-amyloid pathology in older adults, particularly those hospitalized or with hypertension.
nature.com/articles/s41... open-access
nature.com/articles/s41... open-access
Below government targets.
Way below growth targets to return to pre-pandemic trends.
Very low probability to reach upper-middle income country status in the long term.
Inflation may have calmed, but prices still remain high with dismal real wage growth, if any at all.
Way below growth targets to return to pre-pandemic trends.
Very low probability to reach upper-middle income country status in the long term.
Inflation may have calmed, but prices still remain high with dismal real wage growth, if any at all.
January 30, 2025 at 2:48 AM
Below government targets.
Way below growth targets to return to pre-pandemic trends.
Very low probability to reach upper-middle income country status in the long term.
Inflation may have calmed, but prices still remain high with dismal real wage growth, if any at all.
Way below growth targets to return to pre-pandemic trends.
Very low probability to reach upper-middle income country status in the long term.
Inflation may have calmed, but prices still remain high with dismal real wage growth, if any at all.
I am giving a Customized Training for the Fundamentals of Statistical Methods for Forensic Chemists at the Philippine Drug Enforcement Agency!
December 10, 2024 at 4:14 AM
I am giving a Customized Training for the Fundamentals of Statistical Methods for Forensic Chemists at the Philippine Drug Enforcement Agency!
Presentation done!
Hoping to get photos from the official conference page.
Thanks to the Philippine Society for Public Administration for giving the opportunity to present the multidisciplinary work we do at GRIT Labs!
Hoping to get photos from the official conference page.
Thanks to the Philippine Society for Public Administration for giving the opportunity to present the multidisciplinary work we do at GRIT Labs!
December 6, 2024 at 8:59 AM
Presentation done!
Hoping to get photos from the official conference page.
Thanks to the Philippine Society for Public Administration for giving the opportunity to present the multidisciplinary work we do at GRIT Labs!
Hoping to get photos from the official conference page.
Thanks to the Philippine Society for Public Administration for giving the opportunity to present the multidisciplinary work we do at GRIT Labs!
Day 2 of the 2024 PSPA International Conference!
After lunch, I will be presenting about open and collaborative data science for public engagement and policymaking!
After lunch, I will be presenting about open and collaborative data science for public engagement and policymaking!
December 6, 2024 at 3:12 AM
Day 2 of the 2024 PSPA International Conference!
After lunch, I will be presenting about open and collaborative data science for public engagement and policymaking!
After lunch, I will be presenting about open and collaborative data science for public engagement and policymaking!
Late post:
From Day 1 of the 2024 PSPA International Conference!
Presentation will be in Day 2
From Day 1 of the 2024 PSPA International Conference!
Presentation will be in Day 2
December 6, 2024 at 3:11 AM
Late post:
From Day 1 of the 2024 PSPA International Conference!
Presentation will be in Day 2
From Day 1 of the 2024 PSPA International Conference!
Presentation will be in Day 2
From 2nd Sem 2024-2025 to 1st Sem 2025-2026, basically CY 2025, sabbatical ko na!
December 4, 2024 at 7:03 AM
From 2nd Sem 2024-2025 to 1st Sem 2025-2026, basically CY 2025, sabbatical ko na!
I will be a Panel Presenter at the 2024 Philippine Society for Public Administration (PSPA) International Conference to be held from December 5-7, 2024 in Bacolod City, Negros Occidental.
November 27, 2024 at 10:46 AM
I will be a Panel Presenter at the 2024 Philippine Society for Public Administration (PSPA) International Conference to be held from December 5-7, 2024 in Bacolod City, Negros Occidental.
Reposted by Peter Cayton, the Stats Guy
For my new friends on Bluesky, let me share that in 2023 my first book, False Nostalgia: The Marcos "Golden Age" Myths and How to Debunk Them, was published by Ateneo de Manila University Press. I debunk the myths claiming that the 🇵🇭's golden age happened during Marcos Sr's martial law (1972-1986).
November 24, 2024 at 1:21 AM
For my new friends on Bluesky, let me share that in 2023 my first book, False Nostalgia: The Marcos "Golden Age" Myths and How to Debunk Them, was published by Ateneo de Manila University Press. I debunk the myths claiming that the 🇵🇭's golden age happened during Marcos Sr's martial law (1972-1986).
At the end of the day, the voting people appointed by election the leaders in government.
The people elect the government they deserve.
*quote works for any country, really*
The people elect the government they deserve.
*quote works for any country, really*
November 24, 2024 at 2:16 AM
At the end of the day, the voting people appointed by election the leaders in government.
The people elect the government they deserve.
*quote works for any country, really*
The people elect the government they deserve.
*quote works for any country, really*
Finished 3km at the Great UP Run with my partner!
November 23, 2024 at 2:43 AM
Finished 3km at the Great UP Run with my partner!
Sometimes I am shocked with what I can do in a short period of time.
Hoping that my abstract on open and collaborative data science for public policy and engagement gets accepted even though it is of short notice.
Hoping that my abstract on open and collaborative data science for public policy and engagement gets accepted even though it is of short notice.
November 21, 2024 at 12:17 PM
Sometimes I am shocked with what I can do in a short period of time.
Hoping that my abstract on open and collaborative data science for public policy and engagement gets accepted even though it is of short notice.
Hoping that my abstract on open and collaborative data science for public policy and engagement gets accepted even though it is of short notice.
I have Threads as well as X/Twitter.
However, BSky really is a little better than Threads in terms of using the app.
I still have X/Twitter in the background until the useful Twitter accounts that I follow have all transitioned here.
However, BSky really is a little better than Threads in terms of using the app.
I still have X/Twitter in the background until the useful Twitter accounts that I follow have all transitioned here.
November 20, 2024 at 10:50 AM
I have Threads as well as X/Twitter.
However, BSky really is a little better than Threads in terms of using the app.
I still have X/Twitter in the background until the useful Twitter accounts that I follow have all transitioned here.
However, BSky really is a little better than Threads in terms of using the app.
I still have X/Twitter in the background until the useful Twitter accounts that I follow have all transitioned here.
Reposted by Peter Cayton, the Stats Guy
We’ve done a major update to our work on the COVID-19 pandemic!
We published two big new articles (links in 🧵), updated our page and added new data & charts.
Check out our updated page: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
We published two big new articles (links in 🧵), updated our page and added new data & charts.
Check out our updated page: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
COVID-19 Pandemic
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on the world. Explore global data and research to understand its impact, spread, and global response.
ourworldindata.org
November 19, 2024 at 6:18 PM
We’ve done a major update to our work on the COVID-19 pandemic!
We published two big new articles (links in 🧵), updated our page and added new data & charts.
Check out our updated page: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
We published two big new articles (links in 🧵), updated our page and added new data & charts.
Check out our updated page: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Reposted by Peter Cayton, the Stats Guy
Here's my latest journal article, recently published in Education Economics!
I analyze the excellence-equity tradeoff in college admissions through the lens of the University of the Philippines, my home uni which attracts 100K+ applicants every year.
🔗https://doi.org/10.1080/09645292.2024.2421165
I analyze the excellence-equity tradeoff in college admissions through the lens of the University of the Philippines, my home uni which attracts 100K+ applicants every year.
🔗https://doi.org/10.1080/09645292.2024.2421165
November 18, 2024 at 10:54 PM
Here's my latest journal article, recently published in Education Economics!
I analyze the excellence-equity tradeoff in college admissions through the lens of the University of the Philippines, my home uni which attracts 100K+ applicants every year.
🔗https://doi.org/10.1080/09645292.2024.2421165
I analyze the excellence-equity tradeoff in college admissions through the lens of the University of the Philippines, my home uni which attracts 100K+ applicants every year.
🔗https://doi.org/10.1080/09645292.2024.2421165
Reposted by Peter Cayton, the Stats Guy
My starter pack of fellow Filipino academics, researchers, and thought leaders now on Bluesky.
go.bsky.app/GrA6ymj
go.bsky.app/GrA6ymj
November 17, 2024 at 9:30 AM
My starter pack of fellow Filipino academics, researchers, and thought leaders now on Bluesky.
go.bsky.app/GrA6ymj
go.bsky.app/GrA6ymj
Reposted by Peter Cayton, the Stats Guy
Hi, sharing a list of our team of reporters here. Please give them a follow as we figure things out in this new unknown. go.bsky.app/CF5Nudx
November 18, 2024 at 4:38 AM
Hi, sharing a list of our team of reporters here. Please give them a follow as we figure things out in this new unknown. go.bsky.app/CF5Nudx
Courses being taught in the 1st sem 2024-2025 before my one-year sabbatical this 2025:
DS 397: Special Topics in Data Science [concentration: Interpretable Machine Learning]
Stat 275: Economic Statistics
Stat 280: Special Topics in Statistics [concentration: Forecasting Analytics]
DS 397: Special Topics in Data Science [concentration: Interpretable Machine Learning]
Stat 275: Economic Statistics
Stat 280: Special Topics in Statistics [concentration: Forecasting Analytics]
November 17, 2024 at 1:12 PM
Courses being taught in the 1st sem 2024-2025 before my one-year sabbatical this 2025:
DS 397: Special Topics in Data Science [concentration: Interpretable Machine Learning]
Stat 275: Economic Statistics
Stat 280: Special Topics in Statistics [concentration: Forecasting Analytics]
DS 397: Special Topics in Data Science [concentration: Interpretable Machine Learning]
Stat 275: Economic Statistics
Stat 280: Special Topics in Statistics [concentration: Forecasting Analytics]
A collection of Filipino academics to follow in Bluesky.
My starter pack of fellow Filipino academics, researchers, and thought leaders now on Bluesky.
go.bsky.app/GrA6ymj
go.bsky.app/GrA6ymj
November 17, 2024 at 11:55 AM
A collection of Filipino academics to follow in Bluesky.
Reposted by Peter Cayton, the Stats Guy
Discussions with Marites Vitug @rappler.bsky.social on the Middle Class www.youtube.com/live/WHAG6yI...
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November 16, 2024 at 2:56 AM
Discussions with Marites Vitug @rappler.bsky.social on the Middle Class www.youtube.com/live/WHAG6yI...
Hi! I am Peter Julian Cayton, associate professor at the School of Statistics, University of the Philippines Diliman.
BS Stats, 2009, mcl, UP Diliman
MS Stats, 2011, UP Diliman
PhD Stats, 2018, Australian National University
Interests: Forecasting Analytics, Econometrics, Extreme Values
BS Stats, 2009, mcl, UP Diliman
MS Stats, 2011, UP Diliman
PhD Stats, 2018, Australian National University
Interests: Forecasting Analytics, Econometrics, Extreme Values
November 16, 2024 at 11:50 AM
Hi! I am Peter Julian Cayton, associate professor at the School of Statistics, University of the Philippines Diliman.
BS Stats, 2009, mcl, UP Diliman
MS Stats, 2011, UP Diliman
PhD Stats, 2018, Australian National University
Interests: Forecasting Analytics, Econometrics, Extreme Values
BS Stats, 2009, mcl, UP Diliman
MS Stats, 2011, UP Diliman
PhD Stats, 2018, Australian National University
Interests: Forecasting Analytics, Econometrics, Extreme Values
Last Nov 14, 2024, I was at the Philippine Statistical Research and Training Institute (PSRTI) Research Forum.
I was the discussant in 2 sessions on the PSRTI Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) Scoping Studies.
VOD for the 2 sessions are available here:
www.facebook.com/share/v/ynq6...
I was the discussant in 2 sessions on the PSRTI Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) Scoping Studies.
VOD for the 2 sessions are available here:
www.facebook.com/share/v/ynq6...
November 16, 2024 at 11:47 AM
Last Nov 14, 2024, I was at the Philippine Statistical Research and Training Institute (PSRTI) Research Forum.
I was the discussant in 2 sessions on the PSRTI Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) Scoping Studies.
VOD for the 2 sessions are available here:
www.facebook.com/share/v/ynq6...
I was the discussant in 2 sessions on the PSRTI Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) Scoping Studies.
VOD for the 2 sessions are available here:
www.facebook.com/share/v/ynq6...